Feb 07, 2023 by HM

House prices in Mancot (CH5 2)

This article reveals price per square metre data and various charts to help you understand current housing market in Mancot (CH5 2).


Price per square metre

Knowing the average house price in Mancot is not much use. However, knowing average price per square metre can be quite useful. Price per sqm allows some comparison between properties of different size. We define price per square metre as the sold price divided by the internal area of a property:

£ per sqm = price ÷ internal area
E.g. 76, Hawarden Way, Mancot, Connahs Quay, sold for £125,000 on Sep-2023. Given the internal area of 70 square metres, the price per sqm is £1,785.

England & Wales have been officially metric for many decades. However house price per square foot is sometimes prefered by those of sufficiently advanced age. They may want to convert metres on this page to square feet.

The chart below is called a histogram, it helps you see the distribution of this house price per sqm data. To make this chart we put the sales data into a series of £ per sqm 'buckets' (e.g. £1,900-£2,000, £2,000-£2,100, £2,100-£2,200 etc...) we then count the number of sales with within in each bucket and plot the results. The chart is based on 113 sales in Mancot (CH5 2) that took place in the last two years.

Distribution of £ per sqm for Mancot (CH5 2)
Distribution of £ per sqm house prices in Mancot

You can see the spread of prices above. This is because although internal area is a key factor in determining valuation, it is not the only factor. Many factors other than size affect desirability; these factors could be condition, aspect, garden size, negotiating power of the vendor etc.

That said, the spread of prices will give you a feel of the typical range to expect in Mancot (CH5 2). Of the 113 transactions, half were sold for between £1,760 and £2,500 per square metre. Notably, only 25% of properties that sold recently were valued at more than £2,500m2. For anything to be valued more than this means it has to be more desireable than the clear majority of homes.

For the average, we calculate the 'median' or middle price. The median price per square metre in 'CH5 2' is £2,160. The table below shows how 'CH5 2' compares to neighbouring postcode sectors.

Postcode sector Lower quartile Middle quartile Upper quartile
CH5 1 Shotton £1,390m2 £1,700m2 £2,150m2
CH5 4 Connahs Quay £1,820m2 £2,280m2 £2,640m2
CH5 2 Mancot £1,760m2 £2,160m2 £2,500m2
CH5 3 Hawarden £2,350m2 £2,700m2 £3,040m2

Will Mancot house prices drop in 2024?

I cannot tell the future and don't believe anyone who says they can. I can however plot price trends - I have done this in the scatter plot below for CH5 2 (Mancot). From this one could infer a range of reasonable possible future price falls or rises. In the chart below, the red dashed line is the house price trend for CH5 2 and the blue dots are the individual property sales that inform this trend.

Price per square metre in Mancot (CH5 2) over time
House price trends for Mancot

Hover on any blue dot to see details of specific sales

Disclaimer: The data provided throughout this website about Mancot and any other area, is not financial advice. Any information provided does not and cannot ever take in to account the particular financial situation, objectives or property needs of either you or anyone reading this information. Furthermore, I cannot guarantee the accuracy of any data shown. This information is based on sold prices and internal area data provided by Land Registry and other third parties - I do not verify the accuracy of the Mancot data or any other data I am given.

Price map for Mancot

I've just finished coding the map I link to below. I find it useful and I am sure it will help you in exploring Mancot. You can zoom in all the way to individual properties and then all the way back out to see the whole country. The colours show the current estimated property values. I will explain more about the methodology and create a key next week.

Property price heatmap for Mancot
House price heatmap for Mancot

Street level data

Street Avg size Avg £/m2 Recent sales
Green Lane Estate, Mancot, CH5 2N 70m2 £1,926 19
Hawarden Way, Mancot, CH5 2E 83m2 £1,840 13
Mancot Lane, Mancot, CH5 2A 85m2 £2,145 11
Hamilton Avenue, Mancot, CH5 2P 84m2 £2,037 10
Mancot Way, Mancot, CH5 2A 79m2 £1,911 10
Ash Lane, Mancot, CH5 2B 91m2 £2,084 9
Phoenix Street, Mancot, CH5 2P 85m2 £1,342 9
Chester Road, Mancot, CH5 2Q 89m2 £1,989 9

Search for your street here.

New build activity

Street Avg size Avg £/m2 New build sales
Donaldson Road, Mancot, CH5 2F 103m2 £2,581 9

Donaldson Road, Mancot, CH5 2F has seen 9 new build sales in the last 4 years (average price £260,995). These new build homes typically have an internal area of 103 m2, with an average price of £2,581 m2. This £sqm average is £421 above the average for CH5 2. New builds typically command a £ per sqm premium so this is normal.

Raw data

Our analysis of Mancot is derived from what is essentially a big table of sold prices from Land Registry with added property size information. Below are three rows from this table to give you an idea.

Address Paid m2 £/m2
76, Hawarden Way, Mancot, Connahs Quay £125,000
Sep-2023
70 1,785
32, Foxes Close, Mancot, Connahs Quay £135,000
Aug-2023
49 2,755
94, Farm Rd, Mancot, Connahs Quay £120,000
Aug-2023
84 1,428

See the entire list of all sales in Mancot (CH5 2) here.

About

HouseMetric is a hobby, created out of a desire to see data and analysis not present on any free to use website. It is still a work in progress and I'll add more stuff in the near future.