Feb 07, 2023 by HM

House prices in Dowlais (CF48 3)

This article reveals price per square metre data and various charts to help you understand current housing market in Dowlais (CF48 3).


Defining 'CF48 3'

This analysis is limited to properties whose postcode starts with "CF48 3", this is also called the postcode sector. It is shown in red on the map above. You can click on the map labels to change to a neighbouring sector.

Price per square metre

Knowing the average house price in Dowlais is not much use. However, knowing average price per square metre can be quite useful. Price per sqm allows some comparison between properties of different size. We define price per square metre as the sold price divided by the internal area of a property:

£ per sqm = price ÷ internal area
E.g. 40, Bryn Carwyn, Dowlais, sold for £95,000 on Dec-2023. Given the internal area of 77 square metres, the price per sqm is £1,233.

England & Wales have been officially metric for many decades. However house price per square foot is sometimes prefered by those of sufficiently advanced age. ;-) They may want to convert metres on this page to square feet.

The chart below is called a histogram, it helps you see the distribution of this house price per sqm data. To make this chart we put the sales data into a series of £ per sqm 'buckets' (e.g. £1,900-£2,000, £2,000-£2,100, £2,100-£2,200 etc...) we then count the number of sales with within in each bucket and plot the results. The chart is based on 102 sales in Dowlais (CF48 3) that took place in the last two years.

Distribution of £ per sqm for Dowlais (CF48 3)
Distribution of £ per sqm house prices in Dowlais

You can see the spread of prices above. This is because although internal area is a key factor in determining valuation, it is not the only factor. Many factors other than size affect desirability; these factors could be condition, aspect, garden size, negotiating power of the vendor etc.

The spread of prices will give you a feel of the typical range to expect in Dowlais (CF48 3). Of the 102 transactions, half were sold for between £1,110 and £1,610 per square metre. The median, or 'middle', price per square metre in 'CF48 3' is £1,400. Notably, only 25% of properties that sold recently were valued at more than £1,610m2. For anything to be valued more than this means it has to be more desireable than the clear majority of homes.

Price map for Dowlais

Do have a look at the interactive price map I created. I find it useful and I am sure it will help you in exploring Dowlais. You can zoom in all the way to individual properties and then all the way back out to see the whole country. The colours show the current estimated property values.

Property price heatmap for Dowlais
House price heatmap for Dowlais

Comparison with neighbouring postcode sectors

The table below shows how 'CF48 3' compares to neighbouring postcode sectors.

Postcode sector Lower quartile Middle quartile Upper quartile
CF48 2 Cefn Coed £1,380m2 £1,650m2 £2,160m2
CF48 1 Heolgerrig £1,730m2 £2,130m2 £2,590m2
CF48 3 Dowlais £1,110m2 £1,400m2 £1,610m2
CF48 4 Troedyrhiw £1,070m2 £1,350m2 £1,560m2

Will Dowlais house prices drop in 2024?

I cannot tell the future and don't believe anyone who says they can. I can however plot price trends - I have done this in the scatter plot below for CF48 3 (Dowlais). From this one could infer a range of reasonable possible future price falls or rises. In the chart below, the red dashed line is the house price trend for CF48 3 and the blue dots are the individual property sales that inform this trend.

Price per square metre in Dowlais (CF48 3) over time
House price trends for Dowlais

Hover on any blue dot to see details of specific sales

Disclaimer: The data provided throughout this website about Dowlais and any other area, is not financial advice. Any information provided does not and cannot ever take in to account the particular financial situation, objectives or property needs of either you or anyone reading this information. Furthermore, I cannot guarantee the accuracy of any data shown. This information is based on sold prices and internal area data provided by Land Registry and other third parties - I do not verify the accuracy of the Dowlais data or any other data I am given.

Street level data

Street Avg size Avg £/m2 Recent sales
High Street, Dowlais, CF48 3P 70m2 £1,253 19
Balaclava Road, Dowlais, CF48 3B 84m2 £1,451 16
Winifred Street, Dowlais, CF48 3S 90m2 £1,179 14
Francis Street, Dowlais, CF48 3S 70m2 £1,254 11
Odessa Street, Dowlais, CF48 3A 71m2 £920 10
Muriel Terrace, Dowlais, CF48 3P 86m2 £1,285 8
Blaen Dowlais, Dowlais, CF48 3R 66m2 £1,335 8
Guest Cottages, Dowlais, CF48 3N 86m2 £1,106 7

Search for your street here.

Raw data

Our analysis of Dowlais is derived from what is essentially a big table of sold prices from Land Registry with added property size information. Below are three rows from this table to give you an idea.

Address Paid m2 £/m2
40, Bryn Carwyn, Dowlais £95,000
Dec-2023
77 1,233
20, Odessa St, Dowlais £99,000
Dec-2023
75 1,320
24 Above Bridge, High St, Dowlais £95,000
Dec-2023
68 1,397

See the entire list of all sales in Dowlais (CF48 3) here.

About

HouseMetric is a hobby, created out of a desire to see data and analysis not present on any free to use website. It is still a work in progress and I'll add more stuff in the near future.