Feb 07, 2023 by HM

House prices in Pencoed (CF35 5)

This article reveals price per square metre data and various charts to help you understand current housing market in Pencoed (CF35 5).


Price per square metre

Knowing the average house price in Pencoed is not much use. However, knowing average price per square metre can be quite useful. Price per sqm allows some comparison between properties of different size. We define price per square metre as the sold price divided by the internal area of a property:

£ per sqm = price ÷ internal area
E.g. 63, Felindre Avenue, Pencoed, sold for £210,000 on Sep-2023. Given the internal area of 96 square metres, the price per sqm is £2,187.

England & Wales have been officially metric for many decades. However house price per square foot is sometimes prefered by those of sufficiently advanced age. They may want to convert metres on this page to square feet.

The chart below is called a histogram, it helps you see the distribution of this house price per sqm data. To make this chart we put the sales data into a series of £ per sqm 'buckets' (e.g. £2,350-£2,500, £2,500-£2,650, £2,650-£2,800 etc...) we then count the number of sales with within in each bucket and plot the results. The chart is based on 109 sales in Pencoed (CF35 5) that took place in the last two years.

Distribution of £ per sqm for Pencoed (CF35 5)
Distribution of £ per sqm house prices in Pencoed

You can see the spread of prices above. This is because although internal area is a key factor in determining valuation, it is not the only factor. Many factors other than size affect desirability; these factors could be condition, aspect, garden size, negotiating power of the vendor etc.

That said, the spread of prices will give you a feel of the typical range to expect in Pencoed (CF35 5). Of the 109 transactions, half were sold for between £2,200 and £3,180 per square metre. Notably, only 25% of properties that sold recently were valued at more than £3,180m2. For anything to be valued more than this means it has to be more desireable than the clear majority of homes.

For the average, we calculate the 'median' or middle price. The median price per square metre in 'CF35 5' is £2,630. The table below shows how 'CF35 5' compares to neighbouring postcode sectors.

Postcode sector Lower quartile Middle quartile Upper quartile
CF35 6 Pencoed £2,420m2 £2,800m2 £3,080m2
CF35 5 Pencoed £2,200m2 £2,630m2 £3,180m2

Will Pencoed house prices drop in 2024?

I cannot tell the future and don't believe anyone who says they can. I can however plot price trends - I have done this in the scatter plot below for CF35 5 (Pencoed). From this one could infer a range of reasonable possible future price falls or rises. In the chart below, the red dashed line is the house price trend for CF35 5 and the blue dots are the individual property sales that inform this trend.

Price per square metre in Pencoed (CF35 5) over time
House price trends for Pencoed

Hover on any blue dot to see details of specific sales

Disclaimer: The data provided throughout this website about Pencoed and any other area, is not financial advice. Any information provided does not and cannot ever take in to account the particular financial situation, objectives or property needs of either you or anyone reading this information. Furthermore, I cannot guarantee the accuracy of any data shown. This information is based on sold prices and internal area data provided by Land Registry and other third parties - I do not verify the accuracy of the Pencoed data or any other data I am given.

Price map for Pencoed

I've just finished coding the map I link to below. I find it useful and I am sure it will help you in exploring Pencoed. You can zoom in all the way to individual properties and then all the way back out to see the whole country. The colours show the current estimated property values. I will explain more about the methodology and create a key next week.

Property price heatmap for Pencoed
House price heatmap for Pencoed

Street level data

Street Avg size Avg £/m2 Recent sales
Heol Croesty, Pencoed, CF35 5L 78m2 £2,288 19
Glenwood Close, Pencoed, CF35 5E 79m2 £2,576 13
Heol Maes Yr Haf, Pencoed, CF35 5P 68m2 £2,457 12
Wick Road, Pencoed, CF35 5B 154m2 £2,799 10
Felindre Avenue, Pencoed, CF35 5P 79m2 £2,442 10
Maerdy Park, Pencoed, CF35 5H 90m2 £2,217 10
Lletai Avenue, Pencoed, CF35 5P 86m2 £2,224 8
Penybont Road, Pencoed, CF35 5P 86m2 £2,078 6

Search for your street here.

Raw data

Our analysis of Pencoed is derived from what is essentially a big table of sold prices from Land Registry with added property size information. Below are three rows from this table to give you an idea.

Address Paid m2 £/m2
63, Felindre Avenue, Pencoed £210,000
Sep-2023
96 2,187
1, Hawthorn Drive, Pencoed £317,000
Sep-2023
103 3,077
94, Penybont Rd, Pencoed £200,000
Aug-2023
94 2,127

See the entire list of all sales in Pencoed (CF35 5) here.

About

HouseMetric is a hobby, created out of a desire to see data and analysis not present on any free to use website. It is still a work in progress and I'll add more stuff in the near future.