Feb 07, 2023 by HM

House prices in Orpington (BR6 9)

This article reveals price per square metre data and various charts to help you understand current housing market in Orpington (BR6 9).


Defining 'BR6 9'

This analysis is limited to properties whose postcode starts with "BR6 9", this is also called the postcode sector. It is shown in red on the map above. You can click on the map labels to change to a neighbouring sector.

Price per square metre

Knowing the average house price in Orpington is not much use. However, knowing average price per square metre can be quite useful. Price per sqm allows some comparison between properties of different size. We define price per square metre as the sold price divided by the internal area of a property:

£ per sqm = price ÷ internal area
E.g. 8, Berrylands, Orpington, sold for £242,500 on Feb-2024. Given the internal area of 48 square metres, the price per sqm is £5,052.

England & Wales have been officially metric for many decades. However house price per square foot is sometimes prefered by those of sufficiently advanced age. ;-) They may want to convert metres on this page to square feet.

The chart below is called a histogram, it helps you see the distribution of this house price per sqm data. To make this chart we put the sales data into a series of £ per sqm 'buckets' (e.g. £5,700-£6,000, £6,000-£6,300, £6,300-£6,600 etc...) we then count the number of sales with within in each bucket and plot the results. The chart is based on 327 sales in Orpington (BR6 9) that took place in the last two years.

Distribution of £ per sqm for Orpington (BR6 9)
Distribution of £ per sqm house prices in Orpington

You can see the spread of prices above. This is because although internal area is a key factor in determining valuation, it is not the only factor. Many factors other than size affect desirability; these factors could be condition, aspect, garden size, negotiating power of the vendor etc.

The spread of prices will give you a feel of the typical range to expect in Orpington (BR6 9). Of the 327 transactions, half were sold for between £5,300 and £6,750 per square metre. The median, or 'middle', price per square metre in 'BR6 9' is £5,990. Notably, only 25% of properties that sold recently were valued at more than £6,750m2. For anything to be valued more than this means it has to be more desireable than the clear majority of homes.

Price map for Orpington

Do have a look at the interactive price map I created. I find it useful and I am sure it will help you in exploring Orpington. You can zoom in all the way to individual properties and then all the way back out to see the whole country. The colours show the current estimated property values.

Property price heatmap for Orpington
House price heatmap for Orpington

Comparison with neighbouring postcode sectors

The table below shows how 'BR6 9' compares to neighbouring postcode sectors.

Postcode sector Lower quartile Middle quartile Upper quartile
BR6 0 Petts Wood £4,860m2 £5,600m2 £6,470m2
BR6 7 Farnborough £5,170m2 £5,900m2 £6,670m2
BR6 9 Orpington £5,300m2 £5,990m2 £6,750m2
BR6 8 Orpington £5,380m2 £6,110m2 £7,080m2
BR6 6 Green Street Green £5,070m2 £5,750m2 £6,570m2

Will Orpington house prices drop in 2024?

I cannot tell the future and don't believe anyone who says they can. I can however plot price trends - I have done this in the scatter plot below for BR6 9 (Orpington). From this one could infer a range of reasonable possible future price falls or rises. In the chart below, the red dashed line is the house price trend for BR6 9 and the blue dots are the individual property sales that inform this trend.

Price per square metre in Orpington (BR6 9) over time
House price trends for Orpington

Hover on any blue dot to see details of specific sales

Disclaimer: The data provided throughout this website about Orpington and any other area, is not financial advice. Any information provided does not and cannot ever take in to account the particular financial situation, objectives or property needs of either you or anyone reading this information. Furthermore, I cannot guarantee the accuracy of any data shown. This information is based on sold prices and internal area data provided by Land Registry and other third parties - I do not verify the accuracy of the Orpington data or any other data I am given.

Street level data

Street Avg size Avg £/m2 Recent sales
Park Avenue, Orpington, BR6 9E 131m2 £6,136 26
Charterhouse Road, Orpington, BR6 9E 116m2 £5,556 25
Hillcrest Road, Orpington, BR6 9A 122m2 £5,719 22
Cloonmore Avenue, Orpington, BR6 9L 103m2 £5,926 22
Goddington Lane, Orpington, BR6 9D 135m2 £5,993 21
Repton Road, Orpington, BR6 9H 103m2 £5,812 21
Felstead Road, Orpington, BR6 9A 99m2 £5,799 21
Sevenoaks Road, Orpington, BR6 9J 92m2 £5,060 21

Search for your street here.

Raw data

Our analysis of Orpington is derived from what is essentially a big table of sold prices from Land Registry with added property size information. Below are three rows from this table to give you an idea.

Address Paid m2 £/m2
8, Berrylands, Orpington £242,500
Feb-2024
48 5,052
9, Blenheim Rd, Orpington £560,000
Feb-2024
92 6,086
112, Park Avenue, Orpington £810,000
Jan-2024
116 6,982

See the entire list of all sales in Orpington (BR6 9) here.

About

HouseMetric is a hobby, created out of a desire to see data and analysis not present on any free to use website. It is still a work in progress and I'll add more stuff in the near future.