House prices in 'NP7 9', Llanfoist

Price per square metre data and charts revealed. Latest statistics for the housing market in 'NP7 9' (Llanfoist, Abergavenny) - calculated on 29 October 2025.

Defining 'NP7 9'

This analysis is limited to properties whose postcode starts with "NP7 9", this is also called the postcode sector. There are no official postcode sector names so I've just labelled it NP7 9, Llanfoist. It is shown in red on the map below.

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You can click on the map above to change to a neighbouring sector, or you can use the search form below.

Price per square metre

Knowing the average house price in NP7 9 is not much use. However, knowing average price per square metre can be quite useful. Price per sqm allows some comparison between properties of different size. We define price per square metre as the sold price divided by the internal area of a property:

£ per sqm = price ÷ internal area

For example in September 2025, 20, St Helens Crescent, Llanfoist, NP7 9HN sold for £370,000. Given the internal area of 64 square metres recorded on the EPC, the price per sqm is £370,000 ÷ 64 sqm = £5,781.

England & Wales have been officially metric since 1965. However house price per square foot is prefered by some estate agents and those of sufficiently advanced age ;-). It is a huge pain to code the automatic conversion for square meters to square feet for all the graphs and charts on NP7 9 and elsewhere. All the conditionals turn my tidy code for into spaghetti. I will get around to it at some point, but for now you can just divide everything by 10 in your head, move a decimal place and you'll be close enough. If you want to be more precise 1 sqm = 10.76391 sqft.


Distribution of £ per sqm for 'NP7 9' vs 'NP7'

The chart above is called a histogram, it helps you see the distribution of house price per sqm in NP7 9 To make this chart we put all the sales data into a series of £ per sqm 'buckets' (e.g. £3,350 to £3,500, £3,500 to £3,650, £3,650 to £3,800 etc...) we then count the number of sales with within in each bucket and plot the results. The histogram is based on 150 sales that took place in NP7 9, Llanfoist, Abergavenny in the last 24 months.

Generate a custom histogram like the one above but based on your own criteria.

You can see the spread of prices above. This is because although internal area is a key factor in determining valuation, it is not the only factor. Many factors other than size affect desirability; these factors could be condition, aspect, garden size, negotiating power of the vendor etc.

The spread of prices will give you a feel of the typical range to expect in NP7 9, Llanfoist. Notably, only 25% of properties that sold recently were valued at more than £3,770 sqm. For anything to be valued more than this means it has to be more desireable than the clear majority of NP7 9 homes.


Box plot of £ per sqm for NP7 9

Tip: click on the chart to see the values.


The chart above is called a boxplot (or a box-and-whisker plot). Box plots, like histograms, are used to graphically represent the distribution of data, showing the central tendency, spread of the distribution. In the context of £ per square metre property price distributions, box plots represent the variation in property prices within a geographic area e.g. Llanfoist. The chart above shows a boxplot for 'NP7 9' as well as the 'NP7' postcode district.

  • Median: The horizontal line inside the box represents the median (£ per square meter). This is the midpoint of the data, meaning 50% of the prices are below this value, and 50% are above. The middle price per square metre in 'NP7 9' is £3,290.
  • Interquartile Range (IQR): The box spans from the 25th percentile (Q1) to the 75th percentile (Q3). This is the range where the middle 50% of the data lies, giving a good indication of the typical price spread. Of the 150 transactions in NP7 9, Llanfoist half were sold for between £2,920 and £3,770 per square metre.
  • Whiskers: In our case, the whiskers extend from the 9th percentile (at the lower end) to the 91st percentile (at the upper end), This provides a slightly broader view of the distribution by including the middle 82% of records. The whiskers capture most of the variation but exclude extreme outliers caused by data errors in recording sold house prices or internal area.
  • 'n=' is the number of property transactions the box plot is based on; 150 for NP7 9, Llanfoist.
  • Property price map for Llanfoist

    Have a look at the interactive price map I created for myself. Use it to explore 'NP7 9' house prices all the way down to individual property plots.

    Property price heatmap for Llanfoist
    House price map for Llanfoist

    Llanfoist house price forecasting

    House prices in NP7 9 grew 3.8% in the last year, -0.1% after inflation. Whether or not this trend will continue depends on many factors, such as wage growth, net migration, interest rates and the level of house building. No one can predict these things with certainty however we can plot the historic trends in house prices in NP7 9 (Llanfoist) compared with the wider postcode district of NP7.


    House price index for NP7 9

    Tip: click on the legend items to show/hide different lines


    Download house price index as CSV (premium users only).

    The chart above shows changes in 'NP7 9' property prices over the last 20 years. The index is calculated from the average price paid per sqm for property in NP7 9 and is set to 100 in 2004. I'm comparing the trends for NP7 9,Llanfoist with the wider postcode district of NP7 What is more interesting is to look at the difference between flats and houses, even those in the same area follow a very different trend, to get a robust enough sample size to see this we need to zoom out and look at house price trends for the entire Monmouthshire local authority.

