Feb 07, 2023 by HM

House prices in Bristol (BS13 9)

This article reveals price per square metre data and various charts to help you understand current housing market in Bristol (BS13 9).


Price per square metre

Knowing the average house price in Bristol is not much use. However, knowing average price per square metre can be quite useful. Price per sqm allows some comparison between properties of different size. We define price per square metre as the sold price divided by the internal area of a property:

£ per sqm = price ÷ internal area
E.g. 42, Kilmersdon Road, Bristol, sold for £235,000 on Sep-2023. Given the internal area of 80 square metres, the price per sqm is £2,937.

England & Wales have been officially metric for many decades. However house price per square foot is sometimes prefered by those of sufficiently advanced age. They may want to convert metres on this page to square feet.

The chart below is called a histogram, it helps you see the distribution of this house price per sqm data. To make this chart we put the sales data into a series of £ per sqm 'buckets' (e.g. £2,350-£2,500, £2,500-£2,650, £2,650-£2,800 etc...) we then count the number of sales with within in each bucket and plot the results. The chart is based on 80 sales in Bristol (BS13 9) that took place in the last two years.

Distribution of £ per sqm for Bristol (BS13 9)
Distribution of £ per sqm house prices in Bristol

You can see the spread of prices above. This is because although internal area is a key factor in determining valuation, it is not the only factor. Many factors other than size affect desirability; these factors could be condition, aspect, garden size, negotiating power of the vendor etc.

That said, the spread of prices will give you a feel of the typical range to expect in Bristol (BS13 9). Of the 80 transactions, half were sold for between £2,810 and £3,420 per square metre. Notably, only 25% of properties that sold recently were valued at more than £3,420m2. For anything to be valued more than this means it has to be more desireable than the clear majority of homes.

For the average, we calculate the 'median' or middle price. The median price per square metre in 'BS13 9' is £3,120. The table below shows how 'BS13 9' compares to neighbouring postcode sectors.

Postcode sector Lower quartile Middle quartile Upper quartile
BS13 0 Bristol £2,700m2 £3,080m2 £3,350m2
BS13 8 Bishopsworth £3,090m2 £3,590m2 £4,000m2
BS13 7 Bishopsworth £3,170m2 £3,720m2 £4,150m2
BS13 9 Bristol £2,810m2 £3,120m2 £3,420m2

Will Bristol house prices drop in 2024?

I cannot tell the future and don't believe anyone who says they can. I can however plot price trends - I have done this in the scatter plot below for BS13 9 (Bristol). From this one could infer a range of reasonable possible future price falls or rises. In the chart below, the red dashed line is the house price trend for BS13 9 and the blue dots are the individual property sales that inform this trend.

Price per square metre in Bristol (BS13 9) over time
House price trends for Bristol

Hover on any blue dot to see details of specific sales

Disclaimer: The data provided throughout this website about Bristol and any other area, is not financial advice. Any information provided does not and cannot ever take in to account the particular financial situation, objectives or property needs of either you or anyone reading this information. Furthermore, I cannot guarantee the accuracy of any data shown. This information is based on sold prices and internal area data provided by Land Registry and other third parties - I do not verify the accuracy of the Bristol data or any other data I am given.

Price map for Bristol

I've just finished coding the map I link to below. I find it useful and I am sure it will help you in exploring Bristol. You can zoom in all the way to individual properties and then all the way back out to see the whole country. The colours show the current estimated property values. I will explain more about the methodology and create a key next week.

Property price heatmap for Bristol
House price heatmap for Bristol

Street level data

Street Avg size Avg £/m2 Recent sales
Bishport Avenue, Bristol, BS13 9E 74m2 £2,741 16
Newland Road, Bristol, BS13 9D 71m2 £2,961 13
Molesworth Drive, Bristol, BS13 9B 84m2 £2,753 12
Fair Furlong, Bristol, BS13 9H 81m2 £2,813 9
Hareclive Road, Bristol, BS13 9J 86m2 £2,578 8
Newland Road, Bristol, BS13 9E 75m2 £2,508 8
Gatcombe Road, Bristol, BS13 9R 75m2 £2,994 8
Vowell Close, Bristol, BS13 9H 76m2 £2,644 7

Search for your street here.

Raw data

Our analysis of Bristol is derived from what is essentially a big table of sold prices from Land Registry with added property size information. Below are three rows from this table to give you an idea.

Address Paid m2 £/m2
42, Kilmersdon Rd, Bristol £235,000
Sep-2023
80 2,937
44, Claypiece Rd, Bristol £230,000
Aug-2023
77 2,987
75, Gay Elms Rd, Bristol £240,000
Jul-2023
80 3,000

See the entire list of all sales in Bristol (BS13 9) here.

About

HouseMetric is a hobby, created out of a desire to see data and analysis not present on any free to use website. It is still a work in progress and I'll add more stuff in the near future.