House prices in BA22 (Ilchester)

This article shows price per square metre data and various charts to help you understand the housing market in BA22 - stats were last calculated on 01 November 2024.

Defining 'BA22'

This analysis is limited to properties whose postcode starts with "BA22", this is also called the postcode district. There are no official postcode district names so I've just labelled it BA22, Ilchester. It is shown in red on the map below.

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You can click on the map above to change to a neighbouring district, or you can use the search form below.

Price per square metre

Knowing the average house price in BA22 is not much use. However, knowing average price per square metre can be quite useful. Price per sqm allows some comparison between properties of different size. We define price per square metre as the sold price divided by the internal area of a property:

£ per sqm = price ÷ internal area

For example in September 2024, 22, Montacute Road, Ilchester, BA22 8QD sold for £198,000. Given the internal area of 62 square metres recorded on the EPC, the price per sqm is £198,000 ÷ 62 sqm = £3,193.

England & Wales have been officially metric since 1965. However house price per square foot is prefered by some estate agents and those of sufficiently advanced age ;-). It is a huge pain to code the automatic conversion for square meters to square feet for all the graphs and charts on BA22 and elsewhere. All the conditionals turn my tidy code for into spaghetti. I will get around to it at some point, but for now you can just divide everything by 10 in your head, move a decimal place and you'll be close enough. If you want to be more precise 1 sqm = 10.76391 sqft.

Distribution of £ per sqm for houses vs flats in BA22

The chart above is called a histogram, it helps you see the distribution of house price per sqm in BA22 To make this chart we put all the sales data into a series of £ per sqm 'buckets' (e.g. £3,800 to £4,000, £4,000 to £4,200, £4,200 to £4,400 etc...) we then count the number of sales with within in each bucket and plot the results. The histogram is based on 500 sales that took place in BA22, in the last 24 months.

Generate a custom histogram like the one above but based on your own criteria.

You can see the spread of prices above. This is because although internal area is a key factor in determining valuation, it is not the only factor. Many factors other than size affect desirability; these factors could be condition, aspect, garden size, negotiating power of the vendor etc.

The spread of prices will give you a feel of the typical range to expect in BA22, Ilchester. Notably, only 25% of properties that sold recently were valued at more than £3,670 sqm. For anything to be valued more than this means it has to be more desireable than the clear majority of BA22 homes.

Box plot of £ per sqm for BA22

Tip: click on the chart to see the values.

The chart above is called a boxplot (or a box-and-whisker plot). Box plots, like histograms, are used to graphically represent the distribution of data, showing the central tendency, spread of the distribution. In the context of £ per square metre property price distributions, box plots represent the variation in property prices within a geographic area e.g. Ilchester. The chart above shows a boxplot for 'BA22' as well as the 'BA' postcode area.

  • Median: The horizontal line inside the box represents the median (£ per square meter). This is the midpoint of the data, meaning 50% of the prices are below this value, and 50% are above. The middle price per square metre in 'BA22' is £3,250.
  • Interquartile Range (IQR): The box spans from the 25th percentile (Q1) to the 75th percentile (Q3). This is the range where the middle 50% of the data lies, giving a good indication of the typical price spread. Of the 500 transactions in BA22, Ilchester half were sold for between £2,790 and £3,670 per square metre.
  • Whiskers: In our case, the whiskers extend from the 9th percentile (at the lower end) to the 91st percentile (at the upper end), This provides a slightly broader view of the distribution by including the middle 82% of records. The whiskers capture most of the variation but exclude extreme outliers caused by data errors in recording sold house prices or internal area.
  • 'n=' is the number of property transactions the box plot is based on; 500 for BA22, Ilchester.

    • Property price map for Ilchester

    Have a look at the interactive price map I created for myself. Use it to explore 'BA22' house prices all the way down to individual property plots.

    Property price heatmap for Ilchester
    House price map for Ilchester

    Will BA22 house prices drop in 2025?

    I cannot tell what house prices will do in the future and don't believe anyone who says they can. However we can plot price trends, I have done this in the chart below for BA22 (Ilchester) compared with the wider postcode area 'BA'. You can extrapolate from this based on your own views on future interest rates, inflation and other factors.

    House price index for BA22

    Tip: click on the legend items to show/hide different lines

    Download house price index as CSV (premium users only).

    The chart above shows changes in 'BA22' property prices over the last 20 years. The index is calculated from the average price paid per sqm for property in BA22 and is set to 100 in 2004. The chart compares trends for BA22, Ilchester against those of the broader postcode area 'BA'. What is more interesting is to look at the difference between flats and houses, even those in the same area follow a very different trend, to get a robust enough sample size to see this we need to zoom out and look at house price trends for the entire Somerset local authority.

