House prices in CH5 2 (Mancot)

This article reveals price per square metre data and various charts to help you understand current housing market in Mancot, Connahs Quay (CH5 2).


Defining 'CH5 2'

This analysis is limited to properties whose postcode starts with "CH5 2", this is also called the postcode sector. It is shown in red on the map above. There are no official names for postcode sectors so I've just labelled it Mancot.

You can click on the map labels to change to a neighbouring sector, or you can enter a different postcode sector (e.g. CM23 4) below.

FYI, a postcode sector is the full postcode without the last two letters.

Price per square metre

Knowing the average house price in Mancot is not much use. However, knowing average price per square metre can be quite useful. Price per sqm allows some comparison between properties of different size. We define price per square metre as the sold price divided by the internal area of a property:

£ per sqm = price ÷ internal area
E.g. 40, Hawthorn View, Mancot, Connahs Quay, sold for £234,000 on Feb-2024. Given the internal area of 105 square metres, the price per sqm is £2,228.

England & Wales have been officially metric since 1965. However house price per square foot is prefered by some estate agents and those of sufficiently advanced age ;-) They may want to convert square meters on this page to square feet.

The chart below is called a histogram, it helps you see the distribution of this house price per sqm data. To make this chart we put the sales data into a series of £ per sqm 'buckets' (e.g. £1,900-£2,000, £2,000-£2,100, £2,100-£2,200 etc...) we then count the number of sales with within in each bucket and plot the results. The chart is based on 102 sales in Mancot (CH5 2) that took place in the last two years.

Distribution of £ per sqm for Mancot, Connahs Quay
Distribution of £ per sqm house prices in Mancot

You can see the spread of prices above. This is because although internal area is a key factor in determining valuation, it is not the only factor. Many factors other than size affect desirability; these factors could be condition, aspect, garden size, negotiating power of the vendor etc.

The spread of prices will give you a feel of the typical range to expect in Mancot (CH5 2). Of the 102 transactions, half were sold for between £1,770 and £2,500 per square metre. The median, or 'middle', price per square metre in 'CH5 2' is £2,200. Notably, only 25% of properties that sold recently were valued at more than £2,500 sqm. For anything to be valued more than this means it has to be more desireable than the clear majority of homes.

Price map for Mancot, Connahs Quay

Do have a look at the interactive price map I created. I find it useful and I am sure it will help you in exploring Connahs Quay. You can zoom in all the way to individual properties and then all the way back out to see the whole country. The colours show the current estimated property values.

Property price heatmap for Mancot
House price heatmap for Mancot, Connahs Quay

Comparison with neighbouring postcode sectors

The table below shows how 'CH5 2' compares to neighbouring postcode sectors.

Postcode sector Lower quartile Middle quartile Upper quartile
CH5 1 Shotton £1,370 sqm £1,650 sqm £2,080 sqm
CH5 2 Mancot £1,770 sqm £2,200 sqm £2,500 sqm
CH5 3 Hawarden £2,370 sqm £2,740 sqm £3,090 sqm
CH5 4 Connahs Quay £1,870 sqm £2,310 sqm £2,640 sqm

Will Connahs Quay house prices drop in 2024?

I cannot tell the future and don't believe anyone who says they can. I can however plot price trends - I have done this in the chart below for CH5 2 (Mancot) compared with both the wider area CH5 and inflation (CPIH from the Office of National Statistics). The dashed trend lines in the chart show the average over time.

Historic price per square metre in Mancot,Connahs Quay
House price trends for Mancot

For the most recent sales activity, rather than a summarized average, it is better to see the underlying data. This is shown in the chart below, where blue dots represent individual sales, click on them to see details. If there is an obvious trend you should be able to spot it here amid the noise from outliers.

Most recent CH5 2 sales
Recent trends for Mancot

Data from Land Registry comes in gradually over time. I update it every month but it takes about 5 months for the majority of sales for Connahs Quay to be recorded. Disclaimer: I do not verify and cannot guarantee the accuracy of any data shown. Outliers exist in the data, typically these are where the EPC registry records the internal area incorrectly, sometimes although very rarely the Land Registry price paid data can be wrong. The data provided throughout this website about Connahs Quay and any other area, is not financial advice. Any information provided does not and cannot ever take in to account the particular financial situation, objectives or property needs of either you or anyone reading this information.

Street level data

Street Avg size Avg £sqm Recent sales
Green Lane Estate, Mancot, CH5 2N 70 sqm £1,970 18
Mancot Lane, Mancot, CH5 2A 85 sqm £2,075 12
Hawarden Way, Mancot, CH5 2E 83 sqm £1,844 11
Hamilton Avenue, Mancot, CH5 2P 84 sqm £2,061 11
Phoenix Street, Mancot, CH5 2P 85 sqm £1,342 9
Grange Court, Mancot, CH5 2E 83 sqm £2,903 8
Mancot Way, Mancot, CH5 2A 79 sqm £1,939 8
Ash Lane, Mancot, CH5 2B 91 sqm £2,067 8

Search for your street here.

New build activity

Street Avg size Avg £sqm New build sales
Donaldson Road, Mancot, CH5 2F 103 sqm £2,581 9

Donaldson Road, Mancot, CH5 2F has seen 9 new build sales in the last 4 years (average price £269,545). These new build homes typically have an internal area of 103 sqm, with an average price of £2,581 sqm. This £sqm average is £381 above the average for CH5 2. New builds typically command a £ per sqm premium so this is normal.

Raw data

Our analysis of Mancot is derived from what is essentially a big table of sold prices from Land Registry with added property size information. Below are three rows from this table to give you an idea.

Address Paid sqm £/sqm
40, Hawthorn View, Mancot, Connahs Quay £234,000
Feb-2024
105 2,228
26, Bridge View, Mancot, Connahs Quay £98,000
Feb-2024
70 1,400
3, Rhesdai Penarlag, Mancot, Connahs Quay £192,000
Dec-2023
81 2,370

See the entire list of all sales in Mancot (CH5 2) here.

About

I created HouseMetric because I wanted to see this data and analysis myself, I also wanted to teach myself to build a website. Please give me feedback or spread the word about it. I'm constantly tinkering and adding more stuff to it.