Feb 07, 2023 by HM

House prices in Darwen (BB3 3)

This article reveals price per square metre data and various charts to help you understand current housing market in Darwen (BB3 3).


Price per square metre

Knowing the average house price in Darwen is not much use. However, knowing average price per square metre can be quite useful. Price per sqm allows some comparison between properties of different size. We define price per square metre as the sold price divided by the internal area of a property:

£ per sqm = price ÷ internal area
E.g. 2, London Terrace, Darwen, sold for £64,000 on Sep-2023. Given the internal area of 107 square metres, the price per sqm is £598.

England & Wales have been officially metric for many decades. However house price per square foot is sometimes prefered by those of sufficiently advanced age. They may want to convert metres on this page to square feet.

The chart below is called a histogram, it helps you see the distribution of this house price per sqm data. To make this chart we put the sales data into a series of £ per sqm 'buckets' (e.g. £1,900-£2,000, £2,000-£2,100, £2,100-£2,200 etc...) we then count the number of sales with within in each bucket and plot the results. The chart is based on 267 sales in Darwen (BB3 3) that took place in the last two years.

Distribution of £ per sqm for Darwen (BB3 3)
Distribution of £ per sqm house prices in Darwen

You can see the spread of prices above. This is because although internal area is a key factor in determining valuation, it is not the only factor. Many factors other than size affect desirability; these factors could be condition, aspect, garden size, negotiating power of the vendor etc.

That said, the spread of prices will give you a feel of the typical range to expect in Darwen (BB3 3). Of the 267 transactions, half were sold for between £1,050 and £2,070 per square metre. Notably, only 25% of properties that sold recently were valued at more than £2,070m2. For anything to be valued more than this means it has to be more desireable than the clear majority of homes.

For the average, we calculate the 'median' or middle price. The median price per square metre in 'BB3 3' is £1,440. The table below shows how 'BB3 3' compares to neighbouring postcode sectors.

Postcode sector Lower quartile Middle quartile Upper quartile
BB3 1 Darwen £970m2 £1,340m2 £1,800m2
BB3 0 Lower Darwen £1,120m2 £1,490m2 £2,280m2
BB3 2 Darwen £1,100m2 £1,500m2 £2,070m2
BB3 3 Darwen £1,050m2 £1,440m2 £2,070m2

Will Darwen house prices drop in 2024?

I cannot tell the future and don't believe anyone who says they can. I can however plot price trends - I have done this in the scatter plot below for BB3 3 (Darwen). From this one could infer a range of reasonable possible future price falls or rises. In the chart below, the red dashed line is the house price trend for BB3 3 and the blue dots are the individual property sales that inform this trend.

Price per square metre in Darwen (BB3 3) over time
House price trends for Darwen

Hover on any blue dot to see details of specific sales

Disclaimer: The data provided throughout this website about Darwen and any other area, is not financial advice. Any information provided does not and cannot ever take in to account the particular financial situation, objectives or property needs of either you or anyone reading this information. Furthermore, I cannot guarantee the accuracy of any data shown. This information is based on sold prices and internal area data provided by Land Registry and other third parties - I do not verify the accuracy of the Darwen data or any other data I am given.

Price map for Darwen

I've just finished coding the map I link to below. I find it useful and I am sure it will help you in exploring Darwen. You can zoom in all the way to individual properties and then all the way back out to see the whole country. The colours show the current estimated property values. I will explain more about the methodology and create a key next week.

Property price heatmap for Darwen
House price heatmap for Darwen

Street level data

Street Avg size Avg £/m2 Recent sales
Marsh House Lane, Darwen, BB3 3S 73m2 £1,683 27
Anyon Street, Darwen, BB3 3A 81m2 £877 22
Perry Street, Darwen, BB3 3D 84m2 £755 20
Sandon Street, Darwen, BB3 3D 83m2 £904 20
Olive Lane, Darwen, BB3 3D 89m2 £828 18
London Terrace, Darwen, BB3 3D 92m2 £760 16
Sarah Street, Darwen, BB3 3E 80m2 £841 14
Sudell Road, Darwen, BB3 3J 81m2 £1,000 14

Search for your street here.

Raw data

Our analysis of Darwen is derived from what is essentially a big table of sold prices from Land Registry with added property size information. Below are three rows from this table to give you an idea.

Address Paid m2 £/m2
2, London Terrace, Darwen £64,000
Sep-2023
107 598
3, Barons Fold, Darwen £230,000
Aug-2023
90 2,555
178, Marsh House Lane, Darwen £205,000
Aug-2023
76 2,697

See the entire list of all sales in Darwen (BB3 3) here.

About

HouseMetric is a hobby, created out of a desire to see data and analysis not present on any free to use website. It is still a work in progress and I'll add more stuff in the near future.