House prices in SA44 (Velindre)

Price per square metre data and charts to help you understand the housing market in SA44 - stats were last calculated on 01 December 2025.

Defining 'SA44'

This analysis is limited to properties whose postcode starts with "SA44", this is also called the postcode district. There are no official postcode district names so I've just labelled it SA44, Velindre. It is shown in red on the map below.

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You can click on the map above to change to a neighbouring district, or you can use the search form below.

Price per square metre

Knowing the average house price in SA44 is not much use. However, knowing average price per square metre can be quite useful. Price per sqm allows some comparison between properties of different size. We define price per square metre as the sold price divided by the internal area of a property:

£ per sqm = price ÷ internal area

For example in October 2025, Tegfan, , Velindre, SA44 5PE sold for £135,000. Given the internal area of 87 square metres recorded on the EPC, the price per sqm is £135,000 ÷ 87 sqm = £1,551.

England & Wales have been officially metric since 1965. However house price per square foot is prefered by some estate agents and those of sufficiently advanced age ;-). It is a huge pain to code the automatic conversion for square meters to square feet for all the graphs and charts on SA44 and elsewhere. All the conditionals turn my tidy code for into spaghetti. I will get around to it at some point, but for now you can just divide everything by 10 in your head, move a decimal place and you'll be close enough. If you want to be more precise 1 sqm = 10.76391 sqft.

Distribution of £ per sqm for houses vs flats in SA44

The chart above is called a histogram, it helps you see the distribution of house price per sqm in SA44 To make this chart we put all the sales data into a series of £ per sqm 'buckets' (e.g. £2,800 to £3,000, £3,000 to £3,200, £3,200 to £3,400 etc...) we then count the number of sales with within in each bucket and plot the results. The histogram is based on 260 sales that took place in SA44, in the last 24 months.

Generate a custom histogram like the one above but based on your own criteria.

You can see the spread of prices above. This is because although internal area is a key factor in determining valuation, it is not the only factor. Many factors other than size affect desirability; these factors could be condition, aspect, garden size, negotiating power of the vendor etc.

The spread of prices will give you a feel of the typical range to expect in SA44, Velindre. Notably, only 25% of properties that sold recently were valued at more than £3,030 sqm. For anything to be valued more than this means it has to be more desireable than the clear majority of SA44 homes.

Box plot of £ per sqm for SA44

Tip: click on the chart to see the values.

The chart above is called a boxplot (or a box-and-whisker plot). Box plots, like histograms, are used to graphically represent the distribution of data, showing the central tendency, spread of the distribution. In the context of £ per square metre property price distributions, box plots represent the variation in property prices within a geographic area e.g. Velindre. The chart above shows a boxplot for 'SA44' as well as the 'SA' postcode area.

  • Median: The horizontal line inside the box represents the median (£ per square meter). This is the midpoint of the data, meaning 50% of the prices are below this value, and 50% are above. The middle price per square metre in 'SA44' is £2,430.
  • Interquartile Range (IQR): The box spans from the 25th percentile (Q1) to the 75th percentile (Q3). This is the range where the middle 50% of the data lies, giving a good indication of the typical price spread. Of the 260 transactions in SA44, Velindre half were sold for between £1,910 and £3,030 per square metre.
  • Whiskers: In our case, the whiskers extend from the 9th percentile (at the lower end) to the 91st percentile (at the upper end), This provides a slightly broader view of the distribution by including the middle 82% of records. The whiskers capture most of the variation but exclude extreme outliers caused by data errors in recording sold house prices or internal area.
  • 'n=' is the number of property transactions the box plot is based on; 260 for SA44, Velindre.

    • Property price map for Velindre

    Have a look at the interactive price map I created for myself. Use it to explore 'SA44' house prices all the way down to individual property plots.

    Property price heatmap for Velindre
    House price map for Velindre

    Will SA44 house prices drop in 2025?

    House prices in SA44 grew 1.9% in the last year, -1.9% after inflation. Whether or not this trend will continue depends on many factors, such as wage growth, net migration, interest rates and the level of house building. No one can predict these things with certainty however we can plot the historic trends in house prices in SA44 (Velindre) compared with the wider postcode area 'SA'.You can extrapolate from this based on your own views.

    House price index for SA44

    Tip: click on the legend items to show/hide different lines

    Download house price index as CSV (premium users only).

    The chart above shows changes in 'SA44' property prices over the last 20 years. The index is calculated from the average price paid per sqm for property in SA44 and is set to 100 in 2004. The chart compares trends for SA44, Velindre against those of the broader postcode area 'SA'. What is more interesting is to look at the difference between flats and houses, even those in the same area follow a very different trend, to get a robust enough sample size to see this we need to zoom out and look at house price trends for the entire Ceredigion local authority.