    The dashed lines show nominal house price changes, the solid lines show the same data adjusted for inflation. Economists call this the 'real' price change. You have to take inflation into account when comparing prices over time. It's calculated using the formula:

    Real Rate of Return = (1 + Nominal Rate) ÷ (1 + Inflation Rate) – 1
    In this formula, the nominal rate is the rate of change before any adjustments, and the inflation rate is taken from the Consumer Price Index. The real rate of return is a more accurate measure of change in value, because £1 today does not have the same buying power as £1 in the past. For example, if a savings account pays an interest rate of 3% per year and the inflation rate is 5% per year, the real rate of return is -2%. This means that the investment's value is shrinking by 2% each year.

    Historic returns for BA22
    BA area BA22 district
    Nominal Real Nominal Real
    20 yr per annum 3.1% 0.5% 2.6% -0.0%
    20 yr total 84.9% 9.5% 67.5% -0.8%
    10 yr per annum 4.0% 1.2% 3.7% 0.9%
    10 yr total 48.2% 12.5% 44.0% 9.3%
    5 yr per annum 3.9% -0.2% 4.0% -0.1%
    5 yr total 21.2% -0.8% 21.8% -0.3%
    1 yr per annum -0.3% -4.2% -1.1% -5.1%
    1 yr total -0.3% -4.2% -1.1% -5.1%

    This table complements the house price index chart above, presenting the data in a more detailed format. It breaks down the information into 20-year, 10-year, 5-year, and 1-year periods, further categorized by property type. For each period, we display both a per annum rate of change and a total rate of change.

    The total rate of change represents the overall change over the entire period. The formula for total return is:

    Total return = (Index at end of period ÷ Index at start of period) - 1

    The per annum rate of change is the annualized rate of change over the period. This is equivalent to the annual bank savings rate you would need to achieve the same total return over the given period. This annualized return is also known as the Compound Annual Growth Rate (CAGR). The formula for CAGR is:

    CAGR = (1 + Total return) ^ (1 ÷ Number of years) - 1

    Some specific examples:

    • Over the past 20 years, BA area have seen a 0.5% annual change when adjusted for inflation. This translates to a total change of 9.5% in real terms.
    • Over the past 5 years, BA area have seen a -0.2% annual change when adjusted for inflation. This translates to a total change of -0.8% in real terms.

    Most recent BA22 sales

    For the most recent sales activity, rather than a summarized average, it is better to see the underlying data. This is shown in the chart below, where blue dots represent individual sales, click on them to see details. If there is an obvious trend you should be able to spot it here amid the noise from outliers.

    Tip: hover over dots to see details

    Street level data

    Street Avg size Avg £sqm Recent sales
    Taranto Hill, , BA22 8J 61 sqm £2,122 44
    Hawks Rise, , BA22 8X 77 sqm £2,598 23
    Montacute Road, , BA22 8F 66 sqm £3,038 16
    High Street, , BA22 7J 121 sqm £3,011 15
    Foxglove Way, , BA22 8P 78 sqm £3,522 12
    High Street, , BA22 7N 141 sqm £3,070 12
    Heather Way, , BA22 8D 83 sqm £3,689 10
    Falcon Road, , BA22 8B 85 sqm £2,745 10

    Search for your street here.

    Nearby geographies

    The table below shows how 'BA22' compares to the other postcode districts nearby 'BA22'.

    District Lower quartile Median Upper quartile Sales in last 2yr
    TA18 Crewkerne £2,410 sqm £3,020 sqm £3,570 sqm 301
    TA15 Montacute £2,880 sqm £3,400 sqm £3,860 sqm 13
    TA14 Stoke-Sub-Hamdon £2,770 sqm £3,330 sqm £3,690 sqm 66
    TA12 Martock £2,460 sqm £3,100 sqm £3,800 sqm 139
    TA11 Somerton £3,090 sqm £3,660 sqm £4,060 sqm 281
    TA10 Curry Rivel £2,880 sqm £3,330 sqm £3,790 sqm 217
    DT9 Sherborne £3,100 sqm £3,700 sqm £4,300 sqm 559
    DT8 Beaminster £3,370 sqm £3,760 sqm £4,340 sqm 188
    DT2 Crossways £3,180 sqm £3,730 sqm £4,270 sqm 577
    BA9 Wincanton £2,620 sqm £3,220 sqm £3,850 sqm 194

    Raw data

    Our analysis of BA22 is derived from what is essentially a big table of sold prices from Land Registry with added property size information. Below are three rows from this table to give you an idea.

    Address Paid sqm £/sqm
    22, Montacute Rd, £198,000
    Sep-2024
    		 62 3,193
    Copper Beech, , £505,000
    Sep-2024
    		 143 3,531
    9, Taranto Hill, £153,000
    Sep-2024
    		 62 2,467

    See the entire list of all sales in BA22 here.

    About

    I created HouseMetric because I wanted to see this data and analysis myself, I also wanted to teach myself to build a website. Please give me feedback or spread the word about it. I'm constantly tinkering and adding more stuff to it.