House prices in NW10 3 (Kensal Rise)

This article reveals price per square metre data and various charts to help you understand current housing market in 'NW10 3' (Kensal Rise, London) - statistics were last calculated on 30 August 2024.


Defining 'NW10 3'

This analysis is limited to properties whose postcode starts with "NW10 3", this is also called the postcode sector. It is shown in red on the map above. There are no official names for postcode sectors so I've just labelled it Kensal Rise.

You can click on the map to change sector, or you can enter a different postcode sector (e.g. CM23 4) below.

FYI, a postcode sector is the full postcode without the last two letters.

Price per square metre

Knowing the average house price in Kensal Rise is not much use. However, knowing average price per square metre can be quite useful. Price per sqm allows some comparison between properties of different size. We define price per square metre as the sold price divided by the internal area of a property:

£ per sqm = price ÷ internal area
E.g. 5, Donnington Road, Kensal Rise, London, sold for £925,000 on Jul-2024. Given the internal area of 134 square metres, the price per sqm is £6,902.

England & Wales have been officially metric since 1965. However house price per square foot is prefered by some estate agents and those of sufficiently advanced age ;-) They may want to convert square meters on this page to square feet.

The chart below is called a histogram, it helps you see the distribution of this house price per sqm data. To make this chart we put the sales data into a series of £ per sqm 'buckets' (e.g. £7,850-£8,500, £8,500-£9,150, £9,150-£9,800 etc...) we then count the number of sales with within in each bucket and plot the results. The chart is based on 111 sales in Kensal Rise (NW10 3) that took place in the last two years.

Distribution of £ per sqm for Kensal Rise, London
Distribution of £ per sqm house prices in Kensal Rise

Generate a custom chart like the one above but based on your own criteria.

You can see the spread of prices above. This is because although internal area is a key factor in determining valuation, it is not the only factor. Many factors other than size affect desirability; these factors could be condition, aspect, garden size, negotiating power of the vendor etc.

The spread of prices will give you a feel of the typical range to expect in Kensal Rise (NW10 3). Of the 111 transactions, half were sold for between £7,270 and £10,510 per square metre. The median, or 'middle', price per square metre in 'NW10 3' is £8,400. Notably, only 25% of properties that sold recently were valued at more than £10,510 sqm. For anything to be valued more than this means it has to be more desireable than the clear majority of homes.

Price map for Kensal Rise, London

Do have a look at the interactive price map I created. I find it useful and I am sure it will help you in exploring London. You can zoom in all the way to individual properties and then all the way back out to see the whole country. The colours show the current estimated property values.

Property price heatmap for Kensal Rise
House price heatmap for Kensal Rise, London

Comparison with neighbouring postcode sectors

The table below shows how 'NW10 3' compares to neighbouring postcode sectors.

Postcode sector Lower quartile Middle quartile Upper quartile
NW10 8 Harlesden £4,850 sqm £5,250 sqm £5,630 sqm
NW10 9 Neasden £4,330 sqm £5,510 sqm £6,330 sqm
NW10 2 Dollis Hill £5,820 sqm £6,930 sqm £8,110 sqm
NW10 3 Kensal Rise £7,270 sqm £8,400 sqm £10,510 sqm
NW10 4 Willesden Junction £5,670 sqm £6,330 sqm £6,970 sqm
NW10 6 Willesden Junction £6,560 sqm £6,930 sqm £7,640 sqm
NW10 1 Dollis Hill £6,210 sqm £7,220 sqm £7,750 sqm
NW10 5 Willesden Junction £7,690 sqm £8,780 sqm £10,040 sqm
NW10 7 Park Royal £5,750 sqm £6,160 sqm £6,870 sqm
NW10 0 Neasden £4,780 sqm £5,230 sqm £5,760 sqm

Will London house prices drop in 2024?

I cannot tell the future and don't believe anyone who says they can. I can however plot price trends - I have done this in the chart below for NW10 3 (Kensal Rise) compared with both the wider area NW10 and inflation (CPIH from the Office of National Statistics). The dashed trend lines in the chart show the average over time.

Historic price per square metre in Kensal Rise,London
House price trends for Kensal Rise

Download time series data as CSV (paying users only).

For the most recent sales activity, rather than a summarized average, it is better to see the underlying data. This is shown in the chart below, where blue dots represent individual sales, click on them to see details. If there is an obvious trend you should be able to spot it here amid the noise from outliers.

Most recent NW10 3 sales
Recent trends for Kensal Rise

Data from Land Registry comes in gradually over time. I update it every month but it takes about 5 months for the majority of sales for London to be recorded. Disclaimer: I do not verify and cannot guarantee the accuracy of any data shown. Outliers exist in the data, typically these are where the EPC registry records the internal area incorrectly, sometimes although very rarely the Land Registry price paid data can be wrong. The data provided throughout this website about London and any other area, is not financial advice. Any information provided does not and cannot ever take in to account the particular financial situation, objectives or property needs of either you or anyone reading this information.

Street level data

Street Avg size Avg £sqm Recent sales
Leighton Gardens, Kensal Rise, NW10 3P 118 sqm £10,557 21
All Souls Avenue, Kensal Rise, NW10 3A 122 sqm £7,727 21
Herbert Gardens, Kensal Rise, NW10 3B 130 sqm £8,610 19
Liddell Gardens, Kensal Rise, NW10 3Q 119 sqm £10,486 16
Hanover Road, Kensal Rise, NW10 3D 132 sqm £8,530 15
Wrentham Avenue, Kensal Rise, NW10 3H 164 sqm £10,956 14
Mount Pleasant Road, Kensal Rise, NW10 3E 200 sqm £10,110 12
Chamberlayne Road, Kensal Rise, NW10 3N 86 sqm £7,644 12

Search for your street here.

Raw data

Our analysis of Kensal Rise is derived from what is essentially a big table of sold prices from Land Registry with added property size information. Below are three rows from this table to give you an idea.

Address Paid sqm £/sqm
5, Donnington Rd, Kensal Rise, London £925,000
Jul-2024
134 6,902
21, Okehampton Rd, Kensal Rise, London £2,265,000
Jun-2024
196 11,556
32, Hardinge Rd, Kensal Rise, London £1,750,000
Jun-2024
175 10,000

See the entire list of all sales in Kensal Rise (NW10 3) here.

About

I created HouseMetric because I wanted to see this data and analysis myself, I also wanted to teach myself to build a website. Please give me feedback or spread the word about it. I'm constantly tinkering and adding more stuff to it.