    The dashed lines show nominal house price changes, the solid lines show the same data adjusted for inflation. Economists call this the 'real' price change. You have to take inflation into account when comparing prices over time. It's calculated using the formula:

    Real Rate of Return = (1 + Nominal Rate) ÷ (1 + Inflation Rate) – 1
    In this formula, the nominal rate is the rate of change before any adjustments, and the inflation rate is taken from the Consumer Price Index. The real rate of return is a more accurate measure of change in value, because £1 today does not have the same buying power as £1 in the past. For example, if a savings account pays an interest rate of 3% per year and the inflation rate is 5% per year, the real rate of return is -2%. This means that the investment's value is shrinking by 2% each year.

    Historic returns for SA44
    SA area SA44 district
    Nominal Real Nominal Real
    20 yr per annum 2.6% -0.1% 2.5% -0.3%
    20 yr total 67.7% -2.8% 62.8% -5.6%
    10 yr per annum 4.5% 1.3% 4.3% 1.1%
    10 yr total 55.0% 13.8% 52.4% 11.9%
    5 yr per annum 5.2% 0.7% 5.8% 1.2%
    5 yr total 29.0% 3.4% 32.4% 6.1%
    1 yr per annum 4.0% 0.1% 1.9% -1.9%
    1 yr total 4.0% 0.1% 1.9% -1.9%

    This table complements the house price index chart above, presenting the data in a more detailed format. It breaks down the information into 20-year, 10-year, 5-year, and 1-year periods, further categorized by property type. For each period, we display both a per annum rate of change and a total rate of change.

    The total rate of change represents the overall change over the entire period. The formula for total return is:

    Total return = (Index at end of period ÷ Index at start of period) - 1

    The per annum rate of change is the annualized rate of change over the period. This is equivalent to the annual bank savings rate you would need to achieve the same total return over the given period. This annualized return is also known as the Compound Annual Growth Rate (CAGR). The formula for CAGR is:

    CAGR = (1 + Total return) ^ (1 ÷ Number of years) - 1

    Some specific examples:

    • Over the past 20 years, SA area have seen a -0.1% annual change when adjusted for inflation. This translates to a total change of -2.8% in real terms.
    • Over the past 5 years, SA44 district have seen a 1.2% annual change when adjusted for inflation. This translates to a total change of 6.1% in real terms.

    Most recent SA44 sales

    For the most recent sales activity, rather than a summarized average, it is better to see the underlying data. This is shown in the chart below, where blue dots represent individual sales, click on them to see details. If there is an obvious trend you should be able to spot it here amid the noise from outliers.

    Tip: hover over dots to see details

    Street level data

    Street Avg size Avg £sqm Recent sales
    Parc Yr Ynn, , SA44 4J 103 sqm £2,522 9
    Cae Rwgan, , SA44 5N 157 sqm £2,194 9
    High Street, , SA44 4D 109 sqm £1,486 8
    Gorrig Road, , SA44 4L 117 sqm £2,163 6
    Heol Y Dderwen, , SA44 4R 104 sqm £2,312 6
    Parc Yr Efail, , SA44 6L 131 sqm £2,855 5

    Search for your street here.

    Nearby geographies

    The table below shows how 'SA44' compares to the other postcode districts nearby 'SA44'.

    District Lower quartile Median Upper quartile Sales in last 2yr
    SA9 Ystradgynlais £1,440 sqm £1,830 sqm £2,370 sqm 381
    SA8 Pontardawe £1,770 sqm £2,290 sqm £2,730 sqm 293
    SA73 Neyland £1,520 sqm £1,880 sqm £2,380 sqm 496
    SA72 Pembroke Dock £1,240 sqm £1,580 sqm £1,970 sqm 222
    SA71 Pembroke £1,830 sqm £2,230 sqm £2,730 sqm 275
    SA70 Tenby £2,480 sqm £3,090 sqm £3,560 sqm 306
    SA7 Birchgrove £1,940 sqm £2,400 sqm £2,800 sqm 353
    SA69 Saundersfoot £2,610 sqm £3,190 sqm £4,010 sqm 138
    SA68 Kilgetty £2,350 sqm £2,870 sqm £3,320 sqm 127
    SA67 Narberth £2,270 sqm £2,720 sqm £3,230 sqm 197

    Raw data

    Our analysis of SA44 is derived from what is essentially a big table of sold prices from Land Registry with added property size information. Below are three rows from this table to give you an idea.

    Address Paid sqm £/sqm
    Tegfan, , £135,000
    Oct-2025
    		 87 1,551
    Yr Henfro, , £275,500
    Oct-2025
    		 107 2,574
    Clydfan, , £218,000
    Oct-2025
    		 86 2,534

    See the entire list of all sales in SA44 here.

    About

    I created HouseMetric because I wanted to see this data and analysis myself, I also wanted to teach myself to build a website. Please give me feedback or spread the word about it. I'm constantly tinkering and adding more stuff to it.