Feb 07, 2023 by HM

House prices in Keynsham (BS31 1)

This article reveals price per square metre data and various charts to help you understand current housing market in Keynsham (BS31 1).


Price per square metre

Knowing the average house price in Keynsham is not much use. However, knowing average price per square metre can be quite useful. Price per sqm allows some comparison between properties of different size. We define price per square metre as the sold price divided by the internal area of a property:

£ per sqm = price ÷ internal area
E.g. Flat 23 The Regents, Back Lane, Keynsham, sold for £224,000 on Sep-2023. Given the internal area of 43 square metres, the price per sqm is £5,209.

England & Wales have been officially metric for many decades. However house price per square foot is sometimes prefered by those of sufficiently advanced age. They may want to convert metres on this page to square feet.

The chart below is called a histogram, it helps you see the distribution of this house price per sqm data. To make this chart we put the sales data into a series of £ per sqm 'buckets' (e.g. £4,250-£4,500, £4,500-£4,750, £4,750-£5,000 etc...) we then count the number of sales with within in each bucket and plot the results. The chart is based on 230 sales in Keynsham (BS31 1) that took place in the last two years.

Distribution of £ per sqm for Keynsham (BS31 1)
Distribution of £ per sqm house prices in Keynsham

You can see the spread of prices above. This is because although internal area is a key factor in determining valuation, it is not the only factor. Many factors other than size affect desirability; these factors could be condition, aspect, garden size, negotiating power of the vendor etc.

That said, the spread of prices will give you a feel of the typical range to expect in Keynsham (BS31 1). Of the 230 transactions, half were sold for between £3,510 and £4,570 per square metre. Notably, only 25% of properties that sold recently were valued at more than £4,570m2. For anything to be valued more than this means it has to be more desireable than the clear majority of homes.

For the average, we calculate the 'median' or middle price. The median price per square metre in 'BS31 1' is £3,960. The table below shows how 'BS31 1' compares to neighbouring postcode sectors.

Postcode sector Lower quartile Middle quartile Upper quartile
BS31 1 Keynsham £3,510m2 £3,960m2 £4,570m2
BS31 2 Keynsham £3,400m2 £3,810m2 £4,290m2
BS31 3 Saltford £4,200m2 £4,690m2 £5,180m2

Will Keynsham house prices drop in 2024?

I cannot tell the future and don't believe anyone who says they can. I can however plot price trends - I have done this in the scatter plot below for BS31 1 (Keynsham). From this one could infer a range of reasonable possible future price falls or rises. In the chart below, the red dashed line is the house price trend for BS31 1 and the blue dots are the individual property sales that inform this trend.

Price per square metre in Keynsham (BS31 1) over time
House price trends for Keynsham

Hover on any blue dot to see details of specific sales

Disclaimer: The data provided throughout this website about Keynsham and any other area, is not financial advice. Any information provided does not and cannot ever take in to account the particular financial situation, objectives or property needs of either you or anyone reading this information. Furthermore, I cannot guarantee the accuracy of any data shown. This information is based on sold prices and internal area data provided by Land Registry and other third parties - I do not verify the accuracy of the Keynsham data or any other data I am given.

Price map for Keynsham

I've just finished coding the map I link to below. I find it useful and I am sure it will help you in exploring Keynsham. You can zoom in all the way to individual properties and then all the way back out to see the whole country. The colours show the current estimated property values. I will explain more about the methodology and create a key next week.

Property price heatmap for Keynsham
House price heatmap for Keynsham

Street level data

Street Avg size Avg £/m2 Recent sales
The Mead, Keynsham, BS31 1F 103m2 £3,746 27
Bath Road, Keynsham, BS31 1S 69m2 £3,115 27
Greenfield Road, Keynsham, BS31 1F 63m2 £3,226 24
Fairacres Close, Keynsham, BS31 1T 58m2 £2,344 15
Nunney Close, Keynsham, BS31 1X 95m2 £4,469 13
Dunster Road, Keynsham, BS31 1W 95m2 £3,751 12
Cherwell Road, Keynsham, BS31 1Q 88m2 £3,320 11
Bath Road, Keynsham, BS31 1T 146m2 £3,548 11

Search for your street here.

New build activity

Street Avg size Avg £/m2 New build sales
Temple Street, Keynsham, BS31 1F 63m2 £3,884 50
Fairfield Way, Keynsham, BS31 1G 111m2 £3,880 26
Temple Street, Keynsham, BS31 1G 70m2 £3,971 24

Temple Street, Keynsham, BS31 1F has seen 50 new build sales in the last 4 years (average price £239,422). These new build homes typically have an internal area of 63 m2, with an average price of £3,884 m2. This £sqm average is £-76 below the average for BS31 1. New builds typically command a £ per sqm premium. In the case of Temple Street the premium seems not to exist. Without more info we can only speculate why this may be. Perhaps it may be greater density and smaller gardens, but this is just a guess.

Raw data

Our analysis of Keynsham is derived from what is essentially a big table of sold prices from Land Registry with added property size information. Below are three rows from this table to give you an idea.

Address Paid m2 £/m2
Flat 23 The Regents, Back Lane, Keynsham £224,000
Sep-2023
43 5,209
Flat 6 The Regents, Back Lane, Keynsham £332,350
Sep-2023
59 5,633
11, Corfe Crescent, Keynsham £310,000
Aug-2023
76 4,078

See the entire list of all sales in Keynsham (BS31 1) here.

About

HouseMetric is a hobby, created out of a desire to see data and analysis not present on any free to use website. It is still a work in progress and I'll add more stuff in the near future.