House prices in BR6 8 (Orpington)

This article reveals price per square metre data and various charts to help you understand current housing market in Orpington (BR6 8).


Defining 'BR6 8'

This analysis is limited to properties whose postcode starts with "BR6 8", this is also called the postcode sector. It is shown in red on the map above. There are no official names for postcode sectors so I've just labelled it Orpington.

You can click on the map labels to change to a neighbouring sector, or you can enter a different postcode sector (e.g. CM23 4) below.

FYI, a postcode sector is the full postcode without the last two letters.

Price per square metre

Knowing the average house price in Orpington is not much use. However, knowing average price per square metre can be quite useful. Price per sqm allows some comparison between properties of different size. We define price per square metre as the sold price divided by the internal area of a property:

£ per sqm = price ÷ internal area
E.g. 3, Starts Close, Orpington, sold for £840,000 on Apr-2024. Given the internal area of 91 square metres, the price per sqm is £9,230.

England & Wales have been officially metric since 1965. However house price per square foot is prefered by some estate agents and those of sufficiently advanced age ;-) They may want to convert square meters on this page to square feet.

The chart below is called a histogram, it helps you see the distribution of this house price per sqm data. To make this chart we put the sales data into a series of £ per sqm 'buckets' (e.g. £6,700-£7,000, £7,000-£7,300, £7,300-£7,600 etc...) we then count the number of sales with within in each bucket and plot the results. The chart is based on 178 sales in Orpington (BR6 8) that took place in the last two years.

Distribution of £ per sqm for Orpington
Distribution of £ per sqm house prices in Orpington

You can see the spread of prices above. This is because although internal area is a key factor in determining valuation, it is not the only factor. Many factors other than size affect desirability; these factors could be condition, aspect, garden size, negotiating power of the vendor etc.

The spread of prices will give you a feel of the typical range to expect in Orpington (BR6 8). Of the 178 transactions, half were sold for between £5,380 and £7,060 per square metre. The median, or 'middle', price per square metre in 'BR6 8' is £6,080. Notably, only 25% of properties that sold recently were valued at more than £7,060 sqm. For anything to be valued more than this means it has to be more desireable than the clear majority of homes.

Price map for Orpington

Do have a look at the interactive price map I created. I find it useful and I am sure it will help you in exploring Orpington. You can zoom in all the way to individual properties and then all the way back out to see the whole country. The colours show the current estimated property values.

Property price heatmap for Orpington
House price heatmap for Orpington

Comparison with neighbouring postcode sectors

The table below shows how 'BR6 8' compares to neighbouring postcode sectors.

Postcode sector Lower quartile Middle quartile Upper quartile
BR6 9 Orpington £5,300 sqm £5,980 sqm £6,760 sqm
BR6 0 Orpington £4,780 sqm £5,570 sqm £6,400 sqm
BR6 8 Orpington £5,380 sqm £6,080 sqm £7,060 sqm
BR6 7 Orpington £5,190 sqm £5,920 sqm £6,710 sqm
BR6 6 Chelsfield £5,040 sqm £5,760 sqm £6,570 sqm

Will Orpington house prices drop in 2024?

I cannot tell the future and don't believe anyone who says they can. I can however plot price trends - I have done this in the chart below for BR6 8 (Orpington) compared with both the wider area BR6 and inflation (CPIH from the Office of National Statistics). The dashed trend lines in the chart show the average over time.

Historic price per square metre in Orpington,Orpington
House price trends for Orpington

For the most recent sales activity, rather than a summarized average, it is better to see the underlying data. This is shown in the chart below, where blue dots represent individual sales, click on them to see details. If there is an obvious trend you should be able to spot it here amid the noise from outliers.

Most recent BR6 8 sales
Recent trends for Orpington

Data from Land Registry comes in gradually over time. I update it every month but it takes about 5 months for the majority of sales for Orpington to be recorded. Disclaimer: I do not verify and cannot guarantee the accuracy of any data shown. Outliers exist in the data, typically these are where the EPC registry records the internal area incorrectly, sometimes although very rarely the Land Registry price paid data can be wrong. The data provided throughout this website about Orpington and any other area, is not financial advice. Any information provided does not and cannot ever take in to account the particular financial situation, objectives or property needs of either you or anyone reading this information.

Street level data

Street Avg size Avg £sqm Recent sales
Farnborough Common, Orpington, BR6 8N 51 sqm £4,248 24
Oregon Square, Orpington, BR6 8B 72 sqm £6,988 21
Andover Road, Orpington, BR6 8B 85 sqm £6,299 21
Crofton Road, Orpington, BR6 8J 118 sqm £5,775 16
Woodcote Drive, Orpington, BR6 8D 88 sqm £4,454 11
Crofton Avenue, Orpington, BR6 8D 125 sqm £6,286 10
Cathcart Drive, Orpington, BR6 8B 107 sqm £5,995 10
Tandridge Drive, Orpington, BR6 8B 94 sqm £4,652 10

Search for your street here.

Raw data

Our analysis of Orpington is derived from what is essentially a big table of sold prices from Land Registry with added property size information. Below are three rows from this table to give you an idea.

Address Paid sqm £/sqm
3, Starts Close, Orpington £840,000
Apr-2024
91 9,230
Flat 12 Summerlands Lodge, Farnborough Common, Orpington £230,000
Mar-2024
50 4,600
13, Pound Court Drive, Orpington £810,000
Mar-2024
150 5,400

See the entire list of all sales in Orpington (BR6 8) here.

About

I created HouseMetric because I wanted to see this data and analysis myself, I also wanted to teach myself to build a website. Please give me feedback or spread the word about it. I'm constantly tinkering and adding more stuff to it.