Feb 07, 2023 by HM

House prices in Shotton (CH5 1)

This article reveals price per square metre data and various charts to help you understand current housing market in Shotton (CH5 1).


Price per square metre

Knowing the average house price in Shotton is not much use. However, knowing average price per square metre can be quite useful. Price per sqm allows some comparison between properties of different size. We define price per square metre as the sold price divided by the internal area of a property:

£ per sqm = price ÷ internal area
E.g. 84, Strickland Street, Shotton, Connahs Quay, sold for £190,000 on Sep-2023. Given the internal area of 66 square metres, the price per sqm is £2,878.

England & Wales have been officially metric for many decades. However house price per square foot is sometimes prefered by those of sufficiently advanced age. They may want to convert metres on this page to square feet.

The chart below is called a histogram, it helps you see the distribution of this house price per sqm data. To make this chart we put the sales data into a series of £ per sqm 'buckets' (e.g. £2,350-£2,500, £2,500-£2,650, £2,650-£2,800 etc...) we then count the number of sales with within in each bucket and plot the results. The chart is based on 148 sales in Shotton (CH5 1) that took place in the last two years.

Distribution of £ per sqm for Shotton (CH5 1)
Distribution of £ per sqm house prices in Shotton

You can see the spread of prices above. This is because although internal area is a key factor in determining valuation, it is not the only factor. Many factors other than size affect desirability; these factors could be condition, aspect, garden size, negotiating power of the vendor etc.

That said, the spread of prices will give you a feel of the typical range to expect in Shotton (CH5 1). Of the 148 transactions, half were sold for between £1,370 and £2,130 per square metre. Notably, only 25% of properties that sold recently were valued at more than £2,130m2. For anything to be valued more than this means it has to be more desireable than the clear majority of homes.

For the average, we calculate the 'median' or middle price. The median price per square metre in 'CH5 1' is £1,700. The table below shows how 'CH5 1' compares to neighbouring postcode sectors.

Postcode sector Lower quartile Middle quartile Upper quartile
CH5 2 Mancot £1,760m2 £2,140m2 £2,490m2
CH5 3 Hawarden £2,330m2 £2,700m2 £3,020m2
CH5 4 Connahs Quay £1,820m2 £2,270m2 £2,630m2
CH5 1 Shotton £1,370m2 £1,700m2 £2,130m2

Will Shotton house prices drop in 2024?

I cannot tell the future and don't believe anyone who says they can. I can however plot price trends - I have done this in the scatter plot below for CH5 1 (Shotton). From this one could infer a range of reasonable possible future price falls or rises. In the chart below, the red dashed line is the house price trend for CH5 1 and the blue dots are the individual property sales that inform this trend.

Price per square metre in Shotton (CH5 1) over time
House price trends for Shotton

Hover on any blue dot to see details of specific sales

Disclaimer: The data provided throughout this website about Shotton and any other area, is not financial advice. Any information provided does not and cannot ever take in to account the particular financial situation, objectives or property needs of either you or anyone reading this information. Furthermore, I cannot guarantee the accuracy of any data shown. This information is based on sold prices and internal area data provided by Land Registry and other third parties - I do not verify the accuracy of the Shotton data or any other data I am given.

Price map for Shotton

I've just finished coding the map I link to below. I find it useful and I am sure it will help you in exploring Shotton. You can zoom in all the way to individual properties and then all the way back out to see the whole country. The colours show the current estimated property values. I will explain more about the methodology and create a key next week.

Property price heatmap for Shotton
House price heatmap for Shotton

Street level data

Street Avg size Avg £/m2 Recent sales
Shotton Lane, Shotton, CH5 1Q 100m2 £1,655 15
Ash Grove, Shotton, CH5 1A 95m2 £1,408 12
Taliesin Avenue, Shotton, CH5 1H 89m2 £1,854 11
Chester Close, Shotton, CH5 1A 91m2 £1,821 11
Nelson Street, Shotton, CH5 1D 85m2 £1,167 11
Glynne Street, Shotton, CH5 1T 97m2 £1,381 10
Courtland Drive, Shotton, CH5 1U 82m2 £2,265 10
Butler Street, Shotton, CH5 1A 68m2 £1,379 9

Search for your street here.

Raw data

Our analysis of Shotton is derived from what is essentially a big table of sold prices from Land Registry with added property size information. Below are three rows from this table to give you an idea.

Address Paid m2 £/m2
84, Strickland St, Shotton, Connahs Quay £190,000
Sep-2023
66 2,878
6, Rowden St, Shotton, Connahs Quay £160,000
Aug-2023
117 1,367
29, Chester Rd East, Shotton, Connahs Quay £103,000
Jul-2023
66 1,560

See the entire list of all sales in Shotton (CH5 1) here.

About

HouseMetric is a hobby, created out of a desire to see data and analysis not present on any free to use website. It is still a work in progress and I'll add more stuff in the near future.