House prices in 'CA28 6', Whitehaven

This article reveals price per square metre data and various charts to help you understand current housing market in 'CA28 6' (Whitehaven) - statistics were last calculated on 01 November 2024.

Defining 'CA28 6'

This analysis is limited to properties whose postcode starts with "CA28 6", this is also called the postcode sector. There are no official postcode sector names so I've just labelled it CA28 6, Whitehaven. It is shown in red on the map below.

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You can click on the map above to change to a neighbouring sector, or you can use the search form below.

Price per square metre

Knowing the average house price in CA28 6 is not much use. However, knowing average price per square metre can be quite useful. Price per sqm allows some comparison between properties of different size. We define price per square metre as the sold price divided by the internal area of a property:

£ per sqm = price ÷ internal area

For example in September 2024, 3, East Croft Terrace, Whitehaven, CA28 6PY sold for £39,000. Given the internal area of 64 square metres recorded on the EPC, the price per sqm is £39,000 ÷ 64 sqm = £609.

England & Wales have been officially metric since 1965. However house price per square foot is prefered by some estate agents and those of sufficiently advanced age ;-). It is a huge pain to code the automatic conversion for square meters to square feet for all the graphs and charts on CA28 6 and elsewhere. All the conditionals turn my tidy code for into spaghetti. I will get around to it at some point, but for now you can just divide everything by 10 in your head, move a decimal place and you'll be close enough. If you want to be more precise 1 sqm = 10.76391 sqft.

Distribution of £ per sqm for 'CA28 6' vs 'CA28'

The chart above is called a histogram, it helps you see the distribution of house price per sqm in CA28 6 To make this chart we put all the sales data into a series of £ per sqm 'buckets' (e.g. £1,900 to £2,000, £2,000 to £2,100, £2,100 to £2,200 etc...) we then count the number of sales with within in each bucket and plot the results. The histogram is based on 238 sales that took place in CA28 6, Whitehaven in the last 24 months.

Generate a custom histogram like the one above but based on your own criteria.

You can see the spread of prices above. This is because although internal area is a key factor in determining valuation, it is not the only factor. Many factors other than size affect desirability; these factors could be condition, aspect, garden size, negotiating power of the vendor etc.

The spread of prices will give you a feel of the typical range to expect in CA28 6, Whitehaven. Notably, only 25% of properties that sold recently were valued at more than £2,320 sqm. For anything to be valued more than this means it has to be more desireable than the clear majority of CA28 6 homes.

Box plot of £ per sqm for CA28 6

Tip: click on the chart to see the values.

The chart above is called a boxplot (or a box-and-whisker plot). Box plots, like histograms, are used to graphically represent the distribution of data, showing the central tendency, spread of the distribution. In the context of £ per square metre property price distributions, box plots represent the variation in property prices within a geographic area e.g. Whitehaven. The chart above shows a boxplot for 'CA28 6' as well as the 'CA28' postcode district.

  • Median: The horizontal line inside the box represents the median (£ per square meter). This is the midpoint of the data, meaning 50% of the prices are below this value, and 50% are above. The middle price per square metre in 'CA28 6' is £1,890.
  • Interquartile Range (IQR): The box spans from the 25th percentile (Q1) to the 75th percentile (Q3). This is the range where the middle 50% of the data lies, giving a good indication of the typical price spread. Of the 238 transactions in CA28 6, Whitehaven half were sold for between £1,520 and £2,320 per square metre.
  • Whiskers: In our case, the whiskers extend from the 9th percentile (at the lower end) to the 91st percentile (at the upper end), This provides a slightly broader view of the distribution by including the middle 82% of records. The whiskers capture most of the variation but exclude extreme outliers caused by data errors in recording sold house prices or internal area.
  • 'n=' is the number of property transactions the box plot is based on; 238 for CA28 6, Whitehaven.

    • Property price map for Whitehaven

    Have a look at the interactive price map I created for myself. Use it to explore 'CA28 6' house prices all the way down to individual property plots.

    Property price heatmap for Whitehaven
    House price map for Whitehaven

    Whitehaven house price forecasting

    I cannot tell what house prices will do in the future and don't believe anyone who says they can. However we can plot price trends, I have done this in the chart below for CA28 6 (Whitehaven) compared with the wider postcode district of CA28. You can extrapolate from this based on your own views on future interest rates, inflation and other factors.

    House price index for CA28 6

    Tip: click on the legend items to show/hide different lines

    Download house price index as CSV (premium users only).

    The chart above shows changes in 'CA28 6' property prices over the last 20 years. The index is calculated from the average price paid per sqm for property in CA28 6 and is set to 100 in 2004. I'm comparing the trends for CA28 6,Whitehaven with the wider postcode district of CA28 What is more interesting is to look at the difference between flats and houses, even those in the same area follow a very different trend, to get a robust enough sample size to see this we need to zoom out and look at house price trends for the entire Cumberland local authority.

