Feb 07, 2023 by HM

House prices in Cardiff (CF10 4)

This article reveals price per square metre data and various charts to help you understand current housing market in Cardiff (CF10 4).

Price per square metre

Knowing the average house price in Cardiff is not much use. However, knowing average price per square metre can be quite useful. Price per sqm allows some comparison between properties of different size. We define price per square metre as the sold price divided by the internal area of a property:

£ per sqm = price ÷ internal area
E.g. 6 Barletta House, Vellacott Close, Cardiff, sold for £190,000 on Sep-2023. Given the internal area of 71 square metres, the price per sqm is £2,676.

England & Wales have been officially metric for many decades. However house price per square foot is sometimes prefered by those of sufficiently advanced age. They may want to convert metres on this page to square feet.

The chart below is called a histogram, it helps you see the distribution of this house price per sqm data. To make this chart we put the sales data into a series of £ per sqm 'buckets' (e.g. £3,350-£3,500, £3,500-£3,650, £3,650-£3,800 etc...) we then count the number of sales with within in each bucket and plot the results. The chart is based on 164 sales in Cardiff (CF10 4) that took place in the last two years.

Distribution of £ per sqm for Cardiff (CF10 4)
Distribution of £ per sqm house prices in Cardiff

You can see the spread of prices above. This is because although internal area is a key factor in determining valuation, it is not the only factor. Many factors other than size affect desirability; these factors could be condition, aspect, garden size, negotiating power of the vendor etc.

That said, the spread of prices will give you a feel of the typical range to expect in Cardiff (CF10 4). Of the 164 transactions, half were sold for between £2,350 and £3,090 per square metre. Notably, only 25% of properties that sold recently were valued at more than £3,090m2. For anything to be valued more than this means it has to be more desireable than the clear majority of homes.

For the average, we calculate the 'median' or middle price. The median price per square metre in 'CF10 4' is £2,710. The table below shows how 'CF10 4' compares to neighbouring postcode sectors.

Postcode sector Lower quartile Middle quartile Upper quartile
CF10 1 Cardiff £2,170m2 £2,850m2 £3,420m2
CF10 3 Cardiff £2,260m2 £2,640m2 £3,050m2
CF10 5 Butetown £2,240m2 £2,460m2 £2,860m2
CF10 2 Cardiff £2,310m2 £2,770m2 £3,420m2
CF10 4 Cardiff £2,350m2 £2,710m2 £3,090m2

Will Cardiff house prices drop in 2024?

I cannot tell the future and don't believe anyone who says they can. I can however plot price trends - I have done this in the scatter plot below for CF10 4 (Cardiff). From this one could infer a range of reasonable possible future price falls or rises. In the chart below, the red dashed line is the house price trend for CF10 4 and the blue dots are the individual property sales that inform this trend.

Price per square metre in Cardiff (CF10 4) over time
House price trends for Cardiff

Hover on any blue dot to see details of specific sales

Disclaimer: The data provided throughout this website about Cardiff and any other area, is not financial advice. Any information provided does not and cannot ever take in to account the particular financial situation, objectives or property needs of either you or anyone reading this information. Furthermore, I cannot guarantee the accuracy of any data shown. This information is based on sold prices and internal area data provided by Land Registry and other third parties - I do not verify the accuracy of the Cardiff data or any other data I am given.

Price map for Cardiff

I've just finished coding the map I link to below. I find it useful and I am sure it will help you in exploring Cardiff. You can zoom in all the way to individual properties and then all the way back out to see the whole country. The colours show the current estimated property values. I will explain more about the methodology and create a key next week.

Property price heatmap for Cardiff
House price heatmap for Cardiff

Street level data

Street Avg size Avg £/m2 Recent sales
Ffordd Garthorne, Cardiff, CF10 4D 65m2 £2,610 41
Vellacott Close, Cardiff, CF10 4A 66m2 £2,599 38
Henke Court, Cardiff, CF10 4E 78m2 £2,423 32
Adventurers Quay, Cardiff, CF10 4N 92m2 £2,763 31
Schooner Drive, Cardiff, CF10 4E 57m2 £3,369 21
Falcon Drive, Cardiff, CF10 4P 49m2 £2,335 17
Lloyd George Avenue, Cardiff, CF10 4Q 81m2 £2,818 15
Falcon Drive, Cardiff, CF10 4R 65m2 £1,746 15

Search for your street here.

Raw data

Our analysis of Cardiff is derived from what is essentially a big table of sold prices from Land Registry with added property size information. Below are three rows from this table to give you an idea.

Address Paid m2 £/m2
6 Barletta House, Vellacott Close, Cardiff £190,000
71 2,676
3 Verona House, Vellacott Close, Cardiff £170,000
65 2,615
10 Verona House, Vellacott Close, Cardiff £160,100
54 2,964

See the entire list of all sales in Cardiff (CF10 4) here.


HouseMetric is a hobby, created out of a desire to see data and analysis not present on any free to use website. It is still a work in progress and I'll add more stuff in the near future.