House prices in WA16 (Knutsford)

This article shows price per square metre data and various charts to help you understand the housing market in WA16 - stats were last calculated on 16 October 2024.

Defining 'WA16'

This analysis is limited to properties whose postcode starts with "WA16", this is also called the postcode district. There are no official postcode district names so I've just labelled it WA16, Knutsford. It is shown in red on the map below.

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You can click on the map above to change to a neighbouring district, or you can use the search form below.

Price per square metre

Knowing the average house price in WA16 is not much use. However, knowing average price per square metre can be quite useful. Price per sqm allows some comparison between properties of different size. We define price per square metre as the sold price divided by the internal area of a property:

£ per sqm = price ÷ internal area

For example in July 2024, 7, Chapel Road, Knutsford, WA16 8RU sold for £480,000. Given the internal area of 130 square metres recorded on the EPC, the price per sqm is £480,000 ÷ 130 sqm = £3,692.

England & Wales have been officially metric since 1965. However house price per square foot is prefered by some estate agents and those of sufficiently advanced age ;-). It is a huge pain to code the automatic conversion for square meters to square feet for all the graphs and charts on WA16 and elsewhere. All the conditionals turn my tidy code for into spaghetti. I will get around to it at some point, but for now you can just divide everything by 10 in your head, move a decimal place and you'll be close enough. If you want to be more precise 1 sqm = 10.76391 sqft.

Distribution of £ per sqm for houses vs flats in WA16

The chart above is called a histogram, it helps you see the distribution of house price per sqm in WA16 To make this chart we put all the sales data into a series of £ per sqm 'buckets' (e.g. £4,250 to £4,500, £4,500 to £4,750, £4,750 to £5,000 etc...) we then count the number of sales with within in each bucket and plot the results. The histogram is based on 734 sales that took place in WA16, in the last 24 months.

Generate a custom histogram like the one above but based on your own criteria.

You can see the spread of prices above. This is because although internal area is a key factor in determining valuation, it is not the only factor. Many factors other than size affect desirability; these factors could be condition, aspect, garden size, negotiating power of the vendor etc.

The spread of prices will give you a feel of the typical range to expect in WA16, Knutsford. Notably, only 25% of properties that sold recently were valued at more than £5,000 sqm. For anything to be valued more than this means it has to be more desireable than the clear majority of WA16 homes.

Box plot of £ per sqm for WA16

Tip: click on the chart to see the values.

The chart above is called a boxplot (or a box-and-whisker plot). Box plots, like histograms, are used to graphically represent the distribution of data, showing the central tendency, spread of the distribution. In the context of £ per square metre property price distributions, box plots represent the variation in property prices within a geographic area e.g. Knutsford. The chart above shows a boxplot for 'WA16' as well as the 'WA' postcode area.

  • Median: The horizontal line inside the box represents the median (£ per square meter). This is the midpoint of the data, meaning 50% of the prices are below this value, and 50% are above. The middle price per square metre in 'WA16' is £4,350.
  • Interquartile Range (IQR): The box spans from the 25th percentile (Q1) to the 75th percentile (Q3). This is the range where the middle 50% of the data lies, giving a good indication of the typical price spread. Of the 734 transactions in WA16, Knutsford half were sold for between £3,630 and £5,000 per square metre.
  • Whiskers: In our case, the whiskers extend from the 9th percentile (at the lower end) to the 91st percentile (at the upper end), This provides a slightly broader view of the distribution by including the middle 82% of records. The whiskers capture most of the variation but exclude extreme outliers caused by data errors in recording sold house prices or internal area.
  • 'n=' is the number of property transactions the box plot is based on; 734 for WA16, Knutsford.

    • Property price map for Knutsford

    Have a look at the interactive price map I created for myself. Use it to explore 'WA16' house prices all the way down to individual property plots.

    Property price heatmap for Knutsford
    House price map for Knutsford

    Will WA16 house prices drop in 2025?

    I cannot tell what house prices will do in the future and don't believe anyone who says they can. However we can plot price trends, I have done this in the chart below for WA16 (Knutsford) compared with the wider postcode area 'WA'. You can extrapolate from this based on your own views on future interest rates, inflation and other factors.

    House price index for WA16

    Tip: click on the legend items to show/hide different lines

    Download house price index as CSV (premium users only).

    The chart above shows changes in 'WA16' property prices over the last 20 years. The index is calculated from the average price paid per sqm for property in WA16 and is set to 100 in 2004. The chart compares trends for WA16, Knutsford against those of the broader postcode area 'WA'. What is more interesting is to look at the difference between flats and houses, even those in the same area follow a very different trend, to get a robust enough sample size to see this we need to zoom out and look at house price trends for the entire Cheshire East local authority.