    The dashed lines show nominal house price changes, the solid lines show the same data adjusted for inflation. Economists call this the 'real' price change. You have to take inflation into account when comparing prices over time. It's calculated using the formula:

    Real Rate of Return = (1 + Nominal Rate) ÷ (1 + Inflation Rate) – 1
    In this formula, the nominal rate is the rate of change before any adjustments, and the inflation rate is taken from the Consumer Price Index. The real rate of return is a more accurate measure of change in value, because £1 today does not have the same buying power as £1 in the past. For example, if a savings account pays an interest rate of 3% per year and the inflation rate is 5% per year, the real rate of return is -2%. This means that the investment's value is shrinking by 2% each year.

    Historic returns for CA28 6
    CA28 6 sector CA28 district
    Nominal Real Nominal Real
    20 yr per annum 3.2% 0.5% 3.1% 0.5%
    20 yr total 87.5% 11.1% 85.1% 9.6%
    10 yr per annum 2.7% -0.1% 2.5% -0.3%
    10 yr total 30.8% -0.7% 28.1% -2.8%
    5 yr per annum 4.7% 0.5% 3.6% -0.5%
    5 yr total 25.5% 2.8% 19.3% -2.3%
    1 yr per annum 7.8% 3.5% 7.8% 3.5%
    1 yr total 7.8% 3.5% 7.8% 3.5%

    This table complements the house price index chart above, presenting the data in a more detailed format. It breaks down the information into 20-year, 10-year, 5-year, and 1-year periods, further categorized by property type. For each period, we display both a per annum rate of change and a total rate of change.

    The total rate of change represents the overall change over the entire period. The formula for total return is:

    Total return = (Index at end of period ÷ Index at start of period) - 1

    The per annum rate of change is the annualized rate of change over the period. This is equivalent to the annual bank savings rate you would need to achieve the same total return over the given period. This annualized return is also known as the Compound Annual Growth Rate (CAGR). The formula for CAGR is:

    CAGR = (1 + Total return) ^ (1 ÷ Number of years) - 1

    Some specific examples:

    • Over the past 20 years, CA28 district have seen a 0.5% annual change when adjusted for inflation. This translates to a total change of 9.6% in real terms.
    • Over the past 5 years, CA28 district have seen a -0.5% annual change when adjusted for inflation. This translates to a total change of -2.3% in real terms.

    Most recent CA28 6 sales

    For the most recent sales activity, rather than a summarized average, it is better to see the underlying data. This is shown in the chart below, where blue dots represent individual sales, click on them to see details. If there is an obvious trend you should be able to spot it here amid the noise from outliers.

    Tip: hover over dots to see details

    Street level data

    Street Avg size Avg £sqm Recent sales
    Victoria Road, Whitehaven, CA28 6J 113 sqm £1,975 21
    Caldbeck Road, Whitehaven, CA28 6X 79 sqm £1,726 18
    Holly Bank, Whitehaven, CA28 6S 69 sqm £2,319 16
    Jericho Road, Whitehaven, CA28 6U 70 sqm £1,929 16
    Foundry Road, Whitehaven, CA28 6P 101 sqm £1,041 15
    Balmoral Road, Whitehaven, CA28 6U 83 sqm £2,193 14
    Springfield Avenue, Whitehaven, CA28 6T 82 sqm £2,063 13
    Jubilee Road, Whitehaven, CA28 6X 76 sqm £1,511 13

    Search for your street here.

    Nearby geographies

    The table below shows how 'CA28 6' compares to the other postcode sectors in CA28.

    Sector Lower quartile Median Upper quartile Sales in last 2yr
    CA28 9 Whitehaven £1,160 sqm £1,660 sqm £2,190 sqm 202
    CA28 8 Hensingham £1,180 sqm £1,500 sqm £1,780 sqm 182
    CA28 7 Whitehaven £1,030 sqm £1,580 sqm £1,890 sqm 102
    CA28 6 Whitehaven £1,520 sqm £1,890 sqm £2,320 sqm 238
    CA14 5 Harrington £1,060 sqm £1,450 sqm £1,870 sqm 157
    CA14 4 High Harrington £1,640 sqm £2,220 sqm £2,570 sqm 252

    Raw data

    Our analysis of CA28 6 is derived from what is essentially a big table of sold prices from Land Registry with added property size information. Below are three rows from this table to give you an idea.

    Address Paid sqm £/sqm
    3, East Croft Terrace, Whitehaven £39,000
    Sep-2024
    		 64 609
    22, Rannerdale Drive, Whitehaven £190,500
    Sep-2024
    		 92 2,070
    84, Winchester Drive, Whitehaven £170,000
    Sep-2024
    		 73 2,328

    See the entire list of all sales in CA28 6 here.

    About

    I created HouseMetric because I wanted to see this data and analysis myself, I also wanted to teach myself to build a website. Please give me feedback or spread the word about it. I'm constantly tinkering and adding more stuff to it.