Feb 07, 2023 by HM

House prices in Hawarden (CH5 3)

This article reveals price per square metre data and various charts to help you understand current housing market in Hawarden (CH5 3).

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Price per square metre

Knowing the average house price in Hawarden is not much use. However, knowing average price per square metre can be quite useful. Price per sqm allows some comparison between properties of different size. We define price per square metre as the sold price divided by the internal area of a property:

£ per sqm = price ÷ internal area

E.g. 41, Longfellow Avenue, Hawarden, Connahs Quay, sold for £300,000 on Aug-2023. Given the internal area of 110 square metres, the price per sqm is £2,727.

England & Wales have been officially metric for many decades. However house price per square foot is sometimes prefered by those of sufficiently advanced age. They may want to convert metres on this page to square feet.

The chart below is called a histogram, it helps you see the distribution of this house price per sqm data. To make this chart we put the sales data into a series of £ per sqm 'buckets' (e.g. £2,350-£2,500, £2,500-£2,650, £2,650-£2,800 etc...) we then count the number of sales with within in each bucket and plot the results. The chart is based on 234 sales in Hawarden (CH5 3) that took place in the last two years.

You can see the spread of prices above. This is because although internal area is a key factor in determining valuation, it is not the only factor. Many factors other than size affect desirability; these factors could be condition, aspect, garden size, negotiating power of the vendor etc.

That said, the spread of prices will give you a feel of the typical range to expect in Hawarden (CH5 3). Of the 234 transactions, half were sold for between £2,350 and £3,040 per square metre. Notably, only 25% of properties that sold recently were valued at more than £3,040m². For anything to be valued more than this means it has to be more desireable than the clear majority of homes.

For the average, we calculate the 'median' or middle price. The median price per square metre in 'CH5 3' is £2,700. The table below shows how 'CH5 3' compares to neighbouring postcode sectors.

Postcode sector	Lower quartile	Middle quartile	Upper quartile
CH5 1 Shotton	£1,390m2	£1,700m2	£2,150m2
CH5 4 Connahs Quay	£1,820m2	£2,280m2	£2,640m2
CH5 2 Mancot	£1,760m2	£2,160m2	£2,500m2
CH5 3 Hawarden	£2,350m2	£2,700m2	£3,040m2

Will Hawarden house prices drop in 2024?

I cannot tell the future and don't believe anyone who says they can. I can however plot price trends - I have done this in the scatter plot below for CH5 3 (Hawarden). From this one could infer a range of reasonable possible future price falls or rises. In the chart below, the red dashed line is the house price trend for CH5 3 and the blue dots are the individual property sales that inform this trend.

Disclaimer: The data provided throughout this website about Hawarden and any other area, is not financial advice. Any information provided does not and cannot ever take in to account the particular financial situation, objectives or property needs of either you or anyone reading this information. Furthermore, I cannot guarantee the accuracy of any data shown. This information is based on sold prices and internal area data provided by Land Registry and other third parties - I do not verify the accuracy of the Hawarden data or any other data I am given.

Price map for Hawarden

I've just finished coding the map I link to below. I find it useful and I am sure it will help you in exploring Hawarden. You can zoom in all the way to individual properties and then all the way back out to see the whole country. The colours show the current estimated property values. I will explain more about the methodology and create a key next week.

House price heatmap for Hawarden

Street level data

Street	Avg size	Avg £/m2	Recent sales
Wood Lane, Hawarden, CH5 3J	111m2	£2,608	19
The Highway, Hawarden, CH5 3D	107m2	£2,260	18
Circular Drive, Hawarden, CH5 3D	83m2	£2,230	16
Maes Deri, Hawarden, CH5 3U	45m2	£2,408	16
Maes Deri, Hawarden, CH5 3X	56m2	£2,176	14
High Park, Hawarden, CH5 3E	143m2	£2,579	12
Hill Top Close, Hawarden, CH5 3H	69m2	£2,222	11
Briarwood Road, Hawarden, CH5 3B	96m2	£2,551	11

Search for your street here.

New build activity

Street	Avg size	Avg £/m2	New build sales
Hamilton Court, Hawarden, CH5 3S	85m2	£2,819	19

Hamilton Court, Hawarden, CH5 3S has seen 19 new build sales in the last 4 years (average price £238,664). These new build homes typically have an internal area of 85 m2, with an average price of £2,819 m2. This £sqm average is £119 above the average for CH5 3. New builds typically command a £ per sqm premium so this is normal.

Raw data

Our analysis of Hawarden is derived from what is essentially a big table of sold prices from Land Registry with added property size information. Below are three rows from this table to give you an idea.

Address	Paid	m2	£/m2
41, Longfellow Avenue, Hawarden, Connahs Quay	£300,000 Aug-2023	110	2,727
20, Herriot Grove, Hawarden, Connahs Quay	£287,500 Aug-2023	77	3,733
85, The Highway, Hawarden, Connahs Quay	£420,000 Aug-2023	141	2,978

See the entire list of all sales in Hawarden (CH5 3) here.