Feb 07, 2023 by HM

House prices in Bargoed (CF81 8)

This article reveals price per square metre data and various charts to help you understand current housing market in Bargoed (CF81 8).


Price per square metre

Knowing the average house price in Bargoed is not much use. However, knowing average price per square metre can be quite useful. Price per sqm allows some comparison between properties of different size. We define price per square metre as the sold price divided by the internal area of a property:

£ per sqm = price ÷ internal area
E.g. 64, Greenfield Street, Bargoed, sold for £88,000 on Sep-2023. Given the internal area of 66 square metres, the price per sqm is £1,333.

England & Wales have been officially metric for many decades. However house price per square foot is sometimes prefered by those of sufficiently advanced age. They may want to convert metres on this page to square feet.

The chart below is called a histogram, it helps you see the distribution of this house price per sqm data. To make this chart we put the sales data into a series of £ per sqm 'buckets' (e.g. £1,900-£2,000, £2,000-£2,100, £2,100-£2,200 etc...) we then count the number of sales with within in each bucket and plot the results. The chart is based on 168 sales in Bargoed (CF81 8) that took place in the last two years.

Distribution of £ per sqm for Bargoed (CF81 8)
Distribution of £ per sqm house prices in Bargoed

You can see the spread of prices above. This is because although internal area is a key factor in determining valuation, it is not the only factor. Many factors other than size affect desirability; these factors could be condition, aspect, garden size, negotiating power of the vendor etc.

That said, the spread of prices will give you a feel of the typical range to expect in Bargoed (CF81 8). Of the 168 transactions, half were sold for between £1,280 and £1,750 per square metre. Notably, only 25% of properties that sold recently were valued at more than £1,750m2. For anything to be valued more than this means it has to be more desireable than the clear majority of homes.

For the average, we calculate the 'median' or middle price. The median price per square metre in 'CF81 8' is £1,510. The table below shows how 'CF81 8' compares to neighbouring postcode sectors.

Postcode sector Lower quartile Middle quartile Upper quartile
CF81 9 Aberbargoed £1,260m2 £1,440m2 £1,820m2
CF81 8 Bargoed £1,280m2 £1,510m2 £1,750m2

Will Bargoed house prices drop in 2024?

I cannot tell the future and don't believe anyone who says they can. I can however plot price trends - I have done this in the scatter plot below for CF81 8 (Bargoed). From this one could infer a range of reasonable possible future price falls or rises. In the chart below, the red dashed line is the house price trend for CF81 8 and the blue dots are the individual property sales that inform this trend.

Price per square metre in Bargoed (CF81 8) over time
House price trends for Bargoed

Hover on any blue dot to see details of specific sales

Disclaimer: The data provided throughout this website about Bargoed and any other area, is not financial advice. Any information provided does not and cannot ever take in to account the particular financial situation, objectives or property needs of either you or anyone reading this information. Furthermore, I cannot guarantee the accuracy of any data shown. This information is based on sold prices and internal area data provided by Land Registry and other third parties - I do not verify the accuracy of the Bargoed data or any other data I am given.

Price map for Bargoed

I've just finished coding the map I link to below. I find it useful and I am sure it will help you in exploring Bargoed. You can zoom in all the way to individual properties and then all the way back out to see the whole country. The colours show the current estimated property values. I will explain more about the methodology and create a key next week.

Property price heatmap for Bargoed
House price heatmap for Bargoed

Street level data

Street Avg size Avg £/m2 Recent sales
Greenfield Street, Bargoed, CF81 8R 74m2 £1,327 17
Llancayo Street, Bargoed, CF81 8T 84m2 £1,389 15
John Street, Bargoed, CF81 8P 94m2 £1,353 15
Gilfach Street, Bargoed, CF81 8L 99m2 £1,150 14
Heolddu Road, Bargoed, CF81 8R 71m2 £1,356 13
Gwerthonor Place, Bargoed, CF81 8J 96m2 £1,326 12
Park Road, Bargoed, CF81 8S 97m2 £1,381 12
Hillside Park, Bargoed, CF81 8N 123m2 £1,710 12

Search for your street here.

Raw data

Our analysis of Bargoed is derived from what is essentially a big table of sold prices from Land Registry with added property size information. Below are three rows from this table to give you an idea.

Address Paid m2 £/m2
64, Greenfield St, Bargoed £88,000
Sep-2023
66 1,333
69, John St, Bargoed £125,000
Aug-2023
88 1,420
29, Maes Y Graig St, Bargoed £169,000
Aug-2023
77 2,194

See the entire list of all sales in Bargoed (CF81 8) here.

About

HouseMetric is a hobby, created out of a desire to see data and analysis not present on any free to use website. It is still a work in progress and I'll add more stuff in the near future.