    The dashed lines show nominal house price changes, the solid lines show the same data adjusted for inflation. Economists call this the 'real' price change. You have to take inflation into account when comparing prices over time. It's calculated using the formula:

    Real Rate of Return = (1 + Nominal Rate) ÷ (1 + Inflation Rate) – 1
    In this formula, the nominal rate is the rate of change before any adjustments, and the inflation rate is taken from the Consumer Price Index. The real rate of return is a more accurate measure of change in value, because £1 today does not have the same buying power as £1 in the past. For example, if a savings account pays an interest rate of 3% per year and the inflation rate is 5% per year, the real rate of return is -2%. This means that the investment's value is shrinking by 2% each year.

    Historic returns for WA16
    WA area WA16 district
    Nominal Real Nominal Real
    20 yr per annum 2.9% 0.3% 3.5% 0.8%
    20 yr total 77.6% 5.2% 98.4% 17.5%
    10 yr per annum 3.8% 0.9% 4.0% 1.2%
    10 yr total 44.7% 9.8% 48.3% 12.6%
    5 yr per annum 4.5% 0.4% 3.6% -0.4%
    5 yr total 24.5% 1.9% 19.5% -2.2%
    1 yr per annum -0.6% -4.6% -3.0% -6.9%
    1 yr total -0.6% -4.6% -3.0% -6.9%

    This table complements the house price index chart above, presenting the data in a more detailed format. It breaks down the information into 20-year, 10-year, 5-year, and 1-year periods, further categorized by property type. For each period, we display both a per annum rate of change and a total rate of change.

    The total rate of change represents the overall change over the entire period. The formula for total return is:

    Total return = (Index at end of period ÷ Index at start of period) - 1

    The per annum rate of change is the annualized rate of change over the period. This is equivalent to the annual bank savings rate you would need to achieve the same total return over the given period. This annualized return is also known as the Compound Annual Growth Rate (CAGR). The formula for CAGR is:

    CAGR = (1 + Total return) ^ (1 ÷ Number of years) - 1

    Some specific examples:

    • Over the past 20 years, WA area have seen a 0.3% annual change when adjusted for inflation. This translates to a total change of 5.2% in real terms.
    • Over the past 5 years, WA area have seen a 0.4% annual change when adjusted for inflation. This translates to a total change of 1.9% in real terms.

    Most recent WA16 sales

    For the most recent sales activity, rather than a summarized average, it is better to see the underlying data. This is shown in the chart below, where blue dots represent individual sales, click on them to see details. If there is an obvious trend you should be able to spot it here amid the noise from outliers.

    Tip: hover over dots to see details

    Street level data

    Street Avg size Avg £sqm Recent sales
    Mobberley Road, , WA16 8E 107 sqm £3,923 33
    King Edward Road, , WA16 0B 47 sqm £3,413 22
    Grove Park, , WA16 8Q 128 sqm £4,972 20
    Tabley Road, , WA16 0P 43 sqm £2,341 16
    Parkgate, , WA16 8H 87 sqm £4,368 16
    Manchester Road, , WA16 0N 126 sqm £4,393 15
    Longridge, , WA16 8P 91 sqm £2,269 14
    Boothfields, , WA16 8J 92 sqm £3,396 14

    Search for your street here.

    Nearby geographies

    The table below shows how 'WA16' compares to the other postcode districts nearby 'WA16'.

    District Lower quartile Median Upper quartile Sales in last 2yr
    WA9 St Helens £1,260 sqm £1,720 sqm £2,260 sqm 1,138
    WA8 Widnes £1,570 sqm £2,040 sqm £2,780 sqm 1,308
    WA7 Runcorn £1,400 sqm £1,950 sqm £2,570 sqm 1,184
    WA6 Helsby £2,500 sqm £3,110 sqm £3,650 sqm 442
    WA5 Great Sankey £2,120 sqm £2,730 sqm £3,290 sqm 1,461
    WA4 Appleton £2,380 sqm £3,100 sqm £3,770 sqm 1,362
    WA3 Lowton £2,020 sqm £2,730 sqm £3,310 sqm 1,198
    WA2 Orford £1,850 sqm £2,230 sqm £2,760 sqm 762
    WA16 Knutsford £3,630 sqm £4,350 sqm £5,000 sqm 734
    WA15 Timperley £4,020 sqm £4,770 sqm £5,440 sqm 950

    Raw data

    Our analysis of WA16 is derived from what is essentially a big table of sold prices from Land Registry with added property size information. Below are three rows from this table to give you an idea.

    Address Paid sqm £/sqm
    7, Chapel Rd, £480,000
    Jul-2024
    		 130 3,692
    Flat 6 Ash Court, King Edward Rd, £136,000
    Jul-2024
    		 41 3,317
    44, Boothfields, £500,000
    Jul-2024
    		 111 4,504

    See the entire list of all sales in WA16 here.

    About

    I created HouseMetric because I wanted to see this data and analysis myself, I also wanted to teach myself to build a website. Please give me feedback or spread the word about it. I'm constantly tinkering and adding more stuff to it.