House prices in CM77 8 (Black Notley)

This article reveals price per square metre data and various charts to help you understand current housing market in Black Notley, Great Notley (CM77 8).

Defining 'CM77 8'

This analysis is limited to properties whose postcode starts with "CM77 8", this is also called the postcode sector. It is shown in red on the map above. There are no official names for postcode sectors so I've just labelled it Black Notley.

You can click on the map labels to change to a neighbouring sector, or you can enter a different postcode sector (e.g. CM23 4) below.

FYI, a postcode sector is the full postcode without the last two letters.

Price per square metre

Knowing the average house price in Black Notley is not much use. However, knowing average price per square metre can be quite useful. Price per sqm allows some comparison between properties of different size. We define price per square metre as the sold price divided by the internal area of a property:

£ per sqm = price ÷ internal area
E.g. 39, Constable Way, Black Notley, Great Notley, sold for £530,000 on Jan-2024. Given the internal area of 145 square metres, the price per sqm is £3,655.

England & Wales have been officially metric since 1965. However house price per square foot is prefered by some estate agents and those of sufficiently advanced age ;-) They may want to convert square meters on this page to square feet.

The chart below is called a histogram, it helps you see the distribution of this house price per sqm data. To make this chart we put the sales data into a series of £ per sqm 'buckets' (e.g. £3,700-£4,000, £4,000-£4,300, £4,300-£4,600 etc...) we then count the number of sales with within in each bucket and plot the results. The chart is based on 93 sales in Black Notley (CM77 8) that took place in the last two years.

Distribution of £ per sqm for Black Notley, Great Notley
Distribution of £ per sqm house prices in Black Notley

You can see the spread of prices above. This is because although internal area is a key factor in determining valuation, it is not the only factor. Many factors other than size affect desirability; these factors could be condition, aspect, garden size, negotiating power of the vendor etc.

The spread of prices will give you a feel of the typical range to expect in Black Notley (CM77 8). Of the 93 transactions, half were sold for between £3,530 and £4,660 per square metre. The median, or 'middle', price per square metre in 'CM77 8' is £4,080. Notably, only 25% of properties that sold recently were valued at more than £4,660 sqm. For anything to be valued more than this means it has to be more desireable than the clear majority of homes.

Price map for Black Notley, Great Notley

Do have a look at the interactive price map I created. I find it useful and I am sure it will help you in exploring Great Notley. You can zoom in all the way to individual properties and then all the way back out to see the whole country. The colours show the current estimated property values.

House price heatmap for Black Notley, Great Notley

Comparison with neighbouring postcode sectors

The table below shows how 'CM77 8' compares to neighbouring postcode sectors.

Postcode sector Lower quartile Middle quartile Upper quartile
CM77 7 Great Notley £3,920 sqm £4,380 sqm £4,850 sqm
CM77 8 Black Notley £3,530 sqm £4,080 sqm £4,660 sqm
CM77 6 Rayne £3,740 sqm £4,060 sqm £4,480 sqm

Will Great Notley house prices drop in 2024?

I cannot tell the future and don't believe anyone who says they can. I can however plot price trends - I have done this in the chart below for CM77 8 (Black Notley) compared with both the wider area CM77 and inflation (CPIH from the Office of National Statistics). The dashed trend lines in the chart show the average over time.

Historic price per square metre in Black Notley,Great Notley
House price trends for Black Notley

For the most recent sales activity, rather than a summarized average, it is better to see the underlying data. This is shown in the chart below, where blue dots represent individual sales, click on them to see details. If there is an obvious trend you should be able to spot it here amid the noise from outliers.

Most recent CM77 8 sales
Recent trends for Black Notley

Data from Land Registry comes in gradually over time. I update it every month but it takes about 5 months for the majority of sales for Great Notley to be recorded. Disclaimer: I do not verify and cannot guarantee the accuracy of any data shown. Outliers exist in the data, typically these are where the EPC registry records the internal area incorrectly, sometimes although very rarely the Land Registry price paid data can be wrong. The data provided throughout this website about Great Notley and any other area, is not financial advice. Any information provided does not and cannot ever take in to account the particular financial situation, objectives or property needs of either you or anyone reading this information.

Street level data

Street Avg size Avg £sqm Recent sales
Mary Ruck Way, Black Notley, CM77 8R 89 sqm £3,463 17
Jeffreys Road, Black Notley, CM77 8J 67 sqm £3,139 15
Mill Lane, Black Notley, CM77 8H 107 sqm £3,828 13
Crab Apple Drive, Black Notley, CM77 8F 98 sqm £3,629 11
Brain Valley Avenue, Black Notley, CM77 8L 98 sqm £3,850 11
Crozier Drive, Black Notley, CM77 8G 87 sqm £4,140 10
The Street, Black Notley, CM77 8D 114 sqm £4,298 9
Constable Way, Black Notley, CM77 8F 101 sqm £3,507 9

Raw data

Our analysis of Black Notley is derived from what is essentially a big table of sold prices from Land Registry with added property size information. Below are three rows from this table to give you an idea.