Feb 07, 2023 by HM

House prices in Little Lever (BL3 1)

This article reveals price per square metre data and various charts to help you understand current housing market in Little Lever (BL3 1).


Price per square metre

Knowing the average house price in Little Lever is not much use. However, knowing average price per square metre can be quite useful. Price per sqm allows some comparison between properties of different size. We define price per square metre as the sold price divided by the internal area of a property:

£ per sqm = price ÷ internal area
E.g. 1, Danecroft, Little Lever, Bolton, sold for £120,000 on Oct-2023. Given the internal area of 66 square metres, the price per sqm is £1,818.

England & Wales have been officially metric for many decades. However house price per square foot is sometimes prefered by those of sufficiently advanced age. They may want to convert metres on this page to square feet.

The chart below is called a histogram, it helps you see the distribution of this house price per sqm data. To make this chart we put the sales data into a series of £ per sqm 'buckets' (e.g. £2,350-£2,500, £2,500-£2,650, £2,650-£2,800 etc...) we then count the number of sales with within in each bucket and plot the results. The chart is based on 247 sales in Little Lever (BL3 1) that took place in the last two years.

Distribution of £ per sqm for Little Lever (BL3 1)
Distribution of £ per sqm house prices in Little Lever

You can see the spread of prices above. This is because although internal area is a key factor in determining valuation, it is not the only factor. Many factors other than size affect desirability; these factors could be condition, aspect, garden size, negotiating power of the vendor etc.

That said, the spread of prices will give you a feel of the typical range to expect in Little Lever (BL3 1). Of the 247 transactions, half were sold for between £1,740 and £2,610 per square metre. Notably, only 25% of properties that sold recently were valued at more than £2,610m2. For anything to be valued more than this means it has to be more desireable than the clear majority of homes.

For the average, we calculate the 'median' or middle price. The median price per square metre in 'BL3 1' is £2,110. The table below shows how 'BL3 1' compares to neighbouring postcode sectors.

Postcode sector Lower quartile Middle quartile Upper quartile
BL3 2 Bolton £1,140m2 £1,470m2 £2,030m2
BL3 4 Bolton £1,500m2 £2,100m2 £2,870m2
BL3 5 Bolton £1,250m2 £1,560m2 £2,110m2
BL3 6 Bolton £1,230m2 £1,450m2 £1,620m2
BL3 3 Bolton £1,330m2 £1,720m2 £2,200m2
BL3 1 Little Lever £1,740m2 £2,110m2 £2,610m2

Will Little Lever house prices drop in 2024?

I cannot tell the future and don't believe anyone who says they can. I can however plot price trends - I have done this in the scatter plot below for BL3 1 (Little Lever). From this one could infer a range of reasonable possible future price falls or rises. In the chart below, the red dashed line is the house price trend for BL3 1 and the blue dots are the individual property sales that inform this trend.

Price per square metre in Little Lever (BL3 1) over time
House price trends for Little Lever

Hover on any blue dot to see details of specific sales

Disclaimer: The data provided throughout this website about Little Lever and any other area, is not financial advice. Any information provided does not and cannot ever take in to account the particular financial situation, objectives or property needs of either you or anyone reading this information. Furthermore, I cannot guarantee the accuracy of any data shown. This information is based on sold prices and internal area data provided by Land Registry and other third parties - I do not verify the accuracy of the Little Lever data or any other data I am given.

Price map for Little Lever

I've just finished coding the map I link to below. I find it useful and I am sure it will help you in exploring Little Lever. You can zoom in all the way to individual properties and then all the way back out to see the whole country. The colours show the current estimated property values. I will explain more about the methodology and create a key next week.

Property price heatmap for Little Lever
House price heatmap for Little Lever

Street level data

Street Avg size Avg £/m2 Recent sales
Church Street, Little Lever, BL3 1B 76m2 £1,489 25
Churchill Drive, Little Lever, BL3 1P 80m2 £2,797 18
Sunningdale Court, Little Lever, BL3 1L 59m2 £1,728 17
Laurel Avenue, Little Lever, BL3 1A 101m2 £2,626 16
Aintree Road, Little Lever, BL3 1E 77m2 £2,616 15
Tong Road, Little Lever, BL3 1Q 96m2 £1,653 11
Settle Street, Little Lever, BL3 1L 80m2 £1,776 10
Elm Road, Little Lever, BL3 1J 83m2 £1,875 10

Search for your street here.

Raw data

Our analysis of Little Lever is derived from what is essentially a big table of sold prices from Land Registry with added property size information. Below are three rows from this table to give you an idea.

Address Paid m2 £/m2
1, Danecroft, Little Lever, Bolton £120,000
Oct-2023
66 1,818
50, Lincoln Avenue, Little Lever, Bolton £282,500
Sep-2023
102 2,769
259, Church St, Little Lever, Bolton £163,000
Aug-2023
72 2,263

See the entire list of all sales in Little Lever (BL3 1) here.

About

HouseMetric is a hobby, created out of a desire to see data and analysis not present on any free to use website. It is still a work in progress and I'll add more stuff in the near future.