Feb 07, 2023 by HM

House prices in Cardiff (CF11 7)

This article reveals price per square metre data and various charts to help you understand current housing market in Cardiff (CF11 7).

---

Price per square metre

Knowing the average house price in Cardiff is not much use. However, knowing average price per square metre can be quite useful. Price per sqm allows some comparison between properties of different size. We define price per square metre as the sold price divided by the internal area of a property:

£ per sqm = price ÷ internal area

E.g. 114, Taff Embankment, Cardiff, sold for £300,000 on Aug-2023. Given the internal area of 88 square metres, the price per sqm is £3,409.

England & Wales have been officially metric for many decades. However house price per square foot is sometimes prefered by those of sufficiently advanced age. They may want to convert metres on this page to square feet.

The chart below is called a histogram, it helps you see the distribution of this house price per sqm data. To make this chart we put the sales data into a series of £ per sqm 'buckets' (e.g. £2,350-£2,500, £2,500-£2,650, £2,650-£2,800 etc...) we then count the number of sales with within in each bucket and plot the results. The chart is based on 207 sales in Cardiff (CF11 7) that took place in the last two years.

You can see the spread of prices above. This is because although internal area is a key factor in determining valuation, it is not the only factor. Many factors other than size affect desirability; these factors could be condition, aspect, garden size, negotiating power of the vendor etc.

That said, the spread of prices will give you a feel of the typical range to expect in Cardiff (CF11 7). Of the 207 transactions, half were sold for between £2,290 and £2,930 per square metre. Notably, only 25% of properties that sold recently were valued at more than £2,930m². For anything to be valued more than this means it has to be more desireable than the clear majority of homes.

For the average, we calculate the 'median' or middle price. The median price per square metre in 'CF11 7' is £2,570. The table below shows how 'CF11 7' compares to neighbouring postcode sectors.

Postcode sector	Lower quartile	Middle quartile	Upper quartile
CF11 7 Cardiff	£2,290m2	£2,570m2	£2,930m2
CF11 9 Canton	£3,210m2	£3,680m2	£4,320m2
CF11 0 Cardiff	£2,100m2	£2,810m2	£3,560m2
CF11 6 Grangetown	£2,150m2	£2,570m2	£2,900m2
CF11 8 Canton	£2,900m2	£3,250m2	£3,640m2

Will Cardiff house prices drop in 2024?

I cannot tell the future and don't believe anyone who says they can. I can however plot price trends - I have done this in the scatter plot below for CF11 7 (Cardiff). From this one could infer a range of reasonable possible future price falls or rises. In the chart below, the red dashed line is the house price trend for CF11 7 and the blue dots are the individual property sales that inform this trend.

Disclaimer: The data provided throughout this website about Cardiff and any other area, is not financial advice. Any information provided does not and cannot ever take in to account the particular financial situation, objectives or property needs of either you or anyone reading this information. Furthermore, I cannot guarantee the accuracy of any data shown. This information is based on sold prices and internal area data provided by Land Registry and other third parties - I do not verify the accuracy of the Cardiff data or any other data I am given.

Price map for Cardiff

I've just finished coding the map I link to below. I find it useful and I am sure it will help you in exploring Cardiff. You can zoom in all the way to individual properties and then all the way back out to see the whole country. The colours show the current estimated property values. I will explain more about the methodology and create a key next week.

House price heatmap for Cardiff

Street level data

Street	Avg size	Avg £/m2	Recent sales
Jim Driscoll Way, Cardiff, CF11 7J	61m2	£2,645	31
Seager Drive, Cardiff, CF11 7F	58m2	£2,502	28
O'leary Drive, Cardiff, CF11 7E	59m2	£2,427	22
Ffordd James Mcghan, Cardiff, CF11 7J	58m2	£2,611	20
Harrison Way, Cardiff, CF11 7P	57m2	£2,607	17
Campbell Drive, Cardiff, CF11 7T	59m2	£2,483	17
Avondale Crescent, Cardiff, CF11 7D	95m2	£3,066	15
South Clive Street, Cardiff, CF11 7E	76m2	£2,708	15

Search for your street here.

Raw data

Our analysis of Cardiff is derived from what is essentially a big table of sold prices from Land Registry with added property size information. Below are three rows from this table to give you an idea.

Address	Paid	m2	£/m2
114, Taff Embankment, Cardiff	£300,000 Aug-2023	88	3,409
15, Redlaver St, Cardiff	£225,000 Jul-2023	97	2,319
39, South Clive St, Cardiff	£275,000 Jul-2023	85	3,235

See the entire list of all sales in Cardiff (CF11 7) here.