Feb 07, 2023 by HM

House prices in Whitchurch (CF14 1)

This article reveals price per square metre data and various charts to help you understand current housing market in Whitchurch (CF14 1).


Price per square metre

Knowing the average house price in Whitchurch is not much use. However, knowing average price per square metre can be quite useful. Price per sqm allows some comparison between properties of different size. We define price per square metre as the sold price divided by the internal area of a property:

£ per sqm = price ÷ internal area
E.g. 23, Sunnybank Close, Whitchurch, Cardiff, sold for £430,000 on Sep-2023. Given the internal area of 90 square metres, the price per sqm is £4,777.

England & Wales have been officially metric for many decades. However house price per square foot is sometimes prefered by those of sufficiently advanced age. They may want to convert metres on this page to square feet.

The chart below is called a histogram, it helps you see the distribution of this house price per sqm data. To make this chart we put the sales data into a series of £ per sqm 'buckets' (e.g. £3,800-£4,000, £4,000-£4,200, £4,200-£4,400 etc...) we then count the number of sales with within in each bucket and plot the results. The chart is based on 252 sales in Whitchurch (CF14 1) that took place in the last two years.

Distribution of £ per sqm for Whitchurch (CF14 1)
Distribution of £ per sqm house prices in Whitchurch

You can see the spread of prices above. This is because although internal area is a key factor in determining valuation, it is not the only factor. Many factors other than size affect desirability; these factors could be condition, aspect, garden size, negotiating power of the vendor etc.

That said, the spread of prices will give you a feel of the typical range to expect in Whitchurch (CF14 1). Of the 252 transactions, half were sold for between £3,090 and £4,250 per square metre. Notably, only 25% of properties that sold recently were valued at more than £4,250m2. For anything to be valued more than this means it has to be more desireable than the clear majority of homes.

For the average, we calculate the 'median' or middle price. The median price per square metre in 'CF14 1' is £3,610. The table below shows how 'CF14 1' compares to neighbouring postcode sectors.

Postcode sector Lower quartile Middle quartile Upper quartile
CF14 5 Llanishen £2,690m2 £3,110m2 £3,590m2
CF14 2 Whitchurch £2,630m2 £3,210m2 £3,760m2
CF14 9 Thornhill £3,460m2 £3,910m2 £4,290m2
CF14 7 Whitchurch £2,830m2 £3,400m2 £4,030m2
CF14 0 Lisvane £3,150m2 £3,810m2 £4,200m2
CF14 3 Gabalfa £2,610m2 £2,980m2 £3,500m2
CF14 4 Heath £2,940m2 £3,480m2 £3,970m2
CF14 1 Whitchurch £3,090m2 £3,610m2 £4,250m2
CF14 6 Rhiwbina £3,020m2 £3,900m2 £4,600m2

Will Whitchurch house prices drop in 2024?

I cannot tell the future and don't believe anyone who says they can. I can however plot price trends - I have done this in the scatter plot below for CF14 1 (Whitchurch). From this one could infer a range of reasonable possible future price falls or rises. In the chart below, the red dashed line is the house price trend for CF14 1 and the blue dots are the individual property sales that inform this trend.

Price per square metre in Whitchurch (CF14 1) over time
House price trends for Whitchurch

Hover on any blue dot to see details of specific sales

Disclaimer: The data provided throughout this website about Whitchurch and any other area, is not financial advice. Any information provided does not and cannot ever take in to account the particular financial situation, objectives or property needs of either you or anyone reading this information. Furthermore, I cannot guarantee the accuracy of any data shown. This information is based on sold prices and internal area data provided by Land Registry and other third parties - I do not verify the accuracy of the Whitchurch data or any other data I am given.

Price map for Whitchurch

I've just finished coding the map I link to below. I find it useful and I am sure it will help you in exploring Whitchurch. You can zoom in all the way to individual properties and then all the way back out to see the whole country. The colours show the current estimated property values. I will explain more about the methodology and create a key next week.

Property price heatmap for Whitchurch
House price heatmap for Whitchurch

Street level data

Street Avg size Avg £/m2 Recent sales
Heol Gabriel, Whitchurch, CF14 1J 99m2 £3,519 25
Manor Way, Whitchurch, CF14 1R 111m2 £2,830 25
Blandon Way, Whitchurch, CF14 1E 68m2 £3,218 19
Silver Birch Close, Whitchurch, CF14 1E 83m2 £3,934 16
Tyn Y Pwll Road, Whitchurch, CF14 1A 82m2 £3,178 15
Bishops Road, Whitchurch, CF14 1L 123m2 £4,141 15
Homelands Road, Whitchurch, CF14 1U 97m2 £3,790 13
Pantbach Road, Whitchurch, CF14 1T 107m2 £3,352 12

Search for your street here.

Raw data

Our analysis of Whitchurch is derived from what is essentially a big table of sold prices from Land Registry with added property size information. Below are three rows from this table to give you an idea.

Address Paid m2 £/m2
23, Sunnybank Close, Whitchurch, Cardiff £430,000
Sep-2023
90 4,777
Flat 12 Denbigh Court, Curlew Close, Whitchurch, Cardiff £106,500
Sep-2023
42 2,535
7, Cromwell Rd, Whitchurch, Cardiff £335,000
Sep-2023
91 3,681

See the entire list of all sales in Whitchurch (CF14 1) here.

About

HouseMetric is a hobby, created out of a desire to see data and analysis not present on any free to use website. It is still a work in progress and I'll add more stuff in the near future.