# House prices in CF48 1 (Heolgerrig)

This article reveals price per square metre data and various charts to help you understand current housing market in Heolgerrig, Dowlais (CF48 1).

## Defining 'CF48 1'

This analysis is limited to properties whose postcode starts with "CF48 1", this is also called the postcode sector. It is shown in red on the map above. There are no official names for postcode sectors so I've just labelled it Heolgerrig.

You can click on the map labels to change to a neighbouring sector, or you can enter a different postcode sector (e.g. CM23 4) below.

FYI, a postcode sector is the full postcode without the last two letters.

## Price per square metre

Knowing the average house price in Heolgerrig is not much use. However, knowing average price per square metre can be quite useful. Price per sqm allows some comparison between properties of different size. We define price per square metre as the sold price divided by the internal area of a property:

£ per sqm = price ÷ internal area
E.g. 22, Winchfawr, Heolgerrig, Dowlais, sold for £125,000 on Mar-2024. Given the internal area of 114 square metres, the price per sqm is £1,096.

England & Wales have been officially metric since 1965. However house price per square foot is prefered by some estate agents and those of sufficiently advanced age ;-) They may want to convert square meters on this page to square feet.

The chart below is called a histogram, it helps you see the distribution of this house price per sqm data. To make this chart we put the sales data into a series of £ per sqm 'buckets' (e.g. £2,350-£2,500, £2,500-£2,650, £2,650-£2,800 etc...) we then count the number of sales with within in each bucket and plot the results. The chart is based on 154 sales in Heolgerrig (CF48 1) that took place in the last two years.

##### Distribution of £ per sqm for Heolgerrig, Dowlais
Distribution of £ per sqm house prices in Heolgerrig

You can see the spread of prices above. This is because although internal area is a key factor in determining valuation, it is not the only factor. Many factors other than size affect desirability; these factors could be condition, aspect, garden size, negotiating power of the vendor etc.

The spread of prices will give you a feel of the typical range to expect in Heolgerrig (CF48 1). Of the 154 transactions, half were sold for between £1,700 and £2,590 per square metre. The median, or 'middle', price per square metre in 'CF48 1' is £2,130. Notably, only 25% of properties that sold recently were valued at more than £2,590 sqm. For anything to be valued more than this means it has to be more desireable than the clear majority of homes.

## Price map for Heolgerrig, Dowlais

Do have a look at the interactive price map I created. I find it useful and I am sure it will help you in exploring Dowlais. You can zoom in all the way to individual properties and then all the way back out to see the whole country. The colours show the current estimated property values.

House price heatmap for Heolgerrig, Dowlais

## Comparison with neighbouring postcode sectors

The table below shows how 'CF48 1' compares to neighbouring postcode sectors.

Postcode sector Lower quartile Middle quartile Upper quartile
CF48 3 Dowlais £1,150 sqm £1,410 sqm £1,620 sqm
CF48 2 Cefn Coed £1,370 sqm £1,650 sqm £2,180 sqm
CF48 1 Heolgerrig £1,700 sqm £2,130 sqm £2,590 sqm
CF48 4 Troedyrhiw £1,070 sqm £1,350 sqm £1,570 sqm

## Will Dowlais house prices drop in 2024?

I cannot tell the future and don't believe anyone who says they can. I can however plot price trends - I have done this in the chart below for CF48 1 (Heolgerrig) compared with both the wider area CF48 and inflation (CPIH from the Office of National Statistics). The dashed trend lines in the chart show the average over time.

##### Historic price per square metre in Heolgerrig,Dowlais
House price trends for Heolgerrig

For the most recent sales activity, rather than a summarized average, it is better to see the underlying data. This is shown in the chart below, where blue dots represent individual sales, click on them to see details. If there is an obvious trend you should be able to spot it here amid the noise from outliers.

##### Most recent CF48 1 sales
Recent trends for Heolgerrig

Data from Land Registry comes in gradually over time. I update it every month but it takes about 5 months for the majority of sales for Dowlais to be recorded. Disclaimer: I do not verify and cannot guarantee the accuracy of any data shown. Outliers exist in the data, typically these are where the EPC registry records the internal area incorrectly, sometimes although very rarely the Land Registry price paid data can be wrong. The data provided throughout this website about Dowlais and any other area, is not financial advice. Any information provided does not and cannot ever take in to account the particular financial situation, objectives or property needs of either you or anyone reading this information.

## Street level data

Street Avg size Avg £sqm Recent sales
Beacon Heights, Heolgerrig, CF48 1N 78 sqm £2,373 17
Heolgerrig, Heolgerrig, CF48 1R 99 sqm £1,768 14
Cyfarthfa Mews, Heolgerrig, CF48 1H 106 sqm £2,155 13
Woodland Walk, Heolgerrig, CF48 1A 77 sqm £1,967 12
Cae'R Wern, Heolgerrig, CF48 1A 86 sqm £1,617 10
Pen Y Dyffryn, Heolgerrig, CF48 1P 100 sqm £2,330 9
Monmouth Drive, Heolgerrig, CF48 1J 75 sqm £2,167 9
Chester Close, Heolgerrig, CF48 1S 80 sqm £2,288 9

## Raw data

Our analysis of Heolgerrig is derived from what is essentially a big table of sold prices from Land Registry with added property size information. Below are three rows from this table to give you an idea.