Feb 07, 2023 by HM

House prices in Bexley (DA5 3)

This article reveals price per square metre data and various charts to help you understand current housing market in Bexley (DA5 3).


Price per square metre

Knowing the average house price in Bexley is not much use. However, knowing average price per square metre can be quite useful. Price per sqm allows some comparison between properties of different size. We define price per square metre as the sold price divided by the internal area of a property:

£ per sqm = price ÷ internal area
E.g. 384, Hurst Road, Bexley, sold for £820,000 on Aug-2023. Given the internal area of 145 square metres, the price per sqm is £5,655.

England & Wales have been officially metric for many decades. However house price per square foot is sometimes prefered by those of sufficiently advanced age. They may want to convert metres on this page to square feet.

The chart below is called a histogram, it helps you see the distribution of this house price per sqm data. To make this chart we put the sales data into a series of £ per sqm 'buckets' (e.g. £4,700-£5,000, £5,000-£5,300, £5,300-£5,600 etc...) we then count the number of sales with within in each bucket and plot the results. The chart is based on 171 sales in Bexley (DA5 3) that took place in the last two years.

Distribution of £ per sqm for Bexley (DA5 3)
Distribution of £ per sqm house prices in Bexley

You can see the spread of prices above. This is because although internal area is a key factor in determining valuation, it is not the only factor. Many factors other than size affect desirability; these factors could be condition, aspect, garden size, negotiating power of the vendor etc.

That said, the spread of prices will give you a feel of the typical range to expect in Bexley (DA5 3). Of the 171 transactions, half were sold for between £4,960 and £6,410 per square metre. Notably, only 25% of properties that sold recently were valued at more than £6,410m2. For anything to be valued more than this means it has to be more desireable than the clear majority of homes.

For the average, we calculate the 'median' or middle price. The median price per square metre in 'DA5 3' is £5,580. The table below shows how 'DA5 3' compares to neighbouring postcode sectors.

Postcode sector Lower quartile Middle quartile Upper quartile
DA5 3 Bexley £4,960m2 £5,580m2 £6,410m2
DA5 2 Bexley £4,520m2 £5,430m2 £6,120m2
DA5 1 Bexley £4,760m2 £5,310m2 £6,060m2

Will Bexley house prices drop in 2024?

I cannot tell the future and don't believe anyone who says they can. I can however plot price trends - I have done this in the scatter plot below for DA5 3 (Bexley). From this one could infer a range of reasonable possible future price falls or rises. In the chart below, the red dashed line is the house price trend for DA5 3 and the blue dots are the individual property sales that inform this trend.

Price per square metre in Bexley (DA5 3) over time
House price trends for Bexley

Hover on any blue dot to see details of specific sales

Disclaimer: The data provided throughout this website about Bexley and any other area, is not financial advice. Any information provided does not and cannot ever take in to account the particular financial situation, objectives or property needs of either you or anyone reading this information. Furthermore, I cannot guarantee the accuracy of any data shown. This information is based on sold prices and internal area data provided by Land Registry and other third parties - I do not verify the accuracy of the Bexley data or any other data I am given.

Price map for Bexley

I've just finished coding the map I link to below. I find it useful and I am sure it will help you in exploring Bexley. You can zoom in all the way to individual properties and then all the way back out to see the whole country. The colours show the current estimated property values. I will explain more about the methodology and create a key next week.

Property price heatmap for Bexley
House price heatmap for Bexley

Street level data

Street Avg size Avg £/m2 Recent sales
Murchison Avenue, Bexley, DA5 3L 79m2 £5,448 36
Howard Avenue, Bexley, DA5 3B 72m2 £5,640 25
Penhill Road, Bexley, DA5 3E 98m2 £5,175 24
Blendon Drive, Bexley, DA5 3A 130m2 £5,042 17
Crofton Avenue, Bexley, DA5 3A 84m2 £5,290 17
Shirley Avenue, Bexley, DA5 3A 72m2 £5,859 16
Hurst Road, Bexley, DA5 3D 87m2 £4,900 15
Carisbrooke Avenue, Bexley, DA5 3H 102m2 £5,646 15

Search for your street here.

Raw data

Our analysis of Bexley is derived from what is essentially a big table of sold prices from Land Registry with added property size information. Below are three rows from this table to give you an idea.

Address Paid m2 £/m2
384, Hurst Rd, Bexley £820,000
Aug-2023
145 5,655
3, Esher Close, Bexley £325,000
Aug-2023
65 5,000
31, Steynton Avenue, Bexley £515,000
Aug-2023
71 7,253

See the entire list of all sales in Bexley (DA5 3) here.

About

HouseMetric is a hobby, created out of a desire to see data and analysis not present on any free to use website. It is still a work in progress and I'll add more stuff in the near future.