Feb 07, 2023 by HM

House prices in Bristol (BS9 1)

This article reveals price per square metre data and various charts to help you understand current housing market in Bristol (BS9 1).


Price per square metre

Knowing the average house price in Bristol is not much use. However, knowing average price per square metre can be quite useful. Price per sqm allows some comparison between properties of different size. We define price per square metre as the sold price divided by the internal area of a property:

£ per sqm = price ÷ internal area
E.g. 15, Cavendish Gardens, Bristol, sold for £685,000 on Sep-2023. Given the internal area of 144 square metres, the price per sqm is £4,756.

England & Wales have been officially metric for many decades. However house price per square foot is sometimes prefered by those of sufficiently advanced age. They may want to convert metres on this page to square feet.

The chart below is called a histogram, it helps you see the distribution of this house price per sqm data. To make this chart we put the sales data into a series of £ per sqm 'buckets' (e.g. £5,150-£5,500, £5,500-£5,850, £5,850-£6,200 etc...) we then count the number of sales with within in each bucket and plot the results. The chart is based on 192 sales in Bristol (BS9 1) that took place in the last two years.

Distribution of £ per sqm for Bristol (BS9 1)
Distribution of £ per sqm house prices in Bristol

You can see the spread of prices above. This is because although internal area is a key factor in determining valuation, it is not the only factor. Many factors other than size affect desirability; these factors could be condition, aspect, garden size, negotiating power of the vendor etc.

That said, the spread of prices will give you a feel of the typical range to expect in Bristol (BS9 1). Of the 192 transactions, half were sold for between £4,220 and £6,030 per square metre. Notably, only 25% of properties that sold recently were valued at more than £6,030m2. For anything to be valued more than this means it has to be more desireable than the clear majority of homes.

For the average, we calculate the 'median' or middle price. The median price per square metre in 'BS9 1' is £5,000. The table below shows how 'BS9 1' compares to neighbouring postcode sectors.

Postcode sector Lower quartile Middle quartile Upper quartile
BS9 2 Bristol £3,870m2 £4,520m2 £5,110m2
BS9 3 Bristol £4,550m2 £5,400m2 £6,000m2
BS9 4 Bristol £4,620m2 £5,400m2 £6,260m2
BS9 1 Bristol £4,220m2 £5,000m2 £6,030m2

Will Bristol house prices drop in 2024?

I cannot tell the future and don't believe anyone who says they can. I can however plot price trends - I have done this in the scatter plot below for BS9 1 (Bristol). From this one could infer a range of reasonable possible future price falls or rises. In the chart below, the red dashed line is the house price trend for BS9 1 and the blue dots are the individual property sales that inform this trend.

Price per square metre in Bristol (BS9 1) over time
House price trends for Bristol

Hover on any blue dot to see details of specific sales

Disclaimer: The data provided throughout this website about Bristol and any other area, is not financial advice. Any information provided does not and cannot ever take in to account the particular financial situation, objectives or property needs of either you or anyone reading this information. Furthermore, I cannot guarantee the accuracy of any data shown. This information is based on sold prices and internal area data provided by Land Registry and other third parties - I do not verify the accuracy of the Bristol data or any other data I am given.

Price map for Bristol

I've just finished coding the map I link to below. I find it useful and I am sure it will help you in exploring Bristol. You can zoom in all the way to individual properties and then all the way back out to see the whole country. The colours show the current estimated property values. I will explain more about the methodology and create a key next week.

Property price heatmap for Bristol
House price heatmap for Bristol

Street level data

Street Avg size Avg £/m2 Recent sales
Glenavon Park, Bristol, BS9 1R 121m2 £5,394 15
Knoll Hill, Bristol, BS9 1Q 106m2 £4,367 15
Downleaze, Bristol, BS9 1L 120m2 £4,581 14
Hazelwood Road, Bristol, BS9 1P 97m2 £4,244 14
The Avenue, Bristol, BS9 1P 141m2 £4,982 13
Pitch & Pay Park, Bristol, BS9 1N 98m2 £5,872 13
Sea Mills Lane, Bristol, BS9 1D 97m2 £3,877 12
Parrys Lane, Bristol, BS9 1A 160m2 £4,436 12

Search for your street here.

Raw data

Our analysis of Bristol is derived from what is essentially a big table of sold prices from Land Registry with added property size information. Below are three rows from this table to give you an idea.

Address Paid m2 £/m2
15, Cavendish Gardens, Bristol £685,000
Sep-2023
144 4,756
27, Old Sneed Avenue, Bristol £1,065,000
Sep-2023
214 4,976
9, Cedar Park, Bristol £1,245,000
Aug-2023
152 8,190

See the entire list of all sales in Bristol (BS9 1) here.

About

HouseMetric is a hobby, created out of a desire to see data and analysis not present on any free to use website. It is still a work in progress and I'll add more stuff in the near future.