Feb 07, 2023 by HM

House prices in Dover (CT16 1)

This article reveals price per square metre data and various charts to help you understand current housing market in Dover (CT16 1).


Price per square metre

Knowing the average house price in Dover is not much use. However, knowing average price per square metre can be quite useful. Price per sqm allows some comparison between properties of different size. We define price per square metre as the sold price divided by the internal area of a property:

£ per sqm = price ÷ internal area
E.g. 48, The Gateway, Dover, sold for £349,040 on Sep-2023. Given the internal area of 73 square metres, the price per sqm is £4,781.

England & Wales have been officially metric for many decades. However house price per square foot is sometimes prefered by those of sufficiently advanced age. They may want to convert metres on this page to square feet.

The chart below is called a histogram, it helps you see the distribution of this house price per sqm data. To make this chart we put the sales data into a series of £ per sqm 'buckets' (e.g. £3,700-£4,000, £4,000-£4,300, £4,300-£4,600 etc...) we then count the number of sales with within in each bucket and plot the results. The chart is based on 101 sales in Dover (CT16 1) that took place in the last two years.

Distribution of £ per sqm for Dover (CT16 1)
Distribution of £ per sqm house prices in Dover

You can see the spread of prices above. This is because although internal area is a key factor in determining valuation, it is not the only factor. Many factors other than size affect desirability; these factors could be condition, aspect, garden size, negotiating power of the vendor etc.

That said, the spread of prices will give you a feel of the typical range to expect in Dover (CT16 1). Of the 101 transactions, half were sold for between £2,130 and £3,180 per square metre. Notably, only 25% of properties that sold recently were valued at more than £3,180m2. For anything to be valued more than this means it has to be more desireable than the clear majority of homes.

For the average, we calculate the 'median' or middle price. The median price per square metre in 'CT16 1' is £2,480. The table below shows how 'CT16 1' compares to neighbouring postcode sectors.

Postcode sector Lower quartile Middle quartile Upper quartile
CT16 2 Dover £2,380m2 £2,780m2 £3,180m2
CT16 3 Whitfield £3,350m2 £3,870m2 £4,360m2
CT16 1 Dover £2,130m2 £2,480m2 £3,180m2

Will Dover house prices drop in 2024?

I cannot tell the future and don't believe anyone who says they can. I can however plot price trends - I have done this in the scatter plot below for CT16 1 (Dover). From this one could infer a range of reasonable possible future price falls or rises. In the chart below, the red dashed line is the house price trend for CT16 1 and the blue dots are the individual property sales that inform this trend.

Price per square metre in Dover (CT16 1) over time
House price trends for Dover

Hover on any blue dot to see details of specific sales

Disclaimer: The data provided throughout this website about Dover and any other area, is not financial advice. Any information provided does not and cannot ever take in to account the particular financial situation, objectives or property needs of either you or anyone reading this information. Furthermore, I cannot guarantee the accuracy of any data shown. This information is based on sold prices and internal area data provided by Land Registry and other third parties - I do not verify the accuracy of the Dover data or any other data I am given.

Price map for Dover

I've just finished coding the map I link to below. I find it useful and I am sure it will help you in exploring Dover. You can zoom in all the way to individual properties and then all the way back out to see the whole country. The colours show the current estimated property values. I will explain more about the methodology and create a key next week.

Property price heatmap for Dover
House price heatmap for Dover

Street level data

Street Avg size Avg £/m2 Recent sales
The Gateway, Dover, CT16 1L 74m2 £2,976 45
Cambridge Terrace, Dover, CT16 1J 94m2 £2,340 19
Leyburne Road, Dover, CT16 1S 76m2 £2,818 11
Park Avenue, Dover, CT16 1H 144m2 £2,131 11
East Cliff, Dover, CT16 1L 84m2 £2,570 11
Godwyne Road, Dover, CT16 1S 81m2 £2,310 10
Castlemount Road, Dover, CT16 1S 75m2 £3,393 9
Victoria Park, Dover, CT16 1Q 103m2 £1,969 9

Search for your street here.

Raw data

Our analysis of Dover is derived from what is essentially a big table of sold prices from Land Registry with added property size information. Below are three rows from this table to give you an idea.

Address Paid m2 £/m2
48, The Gateway, Dover £349,040
Sep-2023
73 4,781
Flat 4 Taymouth House, 14, Harold St, Dover £80,000
Aug-2023
63 1,269
Apartment 2 5, Cambridge Terrace, Dover £240,000
Aug-2023
90 2,666

See the entire list of all sales in Dover (CT16 1) here.

About

HouseMetric is a hobby, created out of a desire to see data and analysis not present on any free to use website. It is still a work in progress and I'll add more stuff in the near future.