Feb 07, 2023 by HM

House prices in Harlow (CM19 4)

This article reveals price per square metre data and various charts to help you understand current housing market in Harlow (CM19 4).


Price per square metre

Knowing the average house price in Harlow is not much use. However, knowing average price per square metre can be quite useful. Price per sqm allows some comparison between properties of different size. We define price per square metre as the sold price divided by the internal area of a property:

£ per sqm = price ÷ internal area
E.g. 37, Greygoose Park, Harlow, sold for £540,000 on Sep-2023. Given the internal area of 137 square metres, the price per sqm is £3,941.

England & Wales have been officially metric for many decades. However house price per square foot is sometimes prefered by those of sufficiently advanced age. They may want to convert metres on this page to square feet.

The chart below is called a histogram, it helps you see the distribution of this house price per sqm data. To make this chart we put the sales data into a series of £ per sqm 'buckets' (e.g. £3,800-£4,000, £4,000-£4,200, £4,200-£4,400 etc...) we then count the number of sales with within in each bucket and plot the results. The chart is based on 200 sales in Harlow (CM19 4) that took place in the last two years.

Distribution of £ per sqm for Harlow (CM19 4)
Distribution of £ per sqm house prices in Harlow

You can see the spread of prices above. This is because although internal area is a key factor in determining valuation, it is not the only factor. Many factors other than size affect desirability; these factors could be condition, aspect, garden size, negotiating power of the vendor etc.

That said, the spread of prices will give you a feel of the typical range to expect in Harlow (CM19 4). Of the 200 transactions, half were sold for between £3,450 and £4,530 per square metre. Notably, only 25% of properties that sold recently were valued at more than £4,530m2. For anything to be valued more than this means it has to be more desireable than the clear majority of homes.

For the average, we calculate the 'median' or middle price. The median price per square metre in 'CM19 4' is £3,940. The table below shows how 'CM19 4' compares to neighbouring postcode sectors.

Postcode sector Lower quartile Middle quartile Upper quartile
CM19 5 Harlow £3,580m2 £4,250m2 £5,040m2
CM19 4 Harlow £3,450m2 £3,940m2 £4,530m2

Will Harlow house prices drop in 2024?

I cannot tell the future and don't believe anyone who says they can. I can however plot price trends - I have done this in the scatter plot below for CM19 4 (Harlow). From this one could infer a range of reasonable possible future price falls or rises. In the chart below, the red dashed line is the house price trend for CM19 4 and the blue dots are the individual property sales that inform this trend.

Price per square metre in Harlow (CM19 4) over time
House price trends for Harlow

Hover on any blue dot to see details of specific sales

Disclaimer: The data provided throughout this website about Harlow and any other area, is not financial advice. Any information provided does not and cannot ever take in to account the particular financial situation, objectives or property needs of either you or anyone reading this information. Furthermore, I cannot guarantee the accuracy of any data shown. This information is based on sold prices and internal area data provided by Land Registry and other third parties - I do not verify the accuracy of the Harlow data or any other data I am given.

Price map for Harlow

I've just finished coding the map I link to below. I find it useful and I am sure it will help you in exploring Harlow. You can zoom in all the way to individual properties and then all the way back out to see the whole country. The colours show the current estimated property values. I will explain more about the methodology and create a key next week.

Property price heatmap for Harlow
House price heatmap for Harlow

Street level data

Street Avg size Avg £/m2 Recent sales
Milwards, Harlow, CM19 4S 77m2 £2,797 32
Northbrooks, Harlow, CM19 4D 78m2 £3,268 32
Collins Meadow, Harlow, CM19 4E 99m2 £3,727 27
Jerounds, Harlow, CM19 4H 79m2 £4,184 26
Brockles Mead, Harlow, CM19 4Q 75m2 £3,130 25
Hollyfield, Harlow, CM19 4N 71m2 £3,630 22
Fir Park, Harlow, CM19 4J 108m2 £4,408 18
Shawbridge, Harlow, CM19 4N 74m2 £3,253 18

Search for your street here.

Raw data

Our analysis of Harlow is derived from what is essentially a big table of sold prices from Land Registry with added property size information. Below are three rows from this table to give you an idea.

Address Paid m2 £/m2
37, Greygoose Park, Harlow £540,000
Sep-2023
137 3,941
59, Fir Park, Harlow £590,000
Sep-2023
137 4,306
44, Sharpecroft, Harlow £253,000
Sep-2023
66 3,833

See the entire list of all sales in Harlow (CM19 4) here.

About

HouseMetric is a hobby, created out of a desire to see data and analysis not present on any free to use website. It is still a work in progress and I'll add more stuff in the near future.