    The dashed lines show nominal house price changes, the solid lines show the same data adjusted for inflation. Economists call this the 'real' price change. You have to take inflation into account when comparing prices over time. It's calculated using the formula:

    Real Rate of Return = (1 + Nominal Rate) ÷ (1 + Inflation Rate) – 1
    In this formula, the nominal rate is the rate of change before any adjustments, and the inflation rate is taken from the Consumer Price Index. The real rate of return is a more accurate measure of change in value, because £1 today does not have the same buying power as £1 in the past. For example, if a savings account pays an interest rate of 3% per year and the inflation rate is 5% per year, the real rate of return is -2%. This means that the investment's value is shrinking by 2% each year.

    Historic returns for NP7 9
    NP7 9 sector NP7 district
    Nominal Real Nominal Real
    20 yr per annum 4.1% 1.3% 3.2% 0.4%
    20 yr total 122.4% 28.9% 88.4% 9.2%
    10 yr per annum 4.9% 1.7% 5.2% 2.0%
    10 yr total 61.9% 18.9% 66.5% 22.3%
    5 yr per annum 2.7% -1.8% 4.0% -0.5%
    5 yr total 14.2% -8.5% 21.6% -2.6%
    1 yr per annum 3.8% -0.1% 2.7% -1.2%
    1 yr total 3.8% -0.1% 2.7% -1.2%

    This table complements the house price index chart above, presenting the data in a more detailed format. It breaks down the information into 20-year, 10-year, 5-year, and 1-year periods, further categorized by property type. For each period, we display both a per annum rate of change and a total rate of change.

    The total rate of change represents the overall change over the entire period. The formula for total return is:

    Total return = (Index at end of period ÷ Index at start of period) - 1

    The per annum rate of change is the annualized rate of change over the period. This is equivalent to the annual bank savings rate you would need to achieve the same total return over the given period. This annualized return is also known as the Compound Annual Growth Rate (CAGR). The formula for CAGR is:

    CAGR = (1 + Total return) ^ (1 ÷ Number of years) - 1

    Some specific examples:

    • Over the past 20 years, NP7 9 sector have seen a 1.3% annual change when adjusted for inflation. This translates to a total change of 28.9% in real terms.
    • Over the past 5 years, NP7 district have seen a -0.5% annual change when adjusted for inflation. This translates to a total change of -2.6% in real terms.

    Most recent NP7 9 sales

    For the most recent sales activity, rather than a summarized average, it is better to see the underlying data. This is shown in the chart below, where blue dots represent individual sales, click on them to see details. If there is an obvious trend you should be able to spot it here amid the noise from outliers.


    Tip: hover over dots to see details


    Street level data

    Street Avg size Avg £sqm Recent sales
    Briardene, Llanfoist, NP7 9L 58 sqm £3,909 8
    Ashgrove, Llanfoist, NP7 9H 106 sqm £3,243 8
    Elm Drive, Llanfoist, NP7 9H 133 sqm £3,118 7
    St Helens Crescent, Llanfoist, NP7 9H 108 sqm £3,237 7
    Plas Derwen View, Llanfoist, NP7 9S 99 sqm £3,882 7
    Stephens Crescent, Llanfoist, NP7 9R 73 sqm £4,196 6
    Merthyr Road, Llanfoist, NP7 9L 151 sqm £2,690 5
    Thomas Hill Close, Llanfoist, NP7 9F 59 sqm £4,025 5

    Search for your street here.

    Nearby geographies

    The table below shows how 'NP7 9' compares to the other postcode sectors in NP7.

    Sector Lower quartile Median Upper quartile Sales in last 2yr
    NP7 9 Llanfoist £2,920 sqm £3,290 sqm £3,770 sqm 150
    NP7 8 Pandy £2,580 sqm £3,300 sqm £3,980 sqm 48
    NP7 7 Abergavenny £3,130 sqm £3,500 sqm £4,360 sqm 77
    NP7 6 Abergavenny £2,690 sqm £3,220 sqm £3,690 sqm 117
    NP7 5 Abergavenny £2,670 sqm £3,160 sqm £3,690 sqm 182
    NP7 0 Gilwern £2,640 sqm £3,080 sqm £3,600 sqm 101
    NP4 9 Blaenavon £1,400 sqm £1,770 sqm £2,020 sqm 137
    NP4 8 Trevethin £1,590 sqm £2,080 sqm £2,620 sqm 101
    NP4 0 New Inn £2,380 sqm £2,840 sqm £3,370 sqm 152
    NP15 2 Raglan £3,030 sqm £3,600 sqm £4,140 sqm 20

    Raw data

    Our analysis of NP7 9 is derived from what is essentially a big table of sold prices from Land Registry with added property size information. Below are three rows from this table to give you an idea.

    Address Paid sqm £/sqm
    20, St Helens Crescent, Llanfoist, Abergavenny £370,000
    Sep-2025
    64 5,781
    26, Briardene, Llanfoist, Abergavenny £210,000
    Aug-2025
    54 3,888
    Gwernvale, Mill Crescent, Llanfoist, Abergavenny £465,000
    Aug-2025
    125 3,720

    See the entire list of all sales in NP7 9 here.

    About

    I created HouseMetric because I wanted to see this data and analysis myself, I also wanted to teach myself to build a website. Please give me feedback or spread the word about it. I'm constantly tinkering and adding more stuff to it.