Feb 07, 2023 by HM
House prices in Harpenden (AL5 4)
This article reveals price per square metre data and various charts to help you understand current housing market in Harpenden (AL5 4).
Price per square metre
Knowing the average house price in Harpenden is not much use. However, knowing average price per square metre can be quite useful. Price per sqm allows some comparison between properties of different size. We define price per square metre as the sold price divided by the internal area of a property:
£ per sqm = price ÷ internal areaE.g. 11, Cross Way, Harpenden, sold for £865,000 on Sep-2023. Given the internal area of 116 square metres, the price per sqm is £7,456.
England & Wales have been officially metric for many decades. However house price per square foot is sometimes prefered by those of sufficiently advanced age. They may want to convert metres on this page to square feet.
The chart below is called a histogram, it helps you see the distribution of this house price per sqm data. To make this chart we put the sales data into a series of £ per sqm 'buckets' (e.g. £8,050-£8,500, £8,500-£8,950, £8,950-£9,400 etc...) we then count the number of sales with within in each bucket and plot the results. The chart is based on 189 sales in Harpenden (AL5 4) that took place in the last two years.
Distribution of £ per sqm for Harpenden (AL5 4)
You can see the spread of prices above. This is because although internal area is a key factor in determining valuation, it is not the only factor. Many factors other than size affect desirability; these factors could be condition, aspect, garden size, negotiating power of the vendor etc.
That said, the spread of prices will give you a feel of the typical range to expect in Harpenden (AL5 4). Of the 189 transactions, half were sold for between £5,720 and £8,290 per square metre. Notably, only 25% of properties that sold recently were valued at more than £8,290m2. For anything to be valued more than this means it has to be more desireable than the clear majority of homes.
For the average, we calculate the 'median' or middle price. The median price per square metre in 'AL5 4' is £7,040. The table below shows how 'AL5 4' compares to neighbouring postcode sectors.
|Postcode sector||Lower quartile||Middle quartile||Upper quartile|
|AL5 1 Harpenden||£5,930m2||£6,790m2||£7,710m2|
|AL5 2 Harpenden||£6,860m2||£8,100m2||£9,260m2|
|AL5 3 Harpenden||£5,860m2||£6,890m2||£8,110m2|
|AL5 4 Harpenden||£5,720m2||£7,040m2||£8,290m2|
|AL5 5 Harpenden||£5,770m2||£6,730m2||£7,740m2|
Will Harpenden house prices drop in 2024?
I cannot tell the future and don't believe anyone who says they can. I can however plot price trends - I have done this in the scatter plot below for AL5 4 (Harpenden). From this one could infer a range of reasonable possible future price falls or rises. In the chart below, the red dashed line is the house price trend for AL5 4 and the blue dots are the individual property sales that inform this trend.
Price per square metre in Harpenden (AL5 4) over time
Hover on any blue dot to see details of specific sales
Disclaimer: The data provided throughout this website about Harpenden and any other area, is not financial advice. Any information provided does not and cannot ever take in to account the particular financial situation, objectives or property needs of either you or anyone reading this information. Furthermore, I cannot guarantee the accuracy of any data shown. This information is based on sold prices and internal area data provided by Land Registry and other third parties - I do not verify the accuracy of the Harpenden data or any other data I am given.
Price map for Harpenden
I've just finished coding the map I link to below. I find it useful and I am sure it will help you in exploring Harpenden. You can zoom in all the way to individual properties and then all the way back out to see the whole country. The colours show the current estimated property values. I will explain more about the methodology and create a key next week.
Street level data
|Street||Avg size||Avg £/m2||Recent sales|
|Station Road, Harpenden, AL5 4X||66m2||£5,960||20|
|Station Road, Harpenden, AL5 4F||64m2||£5,054||15|
|Sun Lane, Harpenden, AL5 4E||70m2||£8,234||14|
|Carlton Road, Harpenden, AL5 4S||84m2||£5,349||13|
|West Way, Harpenden, AL5 4R||156m2||£7,508||13|
|Wroxham Way, Harpenden, AL5 4P||86m2||£8,177||11|
|Ox Lane, Harpenden, AL5 4P||131m2||£7,619||11|
|Cross Way, Harpenden, AL5 4F||66m2||£5,941||10|
Search for your street here.
Our analysis of Harpenden is derived from what is essentially a big table of sold prices from Land Registry with added property size information. Below are three rows from this table to give you an idea.
|11, Cross Way, Harpenden|| £865,000
|17, St James Court, Harpenden|| £187,000
|4, Rye Close, Harpenden|| £730,000
HouseMetric is a hobby, created out of a desire to see data and analysis not present on any free to use website. It is still a work in progress and I'll add more stuff in the near future.