Feb 07, 2023 by HM

House prices in Warmley (BS30 8)

This article reveals price per square metre data and various charts to help you understand current housing market in Warmley (BS30 8).

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Price per square metre

Knowing the average house price in Warmley is not much use. However, knowing average price per square metre can be quite useful. Price per sqm allows some comparison between properties of different size. We define price per square metre as the sold price divided by the internal area of a property:

£ per sqm = price ÷ internal area

E.g. 18, Chiltern Close, Warmley, Longwell Green, sold for £275,000 on Sep-2023. Given the internal area of 71 square metres, the price per sqm is £3,873.

England & Wales have been officially metric for many decades. However house price per square foot is sometimes prefered by those of sufficiently advanced age. They may want to convert metres on this page to square feet.

The chart below is called a histogram, it helps you see the distribution of this house price per sqm data. To make this chart we put the sales data into a series of £ per sqm 'buckets' (e.g. £3,250-£3,500, £3,500-£3,750, £3,750-£4,000 etc...) we then count the number of sales with within in each bucket and plot the results. The chart is based on 212 sales in Warmley (BS30 8) that took place in the last two years.

You can see the spread of prices above. This is because although internal area is a key factor in determining valuation, it is not the only factor. Many factors other than size affect desirability; these factors could be condition, aspect, garden size, negotiating power of the vendor etc.

That said, the spread of prices will give you a feel of the typical range to expect in Warmley (BS30 8). Of the 212 transactions, half were sold for between £3,450 and £4,470 per square metre. Notably, only 25% of properties that sold recently were valued at more than £4,470m². For anything to be valued more than this means it has to be more desireable than the clear majority of homes.

For the average, we calculate the 'median' or middle price. The median price per square metre in 'BS30 8' is £3,920. The table below shows how 'BS30 8' compares to neighbouring postcode sectors.

Postcode sector	Lower quartile	Middle quartile	Upper quartile
BS30 9 Longwell Green	£3,520m2	£4,140m2	£4,630m2
BS30 5 Wick	£3,510m2	£4,090m2	£4,660m2
BS30 6 Bitton	£3,530m2	£3,850m2	£4,350m2
BS30 7 Barrs Court	£4,100m2	£4,580m2	£4,880m2
BS30 8 Warmley	£3,450m2	£3,920m2	£4,470m2

Will Warmley house prices drop in 2024?

I cannot tell the future and don't believe anyone who says they can. I can however plot price trends - I have done this in the scatter plot below for BS30 8 (Warmley). From this one could infer a range of reasonable possible future price falls or rises. In the chart below, the red dashed line is the house price trend for BS30 8 and the blue dots are the individual property sales that inform this trend.

Disclaimer: The data provided throughout this website about Warmley and any other area, is not financial advice. Any information provided does not and cannot ever take in to account the particular financial situation, objectives or property needs of either you or anyone reading this information. Furthermore, I cannot guarantee the accuracy of any data shown. This information is based on sold prices and internal area data provided by Land Registry and other third parties - I do not verify the accuracy of the Warmley data or any other data I am given.

Price map for Warmley

I've just finished coding the map I link to below. I find it useful and I am sure it will help you in exploring Warmley. You can zoom in all the way to individual properties and then all the way back out to see the whole country. The colours show the current estimated property values. I will explain more about the methodology and create a key next week.

House price heatmap for Warmley

Street level data

Street	Avg size	Avg £/m2	Recent sales
Chiltern Close, Warmley, BS30 8U	70m2	£2,718	21
Tower Road South, Warmley, BS30 8B	115m2	£2,984	16
Kennmoor Close, Warmley, BS30 8B	59m2	£4,220	15
Sunningdale Drive, Warmley, BS30 8G	55m2	£4,514	14
Earlstone Crescent, Warmley, BS30 8A	76m2	£3,439	14
Cadbury Heath Road, Warmley, BS30 8B	98m2	£3,527	13
Jeffery Court, Warmley, BS30 8G	69m2	£4,023	12
Malvern Drive, Warmley, BS30 8U	68m2	£2,939	12

Search for your street here.

Raw data

Our analysis of Warmley is derived from what is essentially a big table of sold prices from Land Registry with added property size information. Below are three rows from this table to give you an idea.

Address	Paid	m2	£/m2
18, Chiltern Close, Warmley, Longwell Green	£275,000 Sep-2023	71	3,873
70, Malvern Drive, Warmley, Longwell Green	£100,000 Sep-2023	65	1,538
4, Marygold Leaze, Warmley, Longwell Green	£260,000 Sep-2023	81	3,209

See the entire list of all sales in Warmley (BS30 8) here.