Feb 07, 2023 by HM

House prices in Chelmsford (CM1 1)

This article reveals price per square metre data and various charts to help you understand current housing market in Chelmsford (CM1 1).


Price per square metre

Knowing the average house price in Chelmsford is not much use. However, knowing average price per square metre can be quite useful. Price per sqm allows some comparison between properties of different size. We define price per square metre as the sold price divided by the internal area of a property:

£ per sqm = price ÷ internal area
E.g. 17, Marconi Road, Chelmsford, sold for £325,000 on Oct-2023. Given the internal area of 70 square metres, the price per sqm is £4,642.

England & Wales have been officially metric for many decades. However house price per square foot is sometimes prefered by those of sufficiently advanced age. They may want to convert metres on this page to square feet.

The chart below is called a histogram, it helps you see the distribution of this house price per sqm data. To make this chart we put the sales data into a series of £ per sqm 'buckets' (e.g. £3,700-£4,000, £4,000-£4,300, £4,300-£4,600 etc...) we then count the number of sales with within in each bucket and plot the results. The chart is based on 183 sales in Chelmsford (CM1 1) that took place in the last two years.

Distribution of £ per sqm for Chelmsford (CM1 1)
Distribution of £ per sqm house prices in Chelmsford

You can see the spread of prices above. This is because although internal area is a key factor in determining valuation, it is not the only factor. Many factors other than size affect desirability; these factors could be condition, aspect, garden size, negotiating power of the vendor etc.

That said, the spread of prices will give you a feel of the typical range to expect in Chelmsford (CM1 1). Of the 183 transactions, half were sold for between £3,800 and £4,820 per square metre. Notably, only 25% of properties that sold recently were valued at more than £4,820m2. For anything to be valued more than this means it has to be more desireable than the clear majority of homes.

For the average, we calculate the 'median' or middle price. The median price per square metre in 'CM1 1' is £4,280. The table below shows how 'CM1 1' compares to neighbouring postcode sectors.

Postcode sector Lower quartile Middle quartile Upper quartile
CM1 2 Chelmsford £3,900m2 £4,440m2 £5,060m2
CM1 6 Springfield £4,000m2 £4,570m2 £5,260m2
CM1 4 Roxwell £4,110m2 £4,710m2 £5,280m2
CM1 3 Writtle £3,780m2 £4,460m2 £5,160m2
CM1 7 Broomfield £4,100m2 £4,590m2 £5,000m2
CM1 1 Chelmsford £3,800m2 £4,280m2 £4,820m2

Will Chelmsford house prices drop in 2024?

I cannot tell the future and don't believe anyone who says they can. I can however plot price trends - I have done this in the scatter plot below for CM1 1 (Chelmsford). From this one could infer a range of reasonable possible future price falls or rises. In the chart below, the red dashed line is the house price trend for CM1 1 and the blue dots are the individual property sales that inform this trend.

Price per square metre in Chelmsford (CM1 1) over time
House price trends for Chelmsford

Hover on any blue dot to see details of specific sales

Disclaimer: The data provided throughout this website about Chelmsford and any other area, is not financial advice. Any information provided does not and cannot ever take in to account the particular financial situation, objectives or property needs of either you or anyone reading this information. Furthermore, I cannot guarantee the accuracy of any data shown. This information is based on sold prices and internal area data provided by Land Registry and other third parties - I do not verify the accuracy of the Chelmsford data or any other data I am given.

Price map for Chelmsford

I've just finished coding the map I link to below. I find it useful and I am sure it will help you in exploring Chelmsford. You can zoom in all the way to individual properties and then all the way back out to see the whole country. The colours show the current estimated property values. I will explain more about the methodology and create a key next week.

Property price heatmap for Chelmsford
House price heatmap for Chelmsford

Street level data

Street Avg size Avg £/m2 Recent sales
Broomfield Road, Chelmsford, CM1 1S 53m2 £4,014 44
Bishop Road, Chelmsford, CM1 1P 78m2 £4,684 22
Durrant Court, Chelmsford, CM1 1U 53m2 £4,048 22
Victoria Court, Chelmsford, CM1 1G 66m2 £3,930 19
Broomfield Road, Chelmsford, CM1 1R 86m2 £3,969 18
Burgess Springs, Chelmsford, CM1 1Q 66m2 £2,560 17
Bond Street, Chelmsford, CM1 1G 66m2 £4,470 15
Watson Heights, Chelmsford, CM1 1A 64m2 £4,381 15

Search for your street here.

New build activity

Street Avg size Avg £/m2 New build sales
Railway Street, Chelmsford, CM1 1Q 68m2 £4,538 12

Railway Street, Chelmsford, CM1 1Q has seen 12 new build sales in the last 4 years (average price £314,382). These new build homes typically have an internal area of 68 m2, with an average price of £4,538 m2. This £sqm average is £258 above the average for CM1 1. New builds typically command a £ per sqm premium so this is normal.

Raw data

Our analysis of Chelmsford is derived from what is essentially a big table of sold prices from Land Registry with added property size information. Below are three rows from this table to give you an idea.

Address Paid m2 £/m2
17, Marconi Rd, Chelmsford £325,000
Oct-2023
70 4,642
97, Dunn Side, Chelmsford £316,000
Sep-2023
39 8,102
Flat 2 The Phoenix, 41, New St, Chelmsford £232,500
Sep-2023
57 4,078

See the entire list of all sales in Chelmsford (CM1 1) here.

About

HouseMetric is a hobby, created out of a desire to see data and analysis not present on any free to use website. It is still a work in progress and I'll add more stuff in the near future.