Feb 07, 2023 by HM

House prices in Warmley (BS30 8)

This article reveals price per square metre data and various charts to help you understand current housing market in Warmley (BS30 8).


Defining 'BS30 8'

This analysis is limited to properties whose postcode starts with "BS30 8", this is also called the postcode sector. It is shown in red on the map above. You can click on the map labels to change to a neighbouring sector.

Price per square metre

Knowing the average house price in Warmley is not much use. However, knowing average price per square metre can be quite useful. Price per sqm allows some comparison between properties of different size. We define price per square metre as the sold price divided by the internal area of a property:

£ per sqm = price ÷ internal area
E.g. 38, Kennmoor Close, Warmley, Longwell Green, sold for £189,950 on Feb-2024. Given the internal area of 42 square metres, the price per sqm is £4,522.

England & Wales have been officially metric for many decades. However house price per square foot is sometimes prefered by those of sufficiently advanced age. ;-) They may want to convert metres on this page to square feet.

The chart below is called a histogram, it helps you see the distribution of this house price per sqm data. To make this chart we put the sales data into a series of £ per sqm 'buckets' (e.g. £3,800-£4,000, £4,000-£4,200, £4,200-£4,400 etc...) we then count the number of sales with within in each bucket and plot the results. The chart is based on 220 sales in Warmley (BS30 8) that took place in the last two years.

Distribution of £ per sqm for Warmley (BS30 8)
Distribution of £ per sqm house prices in Warmley

You can see the spread of prices above. This is because although internal area is a key factor in determining valuation, it is not the only factor. Many factors other than size affect desirability; these factors could be condition, aspect, garden size, negotiating power of the vendor etc.

The spread of prices will give you a feel of the typical range to expect in Warmley (BS30 8). Of the 220 transactions, half were sold for between £3,460 and £4,520 per square metre. The median, or 'middle', price per square metre in 'BS30 8' is £3,960. Notably, only 25% of properties that sold recently were valued at more than £4,520m2. For anything to be valued more than this means it has to be more desireable than the clear majority of homes.

Price map for Warmley

Do have a look at the interactive price map I created. I find it useful and I am sure it will help you in exploring Warmley. You can zoom in all the way to individual properties and then all the way back out to see the whole country. The colours show the current estimated property values.

Property price heatmap for Warmley
House price heatmap for Warmley

Comparison with neighbouring postcode sectors

The table below shows how 'BS30 8' compares to neighbouring postcode sectors.

Postcode sector Lower quartile Middle quartile Upper quartile
BS30 9 Longwell Green £3,450m2 £4,130m2 £4,560m2
BS30 6 Bitton £3,460m2 £3,880m2 £4,590m2
BS30 5 Wick £3,610m2 £4,150m2 £4,750m2
BS30 7 Barrs Court £4,240m2 £4,650m2 £5,000m2
BS30 8 Warmley £3,460m2 £3,960m2 £4,520m2

Will Warmley house prices drop in 2024?

I cannot tell the future and don't believe anyone who says they can. I can however plot price trends - I have done this in the scatter plot below for BS30 8 (Warmley). From this one could infer a range of reasonable possible future price falls or rises. In the chart below, the red dashed line is the house price trend for BS30 8 and the blue dots are the individual property sales that inform this trend.

Price per square metre in Warmley (BS30 8) over time
House price trends for Warmley

Hover on any blue dot to see details of specific sales

Disclaimer: The data provided throughout this website about Warmley and any other area, is not financial advice. Any information provided does not and cannot ever take in to account the particular financial situation, objectives or property needs of either you or anyone reading this information. Furthermore, I cannot guarantee the accuracy of any data shown. This information is based on sold prices and internal area data provided by Land Registry and other third parties - I do not verify the accuracy of the Warmley data or any other data I am given.

Street level data

Street Avg size Avg £/m2 Recent sales
Chiltern Close, Warmley, BS30 8U 70m2 £2,708 20
Earlstone Crescent, Warmley, BS30 8A 76m2 £3,429 16
Kennmoor Close, Warmley, BS30 8B 59m2 £4,239 16
Sunningdale Drive, Warmley, BS30 8G 55m2 £4,556 15
Tower Road South, Warmley, BS30 8B 115m2 £3,029 15
Jeffery Court, Warmley, BS30 8G 69m2 £4,119 13
Malvern Drive, Warmley, BS30 8X 67m2 £2,846 13
Cadbury Heath Road, Warmley, BS30 8B 98m2 £3,517 12

Search for your street here.

Raw data

Our analysis of Warmley is derived from what is essentially a big table of sold prices from Land Registry with added property size information. Below are three rows from this table to give you an idea.

Address Paid m2 £/m2
38, Kennmoor Close, Warmley, Longwell Green £189,950
Feb-2024
42 4,522
134, Tower Rd North, Warmley, Longwell Green £600,000
Feb-2024
272 2,205
1, Crown Gardens, Warmley, Longwell Green £285,000
Jan-2024
66 4,318

See the entire list of all sales in Warmley (BS30 8) here.

About

HouseMetric is a hobby, created out of a desire to see data and analysis not present on any free to use website. It is still a work in progress and I'll add more stuff in the near future.