House prices in CT18 (Hawkinge)

This article shows price per square metre data and various charts to help you understand the housing market in CT18 - stats were last calculated on 03 December 2024.

Defining 'CT18'

This analysis is limited to properties whose postcode starts with "CT18", this is also called the postcode district. There are no official postcode district names so I've just labelled it CT18, Hawkinge. It is shown in red on the map below.

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Price per square metre

Knowing the average house price in CT18 is not much use. However, knowing average price per square metre can be quite useful. Price per sqm allows some comparison between properties of different size. We define price per square metre as the sold price divided by the internal area of a property:

£ per sqm = price ÷ internal area

For example in October 2024, 2, Mount Pleasant Close, Hawkinge, CT18 8HF sold for £353,000. Given the internal area of 55 square metres recorded on the EPC, the price per sqm is £353,000 ÷ 55 sqm = £6,418.

England & Wales have been officially metric since 1965. However house price per square foot is prefered by some estate agents and those of sufficiently advanced age ;-). It is a huge pain to code the automatic conversion for square meters to square feet for all the graphs and charts on CT18 and elsewhere. All the conditionals turn my tidy code for into spaghetti. I will get around to it at some point, but for now you can just divide everything by 10 in your head, move a decimal place and you'll be close enough. If you want to be more precise 1 sqm = 10.76391 sqft.

Distribution of £ per sqm for houses vs flats in CT18

The chart above is called a histogram, it helps you see the distribution of house price per sqm in CT18 To make this chart we put all the sales data into a series of £ per sqm 'buckets' (e.g. £4,350 to £4,500, £4,500 to £4,650, £4,650 to £4,800 etc...) we then count the number of sales with within in each bucket and plot the results. The histogram is based on 342 sales that took place in CT18, in the last 24 months.

Generate a custom histogram like the one above but based on your own criteria.

You can see the spread of prices above. This is because although internal area is a key factor in determining valuation, it is not the only factor. Many factors other than size affect desirability; these factors could be condition, aspect, garden size, negotiating power of the vendor etc.

The spread of prices will give you a feel of the typical range to expect in CT18, Hawkinge. Notably, only 25% of properties that sold recently were valued at more than £4,480 sqm. For anything to be valued more than this means it has to be more desireable than the clear majority of CT18 homes.

Box plot of £ per sqm for CT18

Tip: click on the chart to see the values.

The chart above is called a boxplot (or a box-and-whisker plot). Box plots, like histograms, are used to graphically represent the distribution of data, showing the central tendency, spread of the distribution. In the context of £ per square metre property price distributions, box plots represent the variation in property prices within a geographic area e.g. Hawkinge. The chart above shows a boxplot for 'CT18' as well as the 'CT' postcode area.

  • Median: The horizontal line inside the box represents the median (£ per square meter). This is the midpoint of the data, meaning 50% of the prices are below this value, and 50% are above. The middle price per square metre in 'CT18' is £3,940.
  • Interquartile Range (IQR): The box spans from the 25th percentile (Q1) to the 75th percentile (Q3). This is the range where the middle 50% of the data lies, giving a good indication of the typical price spread. Of the 342 transactions in CT18, Hawkinge half were sold for between £3,330 and £4,480 per square metre.
  • Whiskers: In our case, the whiskers extend from the 9th percentile (at the lower end) to the 91st percentile (at the upper end), This provides a slightly broader view of the distribution by including the middle 82% of records. The whiskers capture most of the variation but exclude extreme outliers caused by data errors in recording sold house prices or internal area.
  • 'n=' is the number of property transactions the box plot is based on; 342 for CT18, Hawkinge.

    • Property price map for Hawkinge

    Have a look at the interactive price map I created for myself. Use it to explore 'CT18' house prices all the way down to individual property plots.

    Property price heatmap for Hawkinge
    House price map for Hawkinge

    Will CT18 house prices drop in 2025?

    I cannot tell what house prices will do in the future and don't believe anyone who says they can. However we can plot price trends, I have done this in the chart below for CT18 (Hawkinge) compared with the wider postcode area 'CT'. You can extrapolate from this based on your own views on future interest rates, inflation and other factors.

    House price index for CT18

    Tip: click on the legend items to show/hide different lines

    Download house price index as CSV (premium users only).

    The chart above shows changes in 'CT18' property prices over the last 20 years. The index is calculated from the average price paid per sqm for property in CT18 and is set to 100 in 2004. The chart compares trends for CT18, Hawkinge against those of the broader postcode area 'CT'. What is more interesting is to look at the difference between flats and houses, even those in the same area follow a very different trend, to get a robust enough sample size to see this we need to zoom out and look at house price trends for the entire Folkestone and Hythe local authority.

