Feb 07, 2023 by HM

House prices in Keston (BR2 6)

This article reveals price per square metre data and various charts to help you understand current housing market in Keston (BR2 6).


Price per square metre

Knowing the average house price in Keston is not much use. However, knowing average price per square metre can be quite useful. Price per sqm allows some comparison between properties of different size. We define price per square metre as the sold price divided by the internal area of a property:

£ per sqm = price ÷ internal area
E.g. 49 Wilberforce Court, Holwood Estate, Keston, Bromley, sold for £750,000 on Sep-2023. Given the internal area of 112 square metres, the price per sqm is £6,696.

England & Wales have been officially metric for many decades. However house price per square foot is sometimes prefered by those of sufficiently advanced age. They may want to convert metres on this page to square feet.

The chart below is called a histogram, it helps you see the distribution of this house price per sqm data. To make this chart we put the sales data into a series of £ per sqm 'buckets' (e.g. £6,150-£6,500, £6,500-£6,850, £6,850-£7,200 etc...) we then count the number of sales with within in each bucket and plot the results. The chart is based on 61 sales in Keston (BR2 6) that took place in the last two years.

Distribution of £ per sqm for Keston (BR2 6)
Distribution of £ per sqm house prices in Keston

You can see the spread of prices above. This is because although internal area is a key factor in determining valuation, it is not the only factor. Many factors other than size affect desirability; these factors could be condition, aspect, garden size, negotiating power of the vendor etc.

That said, the spread of prices will give you a feel of the typical range to expect in Keston (BR2 6). Of the 61 transactions, half were sold for between £5,490 and £7,350 per square metre. Notably, only 25% of properties that sold recently were valued at more than £7,350m2. For anything to be valued more than this means it has to be more desireable than the clear majority of homes.

For the average, we calculate the 'median' or middle price. The median price per square metre in 'BR2 6' is £6,570. The table below shows how 'BR2 6' compares to neighbouring postcode sectors.

Postcode sector Lower quartile Middle quartile Upper quartile
BR2 7 Bromley £5,520m2 £6,200m2 £6,990m2
BR2 8 Bromley £5,160m2 £5,660m2 £6,370m2
BR2 0 Bromley £5,000m2 £5,670m2 £6,440m2
BR2 9 Bromley £4,970m2 £5,610m2 £6,280m2
BR2 6 Keston £5,490m2 £6,570m2 £7,350m2

Will Keston house prices drop in 2024?

I cannot tell the future and don't believe anyone who says they can. I can however plot price trends - I have done this in the scatter plot below for BR2 6 (Keston). From this one could infer a range of reasonable possible future price falls or rises. In the chart below, the red dashed line is the house price trend for BR2 6 and the blue dots are the individual property sales that inform this trend.

Price per square metre in Keston (BR2 6) over time
House price trends for Keston

Hover on any blue dot to see details of specific sales

Disclaimer: The data provided throughout this website about Keston and any other area, is not financial advice. Any information provided does not and cannot ever take in to account the particular financial situation, objectives or property needs of either you or anyone reading this information. Furthermore, I cannot guarantee the accuracy of any data shown. This information is based on sold prices and internal area data provided by Land Registry and other third parties - I do not verify the accuracy of the Keston data or any other data I am given.

Price map for Keston

I've just finished coding the map I link to below. I find it useful and I am sure it will help you in exploring Keston. You can zoom in all the way to individual properties and then all the way back out to see the whole country. The colours show the current estimated property values. I will explain more about the methodology and create a key next week.

Property price heatmap for Keston
House price heatmap for Keston

Street level data

Street Avg size Avg £/m2 Recent sales
Leaves Green Road, Keston, BR2 6D 133m2 £5,305 17
Lakes Road, Keston, BR2 6B 89m2 £5,940 16
Holwood Estate, Keston, BR2 6H 124m2 £5,965 15
Heathfield Road, Keston, BR2 6B 144m2 £5,332 11
The Dale, Keston, BR2 6H 192m2 £6,395 9
Westerham Road, Keston, BR2 6H 129m2 £5,885 8
Forest Ridge, Keston, BR2 6E 512m2 £6,561 8
Blackness Lane, Keston, BR2 6H 164m2 £5,491 8

Search for your street here.

Raw data

Our analysis of Keston is derived from what is essentially a big table of sold prices from Land Registry with added property size information. Below are three rows from this table to give you an idea.

Address Paid m2 £/m2
49 Wilberforce Court, Holwood Estate, Keston, Bromley £750,000
Sep-2023
112 6,696
67, Leaves Green Rd, Keston, Bromley £655,000
Aug-2023
116 5,646
Pinewood, 14, The Dale, Keston, Bromley £1,100,000
Jul-2023
192 5,729

See the entire list of all sales in Keston (BR2 6) here.

About

HouseMetric is a hobby, created out of a desire to see data and analysis not present on any free to use website. It is still a work in progress and I'll add more stuff in the near future.