Feb 07, 2023 by HM

House prices in Canton (CF11 8)

This article reveals price per square metre data and various charts to help you understand current housing market in Canton (CF11 8).


Price per square metre

Knowing the average house price in Canton is not much use. However, knowing average price per square metre can be quite useful. Price per sqm allows some comparison between properties of different size. We define price per square metre as the sold price divided by the internal area of a property:

£ per sqm = price ÷ internal area
E.g. 58, Broad Street, Canton, Cardiff, sold for £300,000 on Jul-2023. Given the internal area of 91 square metres, the price per sqm is £3,296.

England & Wales have been officially metric for many decades. However house price per square foot is sometimes prefered by those of sufficiently advanced age. They may want to convert metres on this page to square feet.

The chart below is called a histogram, it helps you see the distribution of this house price per sqm data. To make this chart we put the sales data into a series of £ per sqm 'buckets' (e.g. £2,900-£3,000, £3,000-£3,100, £3,100-£3,200 etc...) we then count the number of sales with within in each bucket and plot the results. The chart is based on 147 sales in Canton (CF11 8) that took place in the last two years.

Distribution of £ per sqm for Canton (CF11 8)
Distribution of £ per sqm house prices in Canton

You can see the spread of prices above. This is because although internal area is a key factor in determining valuation, it is not the only factor. Many factors other than size affect desirability; these factors could be condition, aspect, garden size, negotiating power of the vendor etc.

That said, the spread of prices will give you a feel of the typical range to expect in Canton (CF11 8). Of the 147 transactions, half were sold for between £2,900 and £3,640 per square metre. Notably, only 25% of properties that sold recently were valued at more than £3,640m2. For anything to be valued more than this means it has to be more desireable than the clear majority of homes.

For the average, we calculate the 'median' or middle price. The median price per square metre in 'CF11 8' is £3,250. The table below shows how 'CF11 8' compares to neighbouring postcode sectors.

Postcode sector Lower quartile Middle quartile Upper quartile
CF11 7 Cardiff £2,290m2 £2,570m2 £2,930m2
CF11 9 Canton £3,210m2 £3,680m2 £4,320m2
CF11 0 Cardiff £2,100m2 £2,810m2 £3,560m2
CF11 6 Grangetown £2,150m2 £2,570m2 £2,900m2
CF11 8 Canton £2,900m2 £3,250m2 £3,640m2

Will Canton house prices drop in 2024?

I cannot tell the future and don't believe anyone who says they can. I can however plot price trends - I have done this in the scatter plot below for CF11 8 (Canton). From this one could infer a range of reasonable possible future price falls or rises. In the chart below, the red dashed line is the house price trend for CF11 8 and the blue dots are the individual property sales that inform this trend.

Price per square metre in Canton (CF11 8) over time
House price trends for Canton

Hover on any blue dot to see details of specific sales

Disclaimer: The data provided throughout this website about Canton and any other area, is not financial advice. Any information provided does not and cannot ever take in to account the particular financial situation, objectives or property needs of either you or anyone reading this information. Furthermore, I cannot guarantee the accuracy of any data shown. This information is based on sold prices and internal area data provided by Land Registry and other third parties - I do not verify the accuracy of the Canton data or any other data I am given.

Price map for Canton

I've just finished coding the map I link to below. I find it useful and I am sure it will help you in exploring Canton. You can zoom in all the way to individual properties and then all the way back out to see the whole country. The colours show the current estimated property values. I will explain more about the methodology and create a key next week.

Property price heatmap for Canton
House price heatmap for Canton

Street level data

Street Avg size Avg £/m2 Recent sales
Bartley Wilson Way, Canton, CF11 8E 83m2 £3,044 20
Trem Yr Afon, Canton, CF11 8F 96m2 £3,186 18
Broad Street, Canton, CF11 8B 85m2 £2,941 14
Heol Terrell, Canton, CF11 8B 121m2 £2,636 12
Treganna Street, Canton, CF11 8F 89m2 £2,999 10
Broadhaven, Canton, CF11 8D 99m2 £3,020 10
Arundel Place, Canton, CF11 8D 54m2 £3,350 9
Ffordd Yr Hen-dai, Canton, CF11 8F 99m2 £2,946 9

Search for your street here.

New build activity

Street Avg size Avg £/m2 New build sales
The Boulevard, Canton, CF11 8F 67m2 £2,896 28
Stryd Elai, Canton, CF11 8F 94m2 £2,796 20
Rhodri Morgan Way, Canton, CF11 8G 71m2 £3,250 17

The Boulevard, Canton, CF11 8F has seen 28 new build sales in the last 4 years (average price £207,496). These new build homes typically have an internal area of 67 m2, with an average price of £2,896 m2. This £sqm average is £-354 below the average for CF11 8. New builds typically command a £ per sqm premium. In the case of The Boulevard the premium seems not to exist. Without more info we can only speculate why this may be. Perhaps it may be greater density and smaller gardens, but this is just a guess.

Raw data

Our analysis of Canton is derived from what is essentially a big table of sold prices from Land Registry with added property size information. Below are three rows from this table to give you an idea.

Address Paid m2 £/m2
58, Broad St, Canton, Cardiff £300,000
Jul-2023
91 3,296
5, Philip St, Canton, Cardiff £210,000
Jul-2023
72 2,916
4, Langham Way, Canton, Cardiff £200,000
Jul-2023
55 3,636

See the entire list of all sales in Canton (CF11 8) here.

About

HouseMetric is a hobby, created out of a desire to see data and analysis not present on any free to use website. It is still a work in progress and I'll add more stuff in the near future.