House prices in SW5 (Talbot Road)

Price per square metre data and charts to help you understand the housing market in SW5 - stats were last calculated on 01 December 2025.

Defining 'SW5'

This analysis is limited to properties whose postcode starts with "SW5", this is also called the postcode district. There are no official postcode district names so I've just labelled it SW5, Talbot Road. It is shown in red on the map below.

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You can click on the map above to change to a neighbouring district, or you can use the search form below.

Price per square metre

Knowing the average house price in SW5 is not much use. However, knowing average price per square metre can be quite useful. Price per sqm allows some comparison between properties of different size. We define price per square metre as the sold price divided by the internal area of a property:

£ per sqm = price ÷ internal area

For example in October 2025, Flat 1 Hunter House, 326 - 342, Old Brompton Road, Talbot Road, SW5 9LD sold for £540,000. Given the internal area of 59 square metres recorded on the EPC, the price per sqm is £540,000 ÷ 59 sqm = £9,152.

England & Wales have been officially metric since 1965. However house price per square foot is prefered by some estate agents and those of sufficiently advanced age ;-). It is a huge pain to code the automatic conversion for square meters to square feet for all the graphs and charts on SW5 and elsewhere. All the conditionals turn my tidy code for into spaghetti. I will get around to it at some point, but for now you can just divide everything by 10 in your head, move a decimal place and you'll be close enough. If you want to be more precise 1 sqm = 10.76391 sqft.

Distribution of £ per sqm for houses vs flats in SW5

The chart above is called a histogram, it helps you see the distribution of house price per sqm in SW5 To make this chart we put all the sales data into a series of £ per sqm 'buckets' (e.g. £13,750 to £14,500, £14,500 to £15,250, £15,250 to £16,000 etc...) we then count the number of sales with within in each bucket and plot the results. The histogram is based on 360 sales that took place in SW5, in the last 24 months.

Generate a custom histogram like the one above but based on your own criteria.

You can see the spread of prices above. This is because although internal area is a key factor in determining valuation, it is not the only factor. Many factors other than size affect desirability; these factors could be condition, aspect, garden size, negotiating power of the vendor etc.

The spread of prices will give you a feel of the typical range to expect in SW5, Talbot Road. Notably, only 25% of properties that sold recently were valued at more than £14,030 sqm. For anything to be valued more than this means it has to be more desireable than the clear majority of SW5 homes.

Box plot of £ per sqm for SW5

Tip: click on the chart to see the values.

The chart above is called a boxplot (or a box-and-whisker plot). Box plots, like histograms, are used to graphically represent the distribution of data, showing the central tendency, spread of the distribution. In the context of £ per square metre property price distributions, box plots represent the variation in property prices within a geographic area e.g. Talbot Road. The chart above shows a boxplot for 'SW5' as well as the 'SW' postcode area.

  • Median: The horizontal line inside the box represents the median (£ per square meter). This is the midpoint of the data, meaning 50% of the prices are below this value, and 50% are above. The middle price per square metre in 'SW5' is £11,810.
  • Interquartile Range (IQR): The box spans from the 25th percentile (Q1) to the 75th percentile (Q3). This is the range where the middle 50% of the data lies, giving a good indication of the typical price spread. Of the 360 transactions in SW5, Talbot Road half were sold for between £9,650 and £14,030 per square metre.
  • Whiskers: In our case, the whiskers extend from the 9th percentile (at the lower end) to the 91st percentile (at the upper end), This provides a slightly broader view of the distribution by including the middle 82% of records. The whiskers capture most of the variation but exclude extreme outliers caused by data errors in recording sold house prices or internal area.
  • 'n=' is the number of property transactions the box plot is based on; 360 for SW5, Talbot Road.

    • Property price map for Talbot Road

    Have a look at the interactive price map I created for myself. Use it to explore 'SW5' house prices all the way down to individual property plots.

    Property price heatmap for Talbot Road
    House price map for Talbot Road

    Will SW5 house prices drop in 2025?

    House prices in SW5 fell -2.2% in the last year, -5.9% after inflation. Whether or not this trend will continue depends on many factors, such as wage growth, net migration, interest rates and the level of house building. No one can predict these things with certainty however we can plot the historic trends in house prices in SW5 (Talbot Road) compared with the wider postcode area 'SW'.You can extrapolate from this based on your own views.

    House price index for SW5

    Tip: click on the legend items to show/hide different lines

    Download house price index as CSV (premium users only).

    The chart above shows changes in 'SW5' property prices over the last 20 years. The index is calculated from the average price paid per sqm for property in SW5 and is set to 100 in 2004. The chart compares trends for SW5, Talbot Road against those of the broader postcode area 'SW'. What is more interesting is to look at the difference between flats and houses, even those in the same area follow a very different trend, to get a robust enough sample size to see this we need to zoom out and look at house price trends for the entire Kensington and Chelsea local authority.