    The dashed lines show nominal house price changes, the solid lines show the same data adjusted for inflation. Economists call this the 'real' price change. You have to take inflation into account when comparing prices over time. It's calculated using the formula:

    Real Rate of Return = (1 + Nominal Rate) ÷ (1 + Inflation Rate) – 1
    In this formula, the nominal rate is the rate of change before any adjustments, and the inflation rate is taken from the Consumer Price Index. The real rate of return is a more accurate measure of change in value, because £1 today does not have the same buying power as £1 in the past. For example, if a savings account pays an interest rate of 3% per year and the inflation rate is 5% per year, the real rate of return is -2%. This means that the investment's value is shrinking by 2% each year.

    Historic returns for CT18
    CT area CT18 district
    Nominal Real Nominal Real
    20 yr per annum 3.5% 0.8% 3.6% 0.9%
    20 yr total 99.7% 18.3% 101.1% 19.1%
    10 yr per annum 4.4% 1.5% 4.6% 1.8%
    10 yr total 53.4% 16.5% 57.1% 19.3%
    5 yr per annum 3.1% -0.9% 4.6% 0.5%
    5 yr total 16.5% -4.6% 25.1% 2.4%
    1 yr per annum -4.2% -8.0% 0.9% -3.1%
    1 yr total -4.2% -8.0% 0.9% -3.1%

    This table complements the house price index chart above, presenting the data in a more detailed format. It breaks down the information into 20-year, 10-year, 5-year, and 1-year periods, further categorized by property type. For each period, we display both a per annum rate of change and a total rate of change.

    The total rate of change represents the overall change over the entire period. The formula for total return is:

    Total return = (Index at end of period ÷ Index at start of period) - 1

    The per annum rate of change is the annualized rate of change over the period. This is equivalent to the annual bank savings rate you would need to achieve the same total return over the given period. This annualized return is also known as the Compound Annual Growth Rate (CAGR). The formula for CAGR is:

    CAGR = (1 + Total return) ^ (1 ÷ Number of years) - 1

    Some specific examples:

    • Over the past 20 years, CT area have seen a 0.8% annual change when adjusted for inflation. This translates to a total change of 18.3% in real terms.
    • Over the past 5 years, CT18 district have seen a 0.5% annual change when adjusted for inflation. This translates to a total change of 2.4% in real terms.

    Most recent CT18 sales

    For the most recent sales activity, rather than a summarized average, it is better to see the underlying data. This is shown in the chart below, where blue dots represent individual sales, click on them to see details. If there is an obvious trend you should be able to spot it here amid the noise from outliers.

    Tip: hover over dots to see details

    Street level data

    Street Avg size Avg £sqm Recent sales
    Campbell Road, , CT18 7T 113 sqm £3,235 24
    Canterbury Road, , CT18 7B 112 sqm £3,958 22
    The Street, , CT18 7D 98 sqm £3,896 19
    Mount Pleasant Close, , CT18 8H 75 sqm £5,044 14
    Hurricane Way, , CT18 7S 127 sqm £3,328 14
    Ingram Close, , CT18 7Q 77 sqm £3,809 14
    Grice Close, , CT18 7Q 64 sqm £4,242 13
    Atkinson Road, , CT18 7S 128 sqm £2,842 13

    Search for your street here.

    Nearby geographies

    The table below shows how 'CT18' compares to the other postcode districts nearby 'CT18'.

    District Lower quartile Median Upper quartile Sales in last 2yr
    TN25 Wye £3,610 sqm £4,010 sqm £4,460 sqm 523
    CT9 Margate £2,690 sqm £3,320 sqm £3,910 sqm 1,058
    CT8 Westgate-On-Sea £2,950 sqm £3,370 sqm £3,880 sqm 211
    CT7 Birchington £3,150 sqm £3,920 sqm £4,760 sqm 318
    CT6 Herne Bay £3,270 sqm £3,840 sqm £4,530 sqm 1,010
    CT5 Whitstable £4,000 sqm £4,840 sqm £5,640 sqm 789
    CT4 Chartham £3,650 sqm £4,290 sqm £5,000 sqm 316
    CT3 Aylesham £3,330 sqm £3,790 sqm £4,280 sqm 507
    CT21 Hythe £3,460 sqm £4,150 sqm £4,840 sqm 461
    CT20 Folkestone £2,650 sqm £3,190 sqm £3,850 sqm 818

    Raw data

    Our analysis of CT18 is derived from what is essentially a big table of sold prices from Land Registry with added property size information. Below are three rows from this table to give you an idea.

    Address Paid sqm £/sqm
    2, Mount Pleasant Close, £353,000
    Oct-2024
    		 55 6,418
    54, Mitchell Avenue, £240,000
    Sep-2024
    		 58 4,137
    4, Albert Rd, £315,000
    Sep-2024
    		 95 3,315

    See the entire list of all sales in CT18 here.

    About

    I created HouseMetric because I wanted to see this data and analysis myself, I also wanted to teach myself to build a website. Please give me feedback or spread the word about it. I'm constantly tinkering and adding more stuff to it.