House prices in 'CO13 0', Kirby Cross

This article reveals price per square metre data and various charts to help you understand current housing market in 'CO13 0' (Kirby Cross) - statistics were last calculated on 16 October 2024.

Defining 'CO13 0'

This analysis is limited to properties whose postcode starts with "CO13 0", this is also called the postcode sector. There are no official postcode sector names so I've just labelled it CO13 0, Kirby Cross. It is shown in red on the map below.

Want to change geography?

You can click on the map above to change to a neighbouring sector, or you can use the search form below.

Price per square metre

Knowing the average house price in CO13 0 is not much use. However, knowing average price per square metre can be quite useful. Price per sqm allows some comparison between properties of different size. We define price per square metre as the sold price divided by the internal area of a property:

£ per sqm = price ÷ internal area

For example in August 2024, Bellcroft, Turpins Lane, Kirby Cross, CO13 0PB sold for £555,000. Given the internal area of 99 square metres recorded on the EPC, the price per sqm is £555,000 ÷ 99 sqm = £5,606.

England & Wales have been officially metric since 1965. However house price per square foot is prefered by some estate agents and those of sufficiently advanced age ;-). It is a huge pain to code the automatic conversion for square meters to square feet for all the graphs and charts on CO13 0 and elsewhere. All the conditionals turn my tidy code for into spaghetti. I will get around to it at some point, but for now you can just divide everything by 10 in your head, move a decimal place and you'll be close enough. If you want to be more precise 1 sqm = 10.76391 sqft.

Distribution of £ per sqm for 'CO13 0' vs 'CO13'

The chart above is called a histogram, it helps you see the distribution of house price per sqm in CO13 0 To make this chart we put all the sales data into a series of £ per sqm 'buckets' (e.g. £3,800 to £4,000, £4,000 to £4,200, £4,200 to £4,400 etc...) we then count the number of sales with within in each bucket and plot the results. The histogram is based on 287 sales that took place in CO13 0, Kirby Cross in the last 24 months.

Generate a custom histogram like the one above but based on your own criteria.

You can see the spread of prices above. This is because although internal area is a key factor in determining valuation, it is not the only factor. Many factors other than size affect desirability; these factors could be condition, aspect, garden size, negotiating power of the vendor etc.

The spread of prices will give you a feel of the typical range to expect in CO13 0, Kirby Cross. Notably, only 25% of properties that sold recently were valued at more than £4,300 sqm. For anything to be valued more than this means it has to be more desireable than the clear majority of CO13 0 homes.

Box plot of £ per sqm for CO13 0

Tip: click on the chart to see the values.

The chart above is called a boxplot (or a box-and-whisker plot). Box plots, like histograms, are used to graphically represent the distribution of data, showing the central tendency, spread of the distribution. In the context of £ per square metre property price distributions, box plots represent the variation in property prices within a geographic area e.g. Kirby Cross. The chart above shows a boxplot for 'CO13 0' as well as the 'CO13' postcode district.

  • Median: The horizontal line inside the box represents the median (£ per square meter). This is the midpoint of the data, meaning 50% of the prices are below this value, and 50% are above. The middle price per square metre in 'CO13 0' is £3,780.
  • Interquartile Range (IQR): The box spans from the 25th percentile (Q1) to the 75th percentile (Q3). This is the range where the middle 50% of the data lies, giving a good indication of the typical price spread. Of the 287 transactions in CO13 0, Kirby Cross half were sold for between £3,310 and £4,300 per square metre.
  • Whiskers: In our case, the whiskers extend from the 9th percentile (at the lower end) to the 91st percentile (at the upper end), This provides a slightly broader view of the distribution by including the middle 82% of records. The whiskers capture most of the variation but exclude extreme outliers caused by data errors in recording sold house prices or internal area.
  • 'n=' is the number of property transactions the box plot is based on; 287 for CO13 0, Kirby Cross.

    • Property price map for Kirby Cross

    Have a look at the interactive price map I created for myself. Use it to explore 'CO13 0' house prices all the way down to individual property plots.

    Property price heatmap for Kirby Cross
    House price map for Kirby Cross

    Kirby Cross house price forecasting

    I cannot tell what house prices will do in the future and don't believe anyone who says they can. However we can plot price trends, I have done this in the chart below for CO13 0 (Kirby Cross) compared with the wider postcode district of CO13. You can extrapolate from this based on your own views on future interest rates, inflation and other factors.

    House price index for CO13 0

    Tip: click on the legend items to show/hide different lines

    Download house price index as CSV (premium users only).

    The chart above shows changes in 'CO13 0' property prices over the last 20 years. The index is calculated from the average price paid per sqm for property in CO13 0 and is set to 100 in 2004. I'm comparing the trends for CO13 0,Kirby Cross with the wider postcode district of CO13 What is more interesting is to look at the difference between flats and houses, even those in the same area follow a very different trend, to get a robust enough sample size to see this we need to zoom out and look at house price trends for the entire Tendring local authority.