    The dashed lines show nominal house price changes, the solid lines show the same data adjusted for inflation. Economists call this the 'real' price change. You have to take inflation into account when comparing prices over time. It's calculated using the formula:

    Real Rate of Return = (1 + Nominal Rate) ÷ (1 + Inflation Rate) – 1
    In this formula, the nominal rate is the rate of change before any adjustments, and the inflation rate is taken from the Consumer Price Index. The real rate of return is a more accurate measure of change in value, because £1 today does not have the same buying power as £1 in the past. For example, if a savings account pays an interest rate of 3% per year and the inflation rate is 5% per year, the real rate of return is -2%. This means that the investment's value is shrinking by 2% each year.

    Historic returns for SW5
    SW area SW5 district
    Nominal Real Nominal Real
    20 yr per annum 4.0% 1.2% 3.7% 0.9%
    20 yr total 120.7% 27.9% 108.4% 20.8%
    10 yr per annum 0.4% -2.7% -2.0% -5.0%
    10 yr total 3.7% -23.9% -18.6% -40.3%
    5 yr per annum 0.2% -4.1% -1.8% -6.1%
    5 yr total 1.0% -19.0% -8.9% -26.9%
    1 yr per annum -3.2% -6.8% -2.2% -5.9%
    1 yr total -3.2% -6.8% -2.2% -5.9%

    This table complements the house price index chart above, presenting the data in a more detailed format. It breaks down the information into 20-year, 10-year, 5-year, and 1-year periods, further categorized by property type. For each period, we display both a per annum rate of change and a total rate of change.

    The total rate of change represents the overall change over the entire period. The formula for total return is:

    Total return = (Index at end of period ÷ Index at start of period) - 1

    The per annum rate of change is the annualized rate of change over the period. This is equivalent to the annual bank savings rate you would need to achieve the same total return over the given period. This annualized return is also known as the Compound Annual Growth Rate (CAGR). The formula for CAGR is:

    CAGR = (1 + Total return) ^ (1 ÷ Number of years) - 1

    Some specific examples:

    • Over the past 20 years, SW area have seen a 1.2% annual change when adjusted for inflation. This translates to a total change of 27.9% in real terms.
    • Over the past 5 years, SW area have seen a -4.1% annual change when adjusted for inflation. This translates to a total change of -19.0% in real terms.

    Most recent SW5 sales

    For the most recent sales activity, rather than a summarized average, it is better to see the underlying data. This is shown in the chart below, where blue dots represent individual sales, click on them to see details. If there is an obvious trend you should be able to spot it here amid the noise from outliers.

    Tip: hover over dots to see details

    Street level data

    Street Avg size Avg £sqm Recent sales
    Cromwell Road, , SW5 0S 58 sqm £9,720 25
    Courtfield Gardens, , SW5 0P 83 sqm £13,732 23
    Earls Court Square, , SW5 9D 80 sqm £12,509 22
    Eardley Crescent, , SW5 9J 57 sqm £11,394 19
    Nevern Square, , SW5 9P 67 sqm £11,639 18
    Bolton Gardens, , SW5 0A 100 sqm £17,357 17
    Barkston Gardens, , SW5 0E 121 sqm £13,730 15
    Philbeach Gardens, , SW5 9E 74 sqm £11,594 15

    Search for your street here.

    Nearby geographies

    The table below shows how 'SW5' compares to the other postcode districts nearby 'SW5'.

    District Lower quartile Median Upper quartile Sales in last 2yr
    W9 Maida Vale £8,270 sqm £9,950 sqm £11,720 sqm 808
    W8 Kensington £13,170 sqm £16,040 sqm £19,880 sqm 522
    W14 Holland Park £8,430 sqm £9,950 sqm £12,120 sqm 799
    SW9 Clapham £6,530 sqm £7,610 sqm £8,450 sqm 755
    SW8 Kennington £6,940 sqm £8,630 sqm £10,220 sqm 758
    SW7 Knightsbridge £13,120 sqm £16,010 sqm £19,290 sqm 456
    SW6 Fulham £9,150 sqm £10,630 sqm £12,500 sqm 1,878
    SW5 Talbot Road £9,650 sqm £11,810 sqm £14,030 sqm 360
    SW4 Clapham £7,290 sqm £8,660 sqm £10,180 sqm 930
    SW3 Chelsea £13,410 sqm £16,780 sqm £20,370 sqm 641

    Raw data

    Our analysis of SW5 is derived from what is essentially a big table of sold prices from Land Registry with added property size information. Below are three rows from this table to give you an idea.

    Address Paid sqm £/sqm
    Flat 1 Hunter House, 326 - 342, Old Brompton Rd, £540,000
    Oct-2025
    		 59 9,152
    Flat 44 Coleherne Court, The Little Boltons, £3,020,000
    Oct-2025
    		 141 21,418
    Flat 52 Coleherne Court, The Little Boltons, £3,015,000
    Oct-2025
    		 136 22,169

    See the entire list of all sales in SW5 here.

    About

    I created HouseMetric because I wanted to see this data and analysis myself, I also wanted to teach myself to build a website. Please give me feedback or spread the word about it. I'm constantly tinkering and adding more stuff to it.