Feb 07, 2023 by HM

House prices in Harlow (CM20 2)

This article reveals price per square metre data and various charts to help you understand current housing market in Harlow (CM20 2).


Price per square metre

Knowing the average house price in Harlow is not much use. However, knowing average price per square metre can be quite useful. Price per sqm allows some comparison between properties of different size. We define price per square metre as the sold price divided by the internal area of a property:

£ per sqm = price ÷ internal area
E.g. 6, Taylor Close, Harlow, sold for £387,500 on Aug-2023. Given the internal area of 73 square metres, the price per sqm is £5,308.

England & Wales have been officially metric for many decades. However house price per square foot is sometimes prefered by those of sufficiently advanced age. They may want to convert metres on this page to square feet.

The chart below is called a histogram, it helps you see the distribution of this house price per sqm data. To make this chart we put the sales data into a series of £ per sqm 'buckets' (e.g. £4,250-£4,500, £4,500-£4,750, £4,750-£5,000 etc...) we then count the number of sales with within in each bucket and plot the results. The chart is based on 139 sales in Harlow (CM20 2) that took place in the last two years.

Distribution of £ per sqm for Harlow (CM20 2)
Distribution of £ per sqm house prices in Harlow

You can see the spread of prices above. This is because although internal area is a key factor in determining valuation, it is not the only factor. Many factors other than size affect desirability; these factors could be condition, aspect, garden size, negotiating power of the vendor etc.

That said, the spread of prices will give you a feel of the typical range to expect in Harlow (CM20 2). Of the 139 transactions, half were sold for between £3,460 and £4,520 per square metre. Notably, only 25% of properties that sold recently were valued at more than £4,520m2. For anything to be valued more than this means it has to be more desireable than the clear majority of homes.

For the average, we calculate the 'median' or middle price. The median price per square metre in 'CM20 2' is £3,970. The table below shows how 'CM20 2' compares to neighbouring postcode sectors.

Postcode sector Lower quartile Middle quartile Upper quartile
CM20 1 Harlow £3,540m2 £4,000m2 £4,410m2
CM20 3 Harlow £3,470m2 £3,870m2 £4,220m2
CM20 2 Harlow £3,460m2 £3,970m2 £4,520m2

Will Harlow house prices drop in 2024?

I cannot tell the future and don't believe anyone who says they can. I can however plot price trends - I have done this in the scatter plot below for CM20 2 (Harlow). From this one could infer a range of reasonable possible future price falls or rises. In the chart below, the red dashed line is the house price trend for CM20 2 and the blue dots are the individual property sales that inform this trend.

Price per square metre in Harlow (CM20 2) over time
House price trends for Harlow

Hover on any blue dot to see details of specific sales

Disclaimer: The data provided throughout this website about Harlow and any other area, is not financial advice. Any information provided does not and cannot ever take in to account the particular financial situation, objectives or property needs of either you or anyone reading this information. Furthermore, I cannot guarantee the accuracy of any data shown. This information is based on sold prices and internal area data provided by Land Registry and other third parties - I do not verify the accuracy of the Harlow data or any other data I am given.

Price map for Harlow

I've just finished coding the map I link to below. I find it useful and I am sure it will help you in exploring Harlow. You can zoom in all the way to individual properties and then all the way back out to see the whole country. The colours show the current estimated property values. I will explain more about the methodology and create a key next week.

Property price heatmap for Harlow
House price heatmap for Harlow

Street level data

Street Avg size Avg £/m2 Recent sales
Altham Grove, Harlow, CM20 2P 85m2 £3,547 25
Bromley Close, Harlow, CM20 2G 52m2 £3,536 20
Glebelands, Harlow, CM20 2P 89m2 £3,570 15
Terlings Avenue, Harlow, CM20 2F 123m2 £4,092 15
Tanyard Place, Harlow, CM20 2F 106m2 £3,550 14
Tanys Dell, Harlow, CM20 2L 70m2 £3,277 13
Mark Hall Moors, Harlow, CM20 2N 87m2 £3,953 13
Fesants Croft, Harlow, CM20 2J 77m2 £3,990 11

Search for your street here.

New build activity

Street Avg size Avg £/m2 New build sales
Edinburgh Gate, Harlow, CM20 2J 53m2 £3,466 29
Edinburgh Gate, Harlow, CM20 2T 55m2 £4,334 31
Edinburgh Gate, Harlow, CM20 2G 48m2 £3,785 19
Locke Close, Harlow, CM20 2G 80m2 £4,810 12

Edinburgh Gate, Harlow, CM20 2J has seen 29 new build sales in the last 4 years (average price £201,435). These new build homes typically have an internal area of 53 m2, with an average price of £3,466 m2. This £sqm average is £-504 below the average for CM20 2. New builds typically command a £ per sqm premium. In the case of Edinburgh Gate the premium seems not to exist. Without more info we can only speculate why this may be. Perhaps it may be greater density and smaller gardens, but this is just a guess.

Raw data

Our analysis of Harlow is derived from what is essentially a big table of sold prices from Land Registry with added property size information. Below are three rows from this table to give you an idea.

Address Paid m2 £/m2
6, Taylor Close, Harlow £387,500
Aug-2023
73 5,308
10, Mark Hall Moors, Harlow £490,000
Aug-2023
126 3,888
42, Bromley Close, Harlow £183,000
Aug-2023
37 4,945

See the entire list of all sales in Harlow (CM20 2) here.

About

HouseMetric is a hobby, created out of a desire to see data and analysis not present on any free to use website. It is still a work in progress and I'll add more stuff in the near future.