Feb 07, 2023 by HM

House prices in Dartford (DA1 5)

This article reveals price per square metre data and various charts to help you understand current housing market in Dartford (DA1 5).


Price per square metre

Knowing the average house price in Dartford is not much use. However, knowing average price per square metre can be quite useful. Price per sqm allows some comparison between properties of different size. We define price per square metre as the sold price divided by the internal area of a property:

£ per sqm = price ÷ internal area
E.g. 14, Kingsley Avenue, Dartford, sold for £240,000 on Oct-2023. Given the internal area of 80 square metres, the price per sqm is £3,000.

England & Wales have been officially metric for many decades. However house price per square foot is sometimes prefered by those of sufficiently advanced age. They may want to convert metres on this page to square feet.

The chart below is called a histogram, it helps you see the distribution of this house price per sqm data. To make this chart we put the sales data into a series of £ per sqm 'buckets' (e.g. £3,700-£4,000, £4,000-£4,300, £4,300-£4,600 etc...) we then count the number of sales with within in each bucket and plot the results. The chart is based on 380 sales in Dartford (DA1 5) that took place in the last two years.

Distribution of £ per sqm for Dartford (DA1 5)
Distribution of £ per sqm house prices in Dartford

You can see the spread of prices above. This is because although internal area is a key factor in determining valuation, it is not the only factor. Many factors other than size affect desirability; these factors could be condition, aspect, garden size, negotiating power of the vendor etc.

That said, the spread of prices will give you a feel of the typical range to expect in Dartford (DA1 5). Of the 380 transactions, half were sold for between £3,770 and £5,000 per square metre. Notably, only 25% of properties that sold recently were valued at more than £5,000m2. For anything to be valued more than this means it has to be more desireable than the clear majority of homes.

For the average, we calculate the 'median' or middle price. The median price per square metre in 'DA1 5' is £4,400. The table below shows how 'DA1 5' compares to neighbouring postcode sectors.

Postcode sector Lower quartile Middle quartile Upper quartile
DA1 5 Dartford £3,770m2 £4,400m2 £5,000m2
DA1 1 Dartford £3,960m2 £4,600m2 £5,170m2
DA1 2 Dartford £3,950m2 £4,430m2 £5,100m2
DA1 3 Crayford £4,520m2 £5,080m2 £5,580m2
DA1 4 Crayford £4,120m2 £4,600m2 £5,170m2

Will Dartford house prices drop in 2024?

I cannot tell the future and don't believe anyone who says they can. I can however plot price trends - I have done this in the scatter plot below for DA1 5 (Dartford). From this one could infer a range of reasonable possible future price falls or rises. In the chart below, the red dashed line is the house price trend for DA1 5 and the blue dots are the individual property sales that inform this trend.

Price per square metre in Dartford (DA1 5) over time
House price trends for Dartford

Hover on any blue dot to see details of specific sales

Disclaimer: The data provided throughout this website about Dartford and any other area, is not financial advice. Any information provided does not and cannot ever take in to account the particular financial situation, objectives or property needs of either you or anyone reading this information. Furthermore, I cannot guarantee the accuracy of any data shown. This information is based on sold prices and internal area data provided by Land Registry and other third parties - I do not verify the accuracy of the Dartford data or any other data I am given.

Price map for Dartford

I've just finished coding the map I link to below. I find it useful and I am sure it will help you in exploring Dartford. You can zoom in all the way to individual properties and then all the way back out to see the whole country. The colours show the current estimated property values. I will explain more about the methodology and create a key next week.

Property price heatmap for Dartford
House price heatmap for Dartford

Street level data

Street Avg size Avg £/m2 Recent sales
Knights Manor Way, Dartford, DA1 5S 56m2 £4,843 34
Burnham Road, Dartford, DA1 5A 68m2 £4,428 26
Oldfield Place, Dartford, DA1 5W 66m2 £4,364 22
Mill Pond Road, Dartford, DA1 5W 62m2 £4,978 21
Temple Hill, Dartford, DA1 5T 90m2 £3,628 21
William Mundy Way, Dartford, DA1 5W 75m2 £4,261 19
Chatsworth Road, Dartford, DA1 5A 58m2 £5,273 17
Savoy Road, Dartford, DA1 5A 77m2 £4,654 17

Search for your street here.

New build activity

Street Avg size Avg £/m2 New build sales
James Smith Court, Dartford, DA1 5X 65m2 £4,100 76

James Smith Court, Dartford, DA1 5X has seen 76 new build sales in the last 4 years (average price £247,304). These new build homes typically have an internal area of 65 m2, with an average price of £4,100 m2. This £sqm average is £-300 below the average for DA1 5. New builds typically command a £ per sqm premium. In the case of James Smith Court the premium seems not to exist. Without more info we can only speculate why this may be. Perhaps it may be greater density and smaller gardens, but this is just a guess.

Raw data

Our analysis of Dartford is derived from what is essentially a big table of sold prices from Land Registry with added property size information. Below are three rows from this table to give you an idea.

Address Paid m2 £/m2
14, Kingsley Avenue, Dartford £240,000
Oct-2023
80 3,000
141, Burnham Rd, Dartford £305,000
Oct-2023
80 3,812
93, Temple Hill, Dartford £255,000
Sep-2023
63 4,047

See the entire list of all sales in Dartford (DA1 5) here.

About

HouseMetric is a hobby, created out of a desire to see data and analysis not present on any free to use website. It is still a work in progress and I'll add more stuff in the near future.