House prices in CH5 3 (Hawarden)

This article reveals price per square metre data and various charts to help you understand current housing market in 'CH5 3' (Hawarden, Connahs Quay) - statistics were last calculated on 30 June 2024.


Defining 'CH5 3'

This analysis is limited to properties whose postcode starts with "CH5 3", this is also called the postcode sector. It is shown in red on the map above. There are no official names for postcode sectors so I've just labelled it Hawarden.

You can click on the map labels to change to a neighbouring sector, or you can enter a different postcode sector (e.g. CM23 4) below.

FYI, a postcode sector is the full postcode without the last two letters.

Price per square metre

Knowing the average house price in Hawarden is not much use. However, knowing average price per square metre can be quite useful. Price per sqm allows some comparison between properties of different size. We define price per square metre as the sold price divided by the internal area of a property:

£ per sqm = price ÷ internal area
E.g. 11, Ffordd Tegid, Hawarden, Connahs Quay, sold for £175,000 on Apr-2024. Given the internal area of 59 square metres, the price per sqm is £2,966.

England & Wales have been officially metric since 1965. However house price per square foot is prefered by some estate agents and those of sufficiently advanced age ;-) They may want to convert square meters on this page to square feet.

The chart below is called a histogram, it helps you see the distribution of this house price per sqm data. To make this chart we put the sales data into a series of £ per sqm 'buckets' (e.g. £2,900-£3,000, £3,000-£3,100, £3,100-£3,200 etc...) we then count the number of sales with within in each bucket and plot the results. The chart is based on 214 sales in Hawarden (CH5 3) that took place in the last two years.

Distribution of £ per sqm for Hawarden, Connahs Quay
Distribution of £ per sqm house prices in Hawarden

You can see the spread of prices above. This is because although internal area is a key factor in determining valuation, it is not the only factor. Many factors other than size affect desirability; these factors could be condition, aspect, garden size, negotiating power of the vendor etc.

The spread of prices will give you a feel of the typical range to expect in Hawarden (CH5 3). Of the 214 transactions, half were sold for between £2,370 and £3,100 per square metre. The median, or 'middle', price per square metre in 'CH5 3' is £2,740. Notably, only 25% of properties that sold recently were valued at more than £3,100 sqm. For anything to be valued more than this means it has to be more desireable than the clear majority of homes.

Price map for Hawarden, Connahs Quay

Do have a look at the interactive price map I created. I find it useful and I am sure it will help you in exploring Connahs Quay. You can zoom in all the way to individual properties and then all the way back out to see the whole country. The colours show the current estimated property values.

Property price heatmap for Hawarden
House price heatmap for Hawarden, Connahs Quay

Comparison with neighbouring postcode sectors

The table below shows how 'CH5 3' compares to neighbouring postcode sectors.

Postcode sector Lower quartile Middle quartile Upper quartile
CH5 2 Mancot £1,800 sqm £2,180 sqm £2,490 sqm
CH5 3 Hawarden £2,370 sqm £2,740 sqm £3,100 sqm
CH5 4 Connahs Quay £1,850 sqm £2,280 sqm £2,640 sqm
CH5 1 Shotton £1,400 sqm £1,740 sqm £2,160 sqm

Will Connahs Quay house prices drop in 2024?

I cannot tell the future and don't believe anyone who says they can. I can however plot price trends - I have done this in the chart below for CH5 3 (Hawarden) compared with both the wider area CH5 and inflation (CPIH from the Office of National Statistics). The dashed trend lines in the chart show the average over time.

Historic price per square metre in Hawarden,Connahs Quay
House price trends for Hawarden

Download time series data as CSV (paying users only).

For the most recent sales activity, rather than a summarized average, it is better to see the underlying data. This is shown in the chart below, where blue dots represent individual sales, click on them to see details. If there is an obvious trend you should be able to spot it here amid the noise from outliers.

Most recent CH5 3 sales
Recent trends for Hawarden

Data from Land Registry comes in gradually over time. I update it every month but it takes about 5 months for the majority of sales for Connahs Quay to be recorded. Disclaimer: I do not verify and cannot guarantee the accuracy of any data shown. Outliers exist in the data, typically these are where the EPC registry records the internal area incorrectly, sometimes although very rarely the Land Registry price paid data can be wrong. The data provided throughout this website about Connahs Quay and any other area, is not financial advice. Any information provided does not and cannot ever take in to account the particular financial situation, objectives or property needs of either you or anyone reading this information.

Street level data

Street Avg size Avg £sqm Recent sales
The Highway, Hawarden, CH5 3D 107 sqm £2,487 18
Maes Deri, Hawarden, CH5 3U 45 sqm £2,438 17
Wood Lane, Hawarden, CH5 3J 111 sqm £2,723 16
Maes Deri, Hawarden, CH5 3X 56 sqm £2,270 15
Circular Drive, Hawarden, CH5 3D 83 sqm £2,263 14
High Park, Hawarden, CH5 3E 143 sqm £2,579 12
Briarwood Road, Hawarden, CH5 3B 95 sqm £2,570 12
Hill Top Close, Hawarden, CH5 3H 69 sqm £2,230 11

Search for your street here.

New build activity

Street Avg size Avg £sqm New build sales
Hamilton Court, Hawarden, CH5 3S 84 sqm £2,800 9

Hamilton Court, Hawarden, CH5 3S has seen 9 new build sales in the last 4 years (average price £254,998). These new build homes typically have an internal area of 84 sqm, with an average price of £2,800 sqm. This £sqm average is £60 above the average for CH5 3. New builds typically command a £ per sqm premium so this is normal.

Raw data

Our analysis of Hawarden is derived from what is essentially a big table of sold prices from Land Registry with added property size information. Below are three rows from this table to give you an idea.

Address Paid sqm £/sqm
11, Ffordd Tegid, Hawarden, Connahs Quay £175,000
Apr-2024
59 2,966
15, Llys Brenig, Hawarden, Connahs Quay £215,000
Mar-2024
81 2,654
31, Gladstone Way, Hawarden, Connahs Quay £310,000
Mar-2024
138 2,246

See the entire list of all sales in Hawarden (CH5 3) here.

About

I created HouseMetric because I wanted to see this data and analysis myself, I also wanted to teach myself to build a website. Please give me feedback or spread the word about it. I'm constantly tinkering and adding more stuff to it.