    The dashed lines show nominal house price changes, the solid lines show the same data adjusted for inflation. Economists call this the 'real' price change. You have to take inflation into account when comparing prices over time. It's calculated using the formula:

    Real Rate of Return = (1 + Nominal Rate) ÷ (1 + Inflation Rate) – 1
    In this formula, the nominal rate is the rate of change before any adjustments, and the inflation rate is taken from the Consumer Price Index. The real rate of return is a more accurate measure of change in value, because £1 today does not have the same buying power as £1 in the past. For example, if a savings account pays an interest rate of 3% per year and the inflation rate is 5% per year, the real rate of return is -2%. This means that the investment's value is shrinking by 2% each year.

    Historic returns for CO13 0
    CO13 0 sector CO13 district
    Nominal Real Nominal Real
    20 yr per annum 3.1% 0.4% 2.9% 0.2%
    20 yr total 84.5% 9.3% 76.3% 4.4%
    10 yr per annum 4.9% 2.0% 4.4% 1.5%
    10 yr total 60.6% 22.0% 53.3% 16.4%
    5 yr per annum 3.4% -0.7% 2.2% -1.8%
    5 yr total 18.0% -3.4% 11.7% -8.6%
    1 yr per annum -2.1% -6.0% -2.9% -6.8%
    1 yr total -2.1% -6.0% -2.9% -6.8%

    This table complements the house price index chart above, presenting the data in a more detailed format. It breaks down the information into 20-year, 10-year, 5-year, and 1-year periods, further categorized by property type. For each period, we display both a per annum rate of change and a total rate of change.

    The total rate of change represents the overall change over the entire period. The formula for total return is:

    Total return = (Index at end of period ÷ Index at start of period) - 1

    The per annum rate of change is the annualized rate of change over the period. This is equivalent to the annual bank savings rate you would need to achieve the same total return over the given period. This annualized return is also known as the Compound Annual Growth Rate (CAGR). The formula for CAGR is:

    CAGR = (1 + Total return) ^ (1 ÷ Number of years) - 1

    Some specific examples:

    • Over the past 20 years, CO13 0 sector have seen a 0.4% annual change when adjusted for inflation. This translates to a total change of 9.3% in real terms.
    • Over the past 5 years, CO13 0 sector have seen a -0.7% annual change when adjusted for inflation. This translates to a total change of -3.4% in real terms.

    Most recent CO13 0 sales

    For the most recent sales activity, rather than a summarized average, it is better to see the underlying data. This is shown in the chart below, where blue dots represent individual sales, click on them to see details. If there is an obvious trend you should be able to spot it here amid the noise from outliers.

    Tip: hover over dots to see details

    Street level data

    Street Avg size Avg £sqm Recent sales
    Thorpe Road, Kirby Cross, CO13 0N 117 sqm £3,087 23
    Walton Road, Kirby Cross, CO13 0A 101 sqm £3,872 16
    Frinton Road, Kirby Cross, CO13 0P 106 sqm £3,883 16
    Frinton Road, Kirby Cross, CO13 0L 95 sqm £3,479 15
    Sycamore Way, Kirby Cross, CO13 0Q 72 sqm £4,169 15
    Halstead Road, Kirby Cross, CO13 0L 113 sqm £2,856 14
    Chartfield Drive, Kirby Cross, CO13 0D 180 sqm £3,308 14
    Orchard Gardens, Kirby Cross, CO13 0F 102 sqm £4,225 14

    Search for your street here.

    Nearby geographies

    The table below shows how 'CO13 0' compares to the other postcode sectors in CO13.

    Sector Lower quartile Median Upper quartile Sales in last 2yr
    CO16 9 Little Clacton £3,120 sqm £3,620 sqm £4,130 sqm 196
    CO16 0 Thorpe Le Soken £3,100 sqm £3,600 sqm £4,160 sqm 72
    CO15 5 Holland-On-Sea £3,060 sqm £3,840 sqm £4,490 sqm 203
    CO15 4 Clacton-On-Sea £3,070 sqm £3,620 sqm £4,120 sqm 239
    CO14 8 Walton On The Naze £2,730 sqm £3,430 sqm £4,140 sqm 169
    CO13 9 Frinton-On-Sea £3,040 sqm £3,610 sqm £4,460 sqm 161
    CO13 0 Kirby Cross £3,310 sqm £3,780 sqm £4,300 sqm 287
    CO12 5 Ramsey £2,880 sqm £3,170 sqm £3,850 sqm 111
    CO12 3 Harwich £1,910 sqm £2,410 sqm £3,120 sqm 181

    Raw data

    Our analysis of CO13 0 is derived from what is essentially a big table of sold prices from Land Registry with added property size information. Below are three rows from this table to give you an idea.

    Address Paid sqm £/sqm
    Bellcroft, Turpins Lane, Kirby Cross £555,000
    Aug-2024
    		 99 5,606
    Sunny Fields, Little Clacton Rd, Kirby Cross £566,500
    Jul-2024
    		 119 4,760
    26, Stansted Way, Kirby Cross £325,000
    Jul-2024
    		 53 6,132

    See the entire list of all sales in CO13 0 here.

    About

    I created HouseMetric because I wanted to see this data and analysis myself, I also wanted to teach myself to build a website. Please give me feedback or spread the word about it. I'm constantly tinkering and adding more stuff to it.