Feb 07, 2023 by HM

House prices in Carlisle (CA1 2)

This article reveals price per square metre data and various charts to help you understand current housing market in Carlisle (CA1 2).


Price per square metre

Knowing the average house price in Carlisle is not much use. However, knowing average price per square metre can be quite useful. Price per sqm allows some comparison between properties of different size. We define price per square metre as the sold price divided by the internal area of a property:

£ per sqm = price ÷ internal area
E.g. 6, Chertsey Bank, Carlisle, sold for £145,000 on Sep-2023. Given the internal area of 69 square metres, the price per sqm is £2,101.

England & Wales have been officially metric for many decades. However house price per square foot is sometimes prefered by those of sufficiently advanced age. They may want to convert metres on this page to square feet.

The chart below is called a histogram, it helps you see the distribution of this house price per sqm data. To make this chart we put the sales data into a series of £ per sqm 'buckets' (e.g. £1,900-£2,000, £2,000-£2,100, £2,100-£2,200 etc...) we then count the number of sales with within in each bucket and plot the results. The chart is based on 390 sales in Carlisle (CA1 2) that took place in the last two years.

Distribution of £ per sqm for Carlisle (CA1 2)
Distribution of £ per sqm house prices in Carlisle

You can see the spread of prices above. This is because although internal area is a key factor in determining valuation, it is not the only factor. Many factors other than size affect desirability; these factors could be condition, aspect, garden size, negotiating power of the vendor etc.

That said, the spread of prices will give you a feel of the typical range to expect in Carlisle (CA1 2). Of the 390 transactions, half were sold for between £1,090 and £1,610 per square metre. Notably, only 25% of properties that sold recently were valued at more than £1,610m2. For anything to be valued more than this means it has to be more desireable than the clear majority of homes.

For the average, we calculate the 'median' or middle price. The median price per square metre in 'CA1 2' is £1,320. The table below shows how 'CA1 2' compares to neighbouring postcode sectors.

Postcode sector Lower quartile Middle quartile Upper quartile
CA1 3 Carlisle £1,310m2 £1,570m2 £2,130m2
CA1 1 Carlisle £940m2 £1,270m2 £1,640m2
CA1 2 Carlisle £1,090m2 £1,320m2 £1,610m2

Will Carlisle house prices drop in 2024?

I cannot tell the future and don't believe anyone who says they can. I can however plot price trends - I have done this in the scatter plot below for CA1 2 (Carlisle). From this one could infer a range of reasonable possible future price falls or rises. In the chart below, the red dashed line is the house price trend for CA1 2 and the blue dots are the individual property sales that inform this trend.

Price per square metre in Carlisle (CA1 2) over time
House price trends for Carlisle

Hover on any blue dot to see details of specific sales

Disclaimer: The data provided throughout this website about Carlisle and any other area, is not financial advice. Any information provided does not and cannot ever take in to account the particular financial situation, objectives or property needs of either you or anyone reading this information. Furthermore, I cannot guarantee the accuracy of any data shown. This information is based on sold prices and internal area data provided by Land Registry and other third parties - I do not verify the accuracy of the Carlisle data or any other data I am given.

Price map for Carlisle

I've just finished coding the map I link to below. I find it useful and I am sure it will help you in exploring Carlisle. You can zoom in all the way to individual properties and then all the way back out to see the whole country. The colours show the current estimated property values. I will explain more about the methodology and create a key next week.

Property price heatmap for Carlisle
House price heatmap for Carlisle

Street level data

Street Avg size Avg £/m2 Recent sales
Greystone Road, Carlisle, CA1 2D 92m2 £1,149 26
Petteril Street, Carlisle, CA1 2A 121m2 £1,327 24
Lindisfarne Street, Carlisle, CA1 2N 69m2 £1,122 22
Broad Street, Carlisle, CA1 2A 127m2 £1,266 22
Thomson Street, Carlisle, CA1 2L 71m2 £1,099 19
Eldred Street, Carlisle, CA1 2A 108m2 £1,261 18
Alexander Street, Carlisle, CA1 2L 79m2 £991 18
Warwick Road, Carlisle, CA1 2B 121m2 £1,298 16

Search for your street here.

New build activity

Street Avg size Avg £/m2 New build sales
Nunnery Close, Carlisle, CA1 2G 92m2 £1,981 19
Rufus Road, Carlisle, CA1 2G 112m2 £2,097 9

Nunnery Close, Carlisle, CA1 2G has seen 19 new build sales in the last 4 years (average price £190,936). These new build homes typically have an internal area of 92 m2, with an average price of £1,981 m2. This £sqm average is £661 above the average for CA1 2. New builds typically command a £ per sqm premium so this is normal.

Raw data

Our analysis of Carlisle is derived from what is essentially a big table of sold prices from Land Registry with added property size information. Below are three rows from this table to give you an idea.

Address Paid m2 £/m2
6, Chertsey Bank, Carlisle £145,000
Sep-2023
69 2,101
20, Linton Close, Carlisle £120,000
Sep-2023
57 2,105
57, Farlam Drive, Carlisle £85,000
Sep-2023
69 1,231

See the entire list of all sales in Carlisle (CA1 2) here.

About

HouseMetric is a hobby, created out of a desire to see data and analysis not present on any free to use website. It is still a work in progress and I'll add more stuff in the near future.