Feb 07, 2023 by HM

House prices in Ashton (BS3 2)

This article reveals price per square metre data and various charts to help you understand current housing market in Ashton (BS3 2).


Price per square metre

Knowing the average house price in Ashton is not much use. However, knowing average price per square metre can be quite useful. Price per sqm allows some comparison between properties of different size. We define price per square metre as the sold price divided by the internal area of a property:

£ per sqm = price ÷ internal area
E.g. 31, Balfour Road, Ashton, Bristol, sold for £445,000 on Sep-2023. Given the internal area of 72 square metres, the price per sqm is £6,180.

England & Wales have been officially metric for many decades. However house price per square foot is sometimes prefered by those of sufficiently advanced age. They may want to convert metres on this page to square feet.

The chart below is called a histogram, it helps you see the distribution of this house price per sqm data. To make this chart we put the sales data into a series of £ per sqm 'buckets' (e.g. £4,700-£5,000, £5,000-£5,300, £5,300-£5,600 etc...) we then count the number of sales with within in each bucket and plot the results. The chart is based on 158 sales in Ashton (BS3 2) that took place in the last two years.

Distribution of £ per sqm for Ashton (BS3 2)
Distribution of £ per sqm house prices in Ashton

You can see the spread of prices above. This is because although internal area is a key factor in determining valuation, it is not the only factor. Many factors other than size affect desirability; these factors could be condition, aspect, garden size, negotiating power of the vendor etc.

That said, the spread of prices will give you a feel of the typical range to expect in Ashton (BS3 2). Of the 158 transactions, half were sold for between £3,940 and £5,130 per square metre. Notably, only 25% of properties that sold recently were valued at more than £5,130m2. For anything to be valued more than this means it has to be more desireable than the clear majority of homes.

For the average, we calculate the 'median' or middle price. The median price per square metre in 'BS3 2' is £4,440. The table below shows how 'BS3 2' compares to neighbouring postcode sectors.

Postcode sector Lower quartile Middle quartile Upper quartile
BS3 1 Southville £4,360m2 £4,810m2 £5,310m2
BS3 3 Bedminster £4,060m2 £4,560m2 £5,130m2
BS3 4 Bedminster £4,080m2 £4,530m2 £5,040m2
BS3 5 Bedminster £3,780m2 £4,290m2 £4,900m2
BS3 2 Ashton £3,940m2 £4,440m2 £5,130m2

Will Ashton house prices drop in 2024?

I cannot tell the future and don't believe anyone who says they can. I can however plot price trends - I have done this in the scatter plot below for BS3 2 (Ashton). From this one could infer a range of reasonable possible future price falls or rises. In the chart below, the red dashed line is the house price trend for BS3 2 and the blue dots are the individual property sales that inform this trend.

Price per square metre in Ashton (BS3 2) over time
House price trends for Ashton

Hover on any blue dot to see details of specific sales

Disclaimer: The data provided throughout this website about Ashton and any other area, is not financial advice. Any information provided does not and cannot ever take in to account the particular financial situation, objectives or property needs of either you or anyone reading this information. Furthermore, I cannot guarantee the accuracy of any data shown. This information is based on sold prices and internal area data provided by Land Registry and other third parties - I do not verify the accuracy of the Ashton data or any other data I am given.

Price map for Ashton

I've just finished coding the map I link to below. I find it useful and I am sure it will help you in exploring Ashton. You can zoom in all the way to individual properties and then all the way back out to see the whole country. The colours show the current estimated property values. I will explain more about the methodology and create a key next week.

Property price heatmap for Ashton
House price heatmap for Ashton

Street level data

Street Avg size Avg £/m2 Recent sales
Paxton Drive, Ashton, BS3 2B 62m2 £3,969 41
Ashton Drive, Ashton, BS3 2P 88m2 £3,702 25
Swiss Drive, Ashton, BS3 2R 92m2 £3,856 17
Friezewood Road, Ashton, BS3 2A 99m2 £4,737 15
Silbury Road, Ashton, BS3 2Q 88m2 £3,457 15
Wells Street, Ashton, BS3 2E 78m2 £4,101 14
Smyth Road, Ashton, BS3 2B 92m2 £4,178 14
Ashton Road, Ashton, BS3 2E 113m2 £3,955 13

Search for your street here.

Raw data

Our analysis of Ashton is derived from what is essentially a big table of sold prices from Land Registry with added property size information. Below are three rows from this table to give you an idea.

Address Paid m2 £/m2
31, Balfour Rd, Ashton, Bristol £445,000
Sep-2023
72 6,180
14, Wells St, Ashton, Bristol £370,000
Aug-2023
67 5,522
139, Paxton Drive, Ashton, Bristol £290,000
Aug-2023
72 4,027

See the entire list of all sales in Ashton (BS3 2) here.

About

HouseMetric is a hobby, created out of a desire to see data and analysis not present on any free to use website. It is still a work in progress and I'll add more stuff in